Percy's Archive

Expect it very soon.

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Percy's Archive

Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)

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🇮🇷 — Massive USAF movement, as 9-10 "KCR-135R" Tankers took off CONUS in the last hour, 4 of which headed to Spain's "Morón" Airbase, 3-4 to the "AlUdeid" Airbase in Qatar, and 2 others towards the "RAF Mildenhall" Airbase of the United Kingdom. [1 to be confirmed]

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Percy's Archive

Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)

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🇮🇷 - The "USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72)" Carrier Strike group is to arrive in CENTCOM area of responsibility within the next 72 hours.

It's AIS transponders were switched off.

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Percy's Archive

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🇮🇷 - In total, since the 16th of January, at least 30 "C-17" transport aircrafts have departed towards the CENTCOM areas of operation. 12 "KC-135R/T/RT" Tanker aircrafts, and 12 "F-15E" Strike Jets, landing in Jordan's "Muwaffaq Salti" airbase, Qatar's "AlUdeid" airbase, Kuwait's "Ali Al Salem" airbase, and the "Diego Garcia" coalition airbase.

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293 views21:01

Percy's Archive

⚡️🇮🇷🇷🇺 - Newly Russian-exported "Spartak" MRAP in use by the Iranian military in the city of 'Khorramabad' during the days of civil unrest.

Other sightings documented in 'Ilam'.

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293 viewsedited 13:45

🇮🇷 - The "USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72)" Carrier Strike group is to arrive in CENTCOM area of responsibility within the next 72 hours. It's AIS transponders were switched off.

⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇱❌🇮🇷 - Fox News's reporting on the "USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72)" Carrier Strike group 3 not yet crossing the INDOPACOM towards CENTCOM is likely just a game of deception. It should have been within range since early morning today.

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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)

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⚡️🇮🇷 - Iran has issued a new NOTAMR (B0062/26) suspending all VFR flights and general aviation flights throughout Iranian airspace for a period of 3 months.

Commercial aviation remains unaffected.

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🇮🇷 - In total, since the 16th of January, at least 30 "C-17" transport aircrafts have departed towards the CENTCOM areas of operation. 12 "KC-135R/T/RT" Tanker aircrafts, and 12 "F-15E" Strike Jets, landing in Jordan's "Muwaffaq Salti" airbase…

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🇮🇷 - Since the 22nd of January, 3 "C-17" Transport aircrafts arrived to the Jordanian "Muwaffaq Salti" airbase (OJMS), 2 to the "AlUdeid" airbase of Qatar (OTBH), 5 to the Kuwaiti "Ali Al Salem" airbase (OKAS), and 1 to the "Akrotiri" airbase in Cyprus (LCRA).

At least 11 "C-17" aircrafts deployed in CENTCOM within 3 days. This total takes in account the departure of flights from CENTCOM out to EUCOM and the INDOPACOM.

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219 viewsedited 16:55

Percy's Archive

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🇷🇺 - Newly Russian-exported "Spartak" MRAP in use by the Iranian military in the city of 'Khorramabad' during the days of civil unrest. Other sightings documented in 'Ilam'.

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🇷🇺 - Footage of the newly Russian-exported "Spartak" MRAP in use by the Iranian military patrolling the city of 'Khash' yesterday.

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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)

⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇱🇴🇲❌🇮🇷 - Earlier this morning, a US Navy "CMV-22B (Osprey)" Aircraft took off from the "USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72)" carrier strike group towards the shores of Oman, revealing the carrier's distance.

The carrier is within striking distance of Iran.

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193 views15:28

Percy's Archive

Expect it very soon.

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🇮🇷 - Perhaps this was greatly exaggerated. Back then, the escalating tensions, state of civil unrest and USAF activity over Iraq's airspace made the operation seem imminent but was rather poorly coordinated, held-off after being urged by Netanyahu and the GCC states fearing air defense lack of readiness, risk of multi-front warfare and other possible economic strains.

