Matt Van Epps should win by <5 pts barring any surprises out of Nashville.

ELECTION ALERT / Tennessee US House 7 Special Election:

🟥Matt Van Epps: 49.6%

🟦Aftyn Behn: 49.3%

Est. 61% reporting

ELECTION ALERT / Tennessee US House 7 Special Election:

🟥Matt Van Epps: 50.1%

🟦Aftyn Behn: 48.8%

Est. 62% reporting

ELECTION ALERT / Tennessee US House 7 Special Election:

🟥Matt Van Epps: 52.1%

🟦Aftyn Behn: 46.8%

Est. 67% reporting

PROJECTION: Trump-endorsed Matt Van Epps secures victory in the special election for TN's 7th Congressional District—defeating Democrat Aftyn Behn to fill the vacancy left by Rep. Mark Green.

Van Epps (R) holds TN-7 by 8.8%, that’s a ~13-point swing toward Dems since Trump’s +22% in 2024 and Green’s +21% in 2022.

Special-election caveats fully apply (low turnout, educated skew, massive Dem spending, late GOP GOTV & spending), but still:

- GOP retains a deep-red seat, House stays 220-213. Relief for Republicans tonight.

-But continued warning light for 2026.

Specials elections are noisy and historically not highly predictive of the next midterm.

But ignoring a 13-point erosion in a Trump +22 district would be dumb.

Caution, not panic.

Watch the broader trend over the next few months.

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Candace Owens isn’t “edgy;” she’s running a conspiracy grift.

She isn’t “brave;” she’s cashing in on lies.

Shameful.

Evil.

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#MAHA

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