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๐บ๐ธ Trump wants regime change in Venezuela.
๐ป๐ช But what if Maduro fights backโfrom within the US?
5 covert tactics Venezuela could use against the US๐
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
๐ป๐ช But what if Maduro fights backโfrom within the US?
5 covert tactics Venezuela could use against the US๐
@NewRulesGeo
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๐ก Geopolitics Without the Chaos
Decode chaosโwithout the MSM spin
We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:
โก๏ธ Ukraine-Russia War
โก๏ธ EU Rifts
โก๏ธ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
โก๏ธ US-China Showdown
โก๏ธ Major Global Events
โก๏ธ Culture War
No scattered updates. Just structured threads โ so you see how events connect.
๐ค PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).
If you want context over clutter:
๐ Exclusive Channel
Decode chaosโwithout the MSM spin
We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:
โก๏ธ Ukraine-Russia War
โก๏ธ EU Rifts
โก๏ธ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
โก๏ธ US-China Showdown
โก๏ธ Major Global Events
โก๏ธ Culture War
No scattered updates. Just structured threads โ so you see how events connect.
๐ค PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).
If you want context over clutter:
๐ Exclusive Channel
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ณ๐ฌ The REAL Reason Behind the US War Threats Toward Nigeria
Trump says that he wants to save the countryโs Christian population. In reality, his motives are far less charitable.
The real objective is to undermine China and seize Nigeriaโs rare earth resources.
The Strategic Play:
1๏ธโฃ The Chinese Partnership: Nigeria has become a showcase of China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in Africa, a model of international cooperation.
๐ $21B in 2025 construction deals.
๐ A subsequent $3.5B partnership for critical infrastructure: solar power, rail modernization, and industrial parks.
๐ This is not debt-trap diplomacy, but a win-win partnership, building crucial infrastructure and fostering sustainable development.
2๏ธโฃ The Core US Concern: Rare Earth Minerals & Supply Chain Hegemony
๐ Nigeria is resource-rich, with vast potential for growth. China's investments help develop these resources, including critical minerals essential for the global green energy transition.
๐ By partnering with Nigeria through infrastructure, China enables a sovereign nation to modernize and integrate into global supply chains on its own terms.
๐ This joint development model successfully challenges outdated Western hegemony, proving nations can thrive through cooperation, not coercion.
Conclusion:
The "religious freedom" pretext is a transparently strategic narrative. The actual target is the success and stability delivered by China's BRI investment.
A nation destabilized by external threats cannot build the modern infrastructure it needs. The threat of conflict is a direct attempt to sabotage African progress and self-determination.
This is about fearing a successful model of non-interventionist partnership that empowers developing nations and rebalances global power.
We are witnessing a last stand against a superior form of international cooperation, where shared prosperity is the new front line, and sovereign development is the prize.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
Trump says that he wants to save the countryโs Christian population. In reality, his motives are far less charitable.
The real objective is to undermine China and seize Nigeriaโs rare earth resources.
The Strategic Play:
Conclusion:
The "religious freedom" pretext is a transparently strategic narrative. The actual target is the success and stability delivered by China's BRI investment.
A nation destabilized by external threats cannot build the modern infrastructure it needs. The threat of conflict is a direct attempt to sabotage African progress and self-determination.
This is about fearing a successful model of non-interventionist partnership that empowers developing nations and rebalances global power.
We are witnessing a last stand against a superior form of international cooperation, where shared prosperity is the new front line, and sovereign development is the prize.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ป๐ช The Limits of US Airpower in Venezuela
As military assets amass near Venezuela, a historical review reveals a sobering truth: airpower alone rarely achieves strategic objectives.