Fast-forward; The USAF is in no hurry, even reluctant to carry out such a complex operation. The entire coalition looks for a capitulation strike that will efficiently achieve their objective promptly, limiting Iranian retaliation to a maximum. The fact that it was near executed on the 14th of January proves that a strike package on chosen targets has already been mapped out.

To make-up for the alignment of the operation; GCC refusal of participation and lack of nearby recourses, the USAF has begun it's military buildup, deploying the "USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72)" carrier strike group, including the (DDG-57), (DDG-74), (DDG-79), (DDG-80), (DDG-84), (DDG-111), (DDG-112), (DDG-117), and the (DDG-121) destroyers, this also comes with 7 other Command and Reconnaissance sealifts. Moreover, "F-15E" Fighter Jets and "C-130J" and "C-17A", in Jordan, other "C-17A", "747-400", "C-5M" & "C-130J" cargo aircrafts to Qatar, Diego Garcia, Kuwait, & Saudi Arabia, as well as 1 "RC-135V/W" SIGINT aircraft to Qatar and a "E-11A" BACN to Greece, & "KC-135R" & "KC-46" tankers to the region, including in Spain.

Flights to the GCC mainly comprised of "Patriot" & "THAAD" reinforcements and deployments, suggesting a defensive posture. Jordan rather emerged as the primary strike hub. Governments and ministries have begun issuing warnings, The USAF and the US-Navy have launched a multi-day readiness exercise yesterday in Bahrain, Trump has outwardly threatened a strike on Iran "greater than that on Venezuela", and the AoR has published statements using vitalist language of an all-out religious war; all which suggest a bracing to an imminent conflict.

It is imminent, likely "a" weekend.

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284 viewsedited 12:57

Percy's Archive

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✈️ - NOTAM's issued in Iran today (14/01): - (A0225/26) Full Nationwide Airspace closure for 2 hours.

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✈️ - NOTAMR issued in Iran today (28/01):
- (A0375/26) Military Area activation over "OID 84", starting on the 31st of January and effective for 2 months.

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253 viewsedited 13:38

Percy's Archive

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🇮🇷 - Visual confirmation of the arrival of the Russian-Delivery "Mil MI-28" Attack Helicopters to Iran.

Images taken at the "Pars Aerospace Services" Company in Tehran.

📍 Coordinates:

35.698842, 51.295939

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348 views17:25

Percy's Archive

Too much movement to count.

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282 views11:07

Percy's Archive

Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (percy)

#update

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🇮🇷 - 2 of the tanker fleet ("GOLD42" & "GOLD74") are presumably currently accompanied by "F-35A" Stealth Fighter Jets, alongside the "EA-18G (Growlers)" EW Fighter Jets accompanying ("GOLD31" & "GOLD32") heading towards the CENTCOM.

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🇮🇷 - The longer time passes, the less likely it may be perceptible that an operation will take place. However this is not the case, infact; it is the complete opposite.

Negotiations are ongoing—It is known that Iran is willing to reasonably implement concessions in its Nuclear program, however ultimately the result depends on Israel’s willingness of reducing its demands, as Iran stands firm on it’s doctrine of self determination.

Nonetheless, stockpiling is still ongoing; in preparation for the failure of negotiations. Like mentioned previously, such an operation with a dictatorial result requires weeks if not months of continuous stockpiling.

Weeks to come.

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Percy's Archive

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🇮🇷 - A USAF "F-35C" of the "USS Abraham Lincoln" Carrier Strike Group's "VMFA-314 (Black Knights)" shot down an IRGCN "SHAHED-129" Reconnaissance UAV which was loitering the gulf of Oman 805km away from the coast of Iran earlier today.

Another "SHAHED-129" UAV was airborne during the attack, however returned safely to Iran.

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🇮🇷 - A USAF "F-35C" of the "USS Abraham Lincoln" Carrier Strike Group's "VMFA-314 (Black Knights)" shot down an IRGCN "SHAHED-129" Reconnaissance UAV which was loitering the gulf of Oman 805km away from the coast of Iran earlier today. Another "SHAHED…

Keep eyes on the next "MQ-4C Triton" Recon flight.

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301 views22:42