S&P500 Daily Chart:
On a technical note, the S&P500 remains in a solid uptrend, and has recently pulled back to a key support level.
On a macro note, I think the US election being put behind us will be a bullish this for the market - despite the winner. The lifted uncertainty of who the president is will likely give way to strong government spending regardless, which could continue to fuel stock market performance.
Additionally, the fed still seems likely to continue cutting rates, in an economy that has remained relatively robust.
Finally, we see a strong 4th quarter rally often within the stock market, finalizing with a possible "Santa Claus rally" end of year.
I am long. Not irresponsibly so, but long.
Not financial advice. Markets will likely be very volatile over the coming weeks.
- Nick
On a technical note, the S&P500 remains in a solid uptrend, and has recently pulled back to a key support level.
On a macro note, I think the US election being put behind us will be a bullish this for the market - despite the winner. The lifted uncertainty of who the president is will likely give way to strong government spending regardless, which could continue to fuel stock market performance.
Additionally, the fed still seems likely to continue cutting rates, in an economy that has remained relatively robust.
Finally, we see a strong 4th quarter rally often within the stock market, finalizing with a possible "Santa Claus rally" end of year.
I am long. Not irresponsibly so, but long.
Not financial advice. Markets will likely be very volatile over the coming weeks.
- Nick
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We're counting down the hours until the election - which I will be trading within the VIP discord.
If you'd like to see the trades/signals I am placing in realtime / trade this event with me:
Our memberships are currently at the biggest discount of the entire year.
Here's how you can trade the election event with me:
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2. Enter the promo code TGVIP for 40% OFF! (It's a one time payment to join.)
3. Trade!
We've had several new people join today, and I look forward to meeting you guys.
- Nick
If you'd like to see the trades/signals I am placing in realtime / trade this event with me:
Our memberships are currently at the biggest discount of the entire year.
Here's how you can trade the election event with me:
1. Sign up using the link below:
https://a1trading.com/vip/
2. Enter the promo code TGVIP for 40% OFF! (It's a one time payment to join.)
3. Trade!
We've had several new people join today, and I look forward to meeting you guys.
- Nick
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With Donald Trump winning the 2024 election - there are a few quick notes I wanted to share that the market will likely now focus on.
- Trump re-flation concerns: with the proposed tariffs and large expectation for government spending, it is possible that inflation does not roll over easily. This is likely why the bond market is currently seeing a sky rocket in the 10yr treasury yield
- Stock market rally: with Trump's pro business agenda, which includes looser regulations and low taxes, stock are ballooning higher today.
- Crypto boom: Going again off of the lesser regulations side, crypto is higher today as the Trump/Vance administration seems favorable towards BTC.
- Foreign affairs uncertainty: Whether you like or dislike him, Trump brings volatility and uncertainty to the global situation - which is a sensitive one as is.
- Metals selloff: I mentioned this in my livestream yesterday. Following the election of both Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020, gold fell in price. This is likely due to the de-risking that takes place following an election getting called. The question of whether a peaceful pass of power will take place is no longer so scary, so investors move away from gold in the short term.
- Nick
- Trump re-flation concerns: with the proposed tariffs and large expectation for government spending, it is possible that inflation does not roll over easily. This is likely why the bond market is currently seeing a sky rocket in the 10yr treasury yield
- Stock market rally: with Trump's pro business agenda, which includes looser regulations and low taxes, stock are ballooning higher today.
- Crypto boom: Going again off of the lesser regulations side, crypto is higher today as the Trump/Vance administration seems favorable towards BTC.
- Foreign affairs uncertainty: Whether you like or dislike him, Trump brings volatility and uncertainty to the global situation - which is a sensitive one as is.
- Metals selloff: I mentioned this in my livestream yesterday. Following the election of both Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020, gold fell in price. This is likely due to the de-risking that takes place following an election getting called. The question of whether a peaceful pass of power will take place is no longer so scary, so investors move away from gold in the short term.
- Nick
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RUSSELL
Small caps took off last night on a Trump victory and optimism from small business tax cuts. The Fed meets tomorrow to discuss interest rates and make another decision on monetary policy. There is nearly 100% consensus the Fed will cut by either 25 or 50 bps tomorrow which is another catalyst for the index. Price has tested resistance on the 1D timeframe and may look to retrace in the short term.
- Frank
Data From The EdgeFinder!
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Small caps took off last night on a Trump victory and optimism from small business tax cuts. The Fed meets tomorrow to discuss interest rates and make another decision on monetary policy. There is nearly 100% consensus the Fed will cut by either 25 or 50 bps tomorrow which is another catalyst for the index. Price has tested resistance on the 1D timeframe and may look to retrace in the short term.
- Frank
Data From The EdgeFinder!
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Gold finally breaks lower after several months of upside. Major risk on sentiment has returned to the markets which alleviated all the pressure from geopolitical tensions, direction of the economy, and major uncertainty now that we have an outcome in the election. Tomorrow’s interest rate report is set to come out with a cut. Lower rates may be bullish for the metal as it suggests a weaker dollar. Yields are rising too which is likely putting pressure on gold. If price can’t hold up at support, it may look to test lower around $2,600.
- Frank
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- Frank
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Similarly to the markets rising before the Trump victory, yields may be pricing in a less dovish tone from the Fed tomorrow. Expectations are still near 100% that the Fed will cut by some amount, but maybe bonds are telling us not to expect too much easing from the Fed. Especially since inflation has not moved comfortably where analysts expected by now, we might not have the green light on consecutive interest rate cuts in 2025.
Judging by the stock market's reaction, we could be looking at a period of substantial growth. However, this type of environment often leads to more spending, higher circulation of the dollar, thus higher inflation. Entering into a period of higher growth at the cost of higher inflation is not a bad thing, but it may mean that the Fed doesn't need to cut. If there's nothing to save (jobs, GDP, consumer spending...), then there might not be a reason to ease on policy much more.
- Frank
Judging by the stock market's reaction, we could be looking at a period of substantial growth. However, this type of environment often leads to more spending, higher circulation of the dollar, thus higher inflation. Entering into a period of higher growth at the cost of higher inflation is not a bad thing, but it may mean that the Fed doesn't need to cut. If there's nothing to save (jobs, GDP, consumer spending...), then there might not be a reason to ease on policy much more.
- Frank
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🗳️ Election Results Are In! 🗳️
Nick dropped a new video breaking down the election results and what they mean for traders like you. 📈
Curious how these changes could impact your trading strategy? He’s got you covered with insights and key takeaways!
Catch the full breakdown here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANTtE9PcSXA
P.S. Want to take advantage of the market opportunities? Open an account with our sponsor, Vantage Markets, and start trading smarter here!
Nick dropped a new video breaking down the election results and what they mean for traders like you. 📈
Curious how these changes could impact your trading strategy? He’s got you covered with insights and key takeaways!
Catch the full breakdown here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANTtE9PcSXA
P.S. Want to take advantage of the market opportunities? Open an account with our sponsor, Vantage Markets, and start trading smarter here!
YouTube
TRUMP: Part 2... (What Happens Now?)
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I had my biggest trades of the year this week.
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Use code TGVIP for 40% Off!
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