HISTORICAL PRECEDENTS:
๐ธKosovo (1999): Required 77 days of intense bombing, 10x initial estimates
๐ธAfghanistan (2001): Needed ground forces embedded with Northern Alliance
๐ธIraq (2003): "Shock and awe" failed; led to decade-long ground occupation
๐ธLibya (2011): "Success" left a failed state lasting 14+ years
๐ธISIS Campaign: Took 7 years across three administrations
๐ธRecent Strikes: Suleimani elimination didn't neutralize Iran; Hamas/Hezbollah campaigns show limited long-term effects
THE REALITY CHECK:
Revolutionary regimes excel at survival. Bombing neither sparks popular uprisings nor triggers elite coups. Modern airpower causes destruction but requires:
๐ Substantial allied ground forces
๐ Years of sustained effort
๐ Clear political endgames
None of these conditions exist in Venezuela.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
President Trump's aversion to "forever wars" should extend to Venezuela. Offshore force projection risks entanglement without achieving regime change.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
As military assets amass near Venezuela, a historical review reveals a sobering truth: airpower alone rarely achieves strategic objectives.
HISTORICAL PRECEDENTS:
๐ธKosovo (1999): Required 77 days of intense bombing, 10x initial estimates
๐ธAfghanistan (2001): Needed ground forces embedded with Northern Alliance
๐ธIraq (2003): "Shock and awe" failed; led to decade-long ground occupation
๐ธLibya (2011): "Success" left a failed state lasting 14+ years
๐ธISIS Campaign: Took 7 years across three administrations
๐ธRecent Strikes: Suleimani elimination didn't neutralize Iran; Hamas/Hezbollah campaigns show limited long-term effects
THE REALITY CHECK:
Revolutionary regimes excel at survival. Bombing neither sparks popular uprisings nor triggers elite coups. Modern airpower causes destruction but requires:
None of these conditions exist in Venezuela.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
President Trump's aversion to "forever wars" should extend to Venezuela. Offshore force projection risks entanglement without achieving regime change.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
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๐จ๐ท๐บ Russia Unveils Nuclear-Powered 'Mothership' for Doomsday Drone
Russia's Sevmash shipyard has launched the Khabarovsk, a 10,000-ton nuclear-powered submarine representing a new class of strategic weapon.
This is a dedicated carrier for the 2M39 Poseidonโa nuclear-armed underwater drone.
Key Points:
๐ธStealth & Capability: The Khabarovsk class is far more advanced and stealthier than the current stopgap carrier, the Belgorod.
๐ธThe Poseidon Weapon: A single-use drone using a miniaturized nuclear reactor. It's designed to detonate its warhead underwater to trigger radioactive tsunamis, making it effectively impossible to intercept with current missile defenses.
๐ธStrategic Shift: This pioneers a second, devastating method for delivering strategic nuclear attacks from the sea, complementing their Borei-class ballistic missile subs.
This is part of Russia's long-term focus on asymmetric, game-changing nuclear weapons where it maintains a lead, despite conventional force challenges.
Other systems in this category:
๐ Avangard (Hypersonic Glide Vehicle)
๐ 9M730 Burevestnik (Nuclear-Powered Cruise Missile)
This move significantly alters the strategic calculus of naval warfare and nuclear deterrence.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Russia's Sevmash shipyard has launched the Khabarovsk, a 10,000-ton nuclear-powered submarine representing a new class of strategic weapon.
This is a dedicated carrier for the 2M39 Poseidonโa nuclear-armed underwater drone.
Key Points:
๐ธStealth & Capability: The Khabarovsk class is far more advanced and stealthier than the current stopgap carrier, the Belgorod.
๐ธThe Poseidon Weapon: A single-use drone using a miniaturized nuclear reactor. It's designed to detonate its warhead underwater to trigger radioactive tsunamis, making it effectively impossible to intercept with current missile defenses.
๐ธStrategic Shift: This pioneers a second, devastating method for delivering strategic nuclear attacks from the sea, complementing their Borei-class ballistic missile subs.
This is part of Russia's long-term focus on asymmetric, game-changing nuclear weapons where it maintains a lead, despite conventional force challenges.
Other systems in this category:
This move significantly alters the strategic calculus of naval warfare and nuclear deterrence.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จThe US Strategic Push for Global Dollarization
The Trump administration is actively exploring a bold strategy: GLOBAL DOLLAR ADOPTION.
KEY FINDINGS:
1๏ธโฃ Geopolitical Catalyst:
The initiative is a DIRECT response to China's systematic campaign to erode dollar dominance in cross-border transactions. This is monetary warfare.
2๏ธโฃ Implementation Framework:
High-level discussions involving Treasury, NEC, NSC, and CEA reveal a coordinated approach linking traditional dollarization with digital dollar policy (stablecoins).
3๏ธโฃ Target Economics Analysis:
The identified candidate countries:
๐ฆ๐ท Argentina (is the prime case study)
๐ฑ๐ง Lebanon
๐ต๐ฐ Pakistan
๐น๐ท Turkey
๐ช๐ฌ Egypt
๐ป๐ช Venezuela
๐ฟ๐ผ Zimbabwe
share critical vulnerabilities:
๐ Hyperinflation exposure
๐ Chronic currency distrust
๐ Capital flight patterns
๐ Political instability
4๏ธโฃ The Argentina Case Study:
Hanke's analysis reveals 76% of Argentine debt since 1995 has vanished through capital flight. Dollarization isn't just policyโit's a structural necessity to break the confidence deficit cycle.
5๏ธโฃ Economic Calculus:
The administration is weighing:
๐ Political leverage vs. monetary responsibility
๐ Short-term stability vs. long-term growth constraints (per IMF warnings)
๐ Reserve requirements vs. crisis mitigation benefits
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Critics argue this exports Fed policy to unprepared economies and could trigger structural unemployment in target countries.
The US is strategically positioning the dollar as a tool of global domination. This goes hand-in-hand with the push for dollar-backed stablecoins.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The Trump administration is actively exploring a bold strategy: GLOBAL DOLLAR ADOPTION.
KEY FINDINGS:
The initiative is a DIRECT response to China's systematic campaign to erode dollar dominance in cross-border transactions. This is monetary warfare.
High-level discussions involving Treasury, NEC, NSC, and CEA reveal a coordinated approach linking traditional dollarization with digital dollar policy (stablecoins).
The identified candidate countries:
share critical vulnerabilities:
Hanke's analysis reveals 76% of Argentine debt since 1995 has vanished through capital flight. Dollarization isn't just policyโit's a structural necessity to break the confidence deficit cycle.
The administration is weighing:
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Critics argue this exports Fed policy to unprepared economies and could trigger structural unemployment in target countries.
The US is strategically positioning the dollar as a tool of global domination. This goes hand-in-hand with the push for dollar-backed stablecoins.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จTHE ULTIMATE GEOPOLITICAL NETWORK YOUโVE BEEN LOOKING FOR๐จ
Tired of empty news feeds?
๐Get the real context โ from analysts who read between the lines.
Geopolitics Prime - โ1 growing and most quoted English channel on geopolitics
Rybar - The biggest military analytical centre
Middle East Spectator - Top news & analysis on Middle East
Lord Bebo - Anti woke, anti hypocrisy, anti fake news
Gaganauts of Geopolitics - The biggest Indian Telegram channel on geopolitics in Asia
New Rules - Your go-to channel for sharp, concise analysis on global power struggles.
โก๏ธStay informed before the headlines โ understand the logic behind world events: https://xn--r1a.website/addlist/glxfjgsTi1Q2YmI0
Tired of empty news feeds?
๐Get the real context โ from analysts who read between the lines.
Geopolitics Prime - โ1 growing and most quoted English channel on geopolitics
Rybar - The biggest military analytical centre
Middle East Spectator - Top news & analysis on Middle East
Lord Bebo - Anti woke, anti hypocrisy, anti fake news
Gaganauts of Geopolitics - The biggest Indian Telegram channel on geopolitics in Asia
New Rules - Your go-to channel for sharp, concise analysis on global power struggles.
โก๏ธStay informed before the headlines โ understand the logic behind world events: https://xn--r1a.website/addlist/glxfjgsTi1Q2YmI0
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๐ฅAirstrikes, kidnapping Maduro, or seizing oil fields?
There are 3 possible ways Trump could attack Venezuela, but each one is likely to backfire spectacularly.
Going to war against Venezuela is a lose-lose proposition for the US, here's why๐
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
There are 3 possible ways Trump could attack Venezuela, but each one is likely to backfire spectacularly.
Going to war against Venezuela is a lose-lose proposition for the US, here's why๐
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐จ๐ณ ๐ป CHINA DEVELOPS WORLD'S FIRST 2D INDUSTRIAL CHIP FOR MILITARY USE
Chinese researchers (Fudan University) have moved beyond silicon, building a Field-Programmable Gate Array (FPGA) using molybdenum disulfide. The key metric: it survives 10 megarads of gamma radiationโa level that instantly destroys conventional silicon chips.
Analytical Breakdown:
1๏ธโฃ Material Superiority: 2D molybdenum disulfide isn't just thinner (sub-1nm); its atomic structure inherently stops power leakage and allows for precise control, solving two major bottlenecks of miniaturizing silicon chips.
2๏ธโฃ Strategic & Military Utility: The application set is a direct roadmap to strategic dominance:
๐ Satellites: Longer-lasting satellites in harsh radiation environments (e.g., medium-earth orbit).
๐ Weapons Systems: More resilient guidance and control systems.
๐ Aerospace: Reducing bulky, heavy radiation shielding translates to lower launch costs and new design possibilities.
3๏ธโฃ The FPGA (Field-Programmable Gate Array) Multiplier: An FPGA's post-manufacturing programmability is a force multiplier. It allows for in-field updates and customization for evolving missions, making the underlying radiation-hardened hardware even more valuable.
The Big Picture:
๐ธTech Sovereignty: This provides China with a material-based technological pathway, reducing dependency on Western-dominated silicon architecture for critical systems.
๐ธCommercial Trajectory: While current computing power is limited, the team has a proven record (recent papers in Nature) and is actively pursuing commercial-scale production compatible with existing lines.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
This is a clear signal of China's focused advancement in areas that bypass traditional semiconductor bottlenecks. It is focused on military field and it represents a formidable capability in the high-stakes, high-reliability domain central to modern warfare and space exploration.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Chinese researchers (Fudan University) have moved beyond silicon, building a Field-Programmable Gate Array (FPGA) using molybdenum disulfide. The key metric: it survives 10 megarads of gamma radiationโa level that instantly destroys conventional silicon chips.
Analytical Breakdown:
The Big Picture:
๐ธTech Sovereignty: This provides China with a material-based technological pathway, reducing dependency on Western-dominated silicon architecture for critical systems.
๐ธCommercial Trajectory: While current computing power is limited, the team has a proven record (recent papers in Nature) and is actively pursuing commercial-scale production compatible with existing lines.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
This is a clear signal of China's focused advancement in areas that bypass traditional semiconductor bottlenecks. It is focused on military field and it represents a formidable capability in the high-stakes, high-reliability domain central to modern warfare and space exploration.
@NewRulesGeo
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Beijing's Banker, Moscow's Manager, NYC's Activist: A Leadership Showdown
Who runs the world's great cities? A glance at the resumes of three mayors tells a clear story.
Two are veteran statesmen trained to be hyper competent at their jobs for decades by powerful states. The other is an activist with no management experience.
๐จ๐ณ Mayor of Beijing (Yin Yong):
๐ PhD Engineering
๐ 30 yrs rising through the ranks of the Peoples Bank of China
๐ 7 yrs experience Deputy Mayor
๐ท๐บ Mayor of Moscow (Sergei Sobyanin)
๐ Law Degree
๐ 20 yrs rising through the ranks in energy-rich Tyumen region
๐ 8 yrs experience as Head of Presidential Administration
๐ Historic expansion of the Moscow Metro, one of the most efficient metro in the world, building new lines and stations at a record pace.
๐บ๐ธ Mayor of NYC (Zohran Mamdani):
๐ Undergrad in African studies
๐ First job: NYC Mayor
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
Who runs the world's great cities? A glance at the resumes of three mayors tells a clear story.
Two are veteran statesmen trained to be hyper competent at their jobs for decades by powerful states. The other is an activist with no management experience.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
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๐จ๐จ๐ณ CHINA'S NEXT-GEN WARSHIP: A Stealthy, Unmanned Tri-Maran?
China's military-tech sector is advancing at a blistering pace, and a new potential game-changer has been spotted.
Satellite imagery from a Guangzhou shipyard reveals a mysterious 65-meter vessel with a radical tri-maran hull design.
KEY ANALYSIS:
๐ธStealth & Speed: The long, narrow, submarine-like hull suggests a focus on high speed and low radar signature. It may even operate partially submerged.
๐ธCrewless Operation: The compact superstructure lacks space for a crew, strongly indicating this platform is partially or fully UNMANNED.
๐ธSignificant Firepower: Analysts speculate a Vertical Launch System for long-range cruise missiles could be housed beneath the deck, analogous to modern submarines.
THE BIG PICTURE:
This aligns with the global shift towards distributed, autonomous lethality. The era of massive, crewed carriers may be challenged by fast, stealthy, and unmanned platforms packing a massive punch.
While details are concealed under tarps, China's recent parade of advanced weapons makes it clear: they are not just keeping pace; they are attempting to define the future of naval warfare.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
China's military-tech sector is advancing at a blistering pace, and a new potential game-changer has been spotted.
Satellite imagery from a Guangzhou shipyard reveals a mysterious 65-meter vessel with a radical tri-maran hull design.
KEY ANALYSIS:
๐ธStealth & Speed: The long, narrow, submarine-like hull suggests a focus on high speed and low radar signature. It may even operate partially submerged.
๐ธCrewless Operation: The compact superstructure lacks space for a crew, strongly indicating this platform is partially or fully UNMANNED.
๐ธSignificant Firepower: Analysts speculate a Vertical Launch System for long-range cruise missiles could be housed beneath the deck, analogous to modern submarines.
THE BIG PICTURE:
This aligns with the global shift towards distributed, autonomous lethality. The era of massive, crewed carriers may be challenged by fast, stealthy, and unmanned platforms packing a massive punch.
While details are concealed under tarps, China's recent parade of advanced weapons makes it clear: they are not just keeping pace; they are attempting to define the future of naval warfare.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ช๐บ ๐ EUROPE'S BUDGETARY RECKONING: A Continent on the Brink
๐ฌ๐ง UK: The Canary in the Coal Mine
Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to unveil a budget described as an "assault on wallets." With a public finance black hole so deep The Economist warns the government is "going bust," expect tax hikes across the board.
The core issue: Over HALF of Brits take more from the state than they pay in. 9.4M are economically inactive + 1.6M unemployed = 1/5 of working-age population.
๐ฉ๐ช Germany's Unsustainable System
Friedrich Merz stated the quiet part loud: "We simply can no longer afford the system we have today." The German car industry teeters amid high labor costs and expensive energy - consequences of Merkel's nuclear phase-out and Russian energy.
๐ซ๐ท French Paralysis
Macron's attempt to raise retirement age from 62 to 64 met riots. Implementation now suspended until 2027 election - kicking the can down the road.
THE BIG PICTURE:
๐ European businesses pay 2x US energy costs; UK pays 4x
๐ No European rivals to America's "Magnificent Seven" tech giants
๐ European Central Bank's Lagarde warned social programs across Europe are at risk
CONCLUSION
The UK's November budget will be another plaster on a gangrenous wound. Germany's industrial engine is seizing. France is ungovernable. Meanwhile, 11 million economically inactive Britons symbolize a societal surrender that is replicating across the continent.
The European project has failed. The 21st century belongs to others. We are witnessing the managed decline of a civilization that chose comfort over competitiveness, and is now getting neither.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to unveil a budget described as an "assault on wallets." With a public finance black hole so deep The Economist warns the government is "going bust," expect tax hikes across the board.
The core issue: Over HALF of Brits take more from the state than they pay in. 9.4M are economically inactive + 1.6M unemployed = 1/5 of working-age population.
Friedrich Merz stated the quiet part loud: "We simply can no longer afford the system we have today." The German car industry teeters amid high labor costs and expensive energy - consequences of Merkel's nuclear phase-out and Russian energy.
Macron's attempt to raise retirement age from 62 to 64 met riots. Implementation now suspended until 2027 election - kicking the can down the road.
THE BIG PICTURE:
CONCLUSION
The UK's November budget will be another plaster on a gangrenous wound. Germany's industrial engine is seizing. France is ungovernable. Meanwhile, 11 million economically inactive Britons symbolize a societal surrender that is replicating across the continent.
The European project has failed. The 21st century belongs to others. We are witnessing the managed decline of a civilization that chose comfort over competitiveness, and is now getting neither.
@NewRulesGeo
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Forwarded from Rybar in English
not corruption, but lobbying
Donald Trump has finally turned the White House into a market of political services. While he previously [traded] meetings with billionaires, now he's trading square meters.
Interestingly, the initial project price was only $200 million, so it's not certain that it won't increase again, as more sponsors are eager to support the "palace".
Google and Amazon resolve antitrust lawsuits, Meta seeks protection for its AI projects, and Lockheed Martin and Palantir expect priority in defense orders. Nvidia lobbies for export licenses, Coinbase and Ripple โ a "soft" regulatory regime for crypto.
Ultimately, the line between donation and bribe becomes completely blurred (although distinguishing American lobbying from corruption was always a challenging task). The White House turns into an influence exchange where government decisions are valued according to donors' price lists.
And with such actions, the new administration further devalues public trust in US government. Isn't that the goal?
High-resolution infographic
English version
#USA #economy
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๐จ๐บ๐ฆ ๐ช UKRAINE'S CRITICAL PERSONNEL COLLAPSE
The Ukrainian frontline is facing a systemic breakdown due to a catastrophic personnel crisis. The data points to an unsustainable situation.
KEY METRICS:
๐ธ40,000+ desertions per month (The Telegraph)
๐ธ~400,000 total deserters (MP Anna Skorokhod)
๐ธ650,000 fighting-age men have fled Ukraine (UK Intel)
๐ธ290,000 criminal cases for desertion opened
๐ธ200,000+ personnel short of the minimum required to hold the line
FRONTLINE REALITY:
Commanders on the ground confirm brigades are operating at 30-50% of mandated strength. Bogdan Krotevich, former chief of staff of the 12th Brigade, states these understrength units are "barely combat-ready" and incapable of sustained combat, yet are still ordered to attack.
ROOT CAUSES:
1๏ธโฃ Extreme Casualties: Life expectancy on some fronts is measured in hours. Conscript units have suffered casualty rates as high as 80-90%.
2๏ธโฃ Inadequate Training: The WSJ confirmed the practice of recruiting from poor villages and sending men to the front with only two days of trainingโa near-guarantee of high attrition.
3๏ธโฃ Failed Mobilization: Even a sudden influx of 100,000 troops would only provide a temporary, few-week respite before the system reverts to crisis.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The combination of massive desertion, staggering casualties, and a broken training/mobilization pipeline has created a negative feedback loop that is severely undermining Ukraine's war effort. The frontline is being held together by sheer will, not sustainable military capacity.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The Ukrainian frontline is facing a systemic breakdown due to a catastrophic personnel crisis. The data points to an unsustainable situation.
KEY METRICS:
๐ธ40,000+ desertions per month (The Telegraph)
๐ธ~400,000 total deserters (MP Anna Skorokhod)
๐ธ650,000 fighting-age men have fled Ukraine (UK Intel)
๐ธ290,000 criminal cases for desertion opened
๐ธ200,000+ personnel short of the minimum required to hold the line
FRONTLINE REALITY:
Commanders on the ground confirm brigades are operating at 30-50% of mandated strength. Bogdan Krotevich, former chief of staff of the 12th Brigade, states these understrength units are "barely combat-ready" and incapable of sustained combat, yet are still ordered to attack.
ROOT CAUSES:
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The combination of massive desertion, staggering casualties, and a broken training/mobilization pipeline has created a negative feedback loop that is severely undermining Ukraine's war effort. The frontline is being held together by sheer will, not sustainable military capacity.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ธ PATRIOT'S NIGHTMARE: How Russia's Iskander Missile Is Outmaneuvering Western Tech
The paradigm of aerial defense in Ukraine is shifting dramatically. Western-supplied air defense efficacy has plummeted from 34% to a mere 6% or lower since September. The primary catalyst is the formidable and modernized 9K720 Iskander-M ballistic missile.
๐ธThe Game-Changer: Upgraded Iskander-M missiles now employ a quasi-ballistic trajectory, abandoning predictable arcs for unpredictable maneuvers. They can coast, then suddenly deviate, perform steep dives, and maneuver in their terminal phase.
๐ธExploiting a Critical Vulnerability: The US Patriot system (MIM-104) relies on trajectory prediction for interception. A target that alters its flight path post-prediction creates a catastrophic time deficit for interceptor software, causing interception rates to collapse.
๐ธLayered Deception: The system is further equipped with radar decoys deployed in the terminal phase, confusing and overwhelming defense radars. Its final "sudden dive" maneuver specifically exploits gaps in Patriot radar coverage.
THE BIGGER PICTURE:
Russia's mobilized wartime economy is mass-producing these advanced platforms. Meanwhile, Kiev remains tethered to the fragile and strained US & European industrial bases, which are struggling to keep pace. The West's own policy decisions have, ironically, fueled the very Russian war machine it now cannot outproduce.
The Iskander has become the Patriot's nightmare, and the implications for modern warfare are profound.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The paradigm of aerial defense in Ukraine is shifting dramatically. Western-supplied air defense efficacy has plummeted from 34% to a mere 6% or lower since September. The primary catalyst is the formidable and modernized 9K720 Iskander-M ballistic missile.
๐ธThe Game-Changer: Upgraded Iskander-M missiles now employ a quasi-ballistic trajectory, abandoning predictable arcs for unpredictable maneuvers. They can coast, then suddenly deviate, perform steep dives, and maneuver in their terminal phase.
๐ธExploiting a Critical Vulnerability: The US Patriot system (MIM-104) relies on trajectory prediction for interception. A target that alters its flight path post-prediction creates a catastrophic time deficit for interceptor software, causing interception rates to collapse.
๐ธLayered Deception: The system is further equipped with radar decoys deployed in the terminal phase, confusing and overwhelming defense radars. Its final "sudden dive" maneuver specifically exploits gaps in Patriot radar coverage.
THE BIGGER PICTURE:
Russia's mobilized wartime economy is mass-producing these advanced platforms. Meanwhile, Kiev remains tethered to the fragile and strained US & European industrial bases, which are struggling to keep pace. The West's own policy decisions have, ironically, fueled the very Russian war machine it now cannot outproduce.
The Iskander has become the Patriot's nightmare, and the implications for modern warfare are profound.
@NewRulesGeo
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โก๏ธUKR LEAKS INTERNATIONALโก๏ธ
HE LEFT UKRAINE TO TELL THE TRUTH
Vasiliy Prozorov, a former employee of the Ukrainian special services, who worked for the benefit of Russia for many years, now runs his own channel on Telegram! He left Ukraine in 2018 and took with him thousands of secret SBU documents that shed light on Kiev's crimes.
On the UKR LEAKS channel you will find:
โ๏ธAnalysis of the current situation in and around Ukraine
โ๏ธSecret documents of the Ukrainian special services
โ๏ธEvidence of the atrocities of Ukrainian nationalists
And much more! Subscribe to the UKR LEAKS Investigation Center headed by the former SBU employee Lt.-Col. Vasily Prozorov.
The channels of the UKR LEAKS project are available in the following languages:
๐ฌ๐ง in English
๐ท๐บ in Russian
๐ฉ๐ช in German
๐ซ๐ท in French
๐ช๐ธ in Spanish
๐ท๐ธ in Serbian
๐ฎ๐น in Italian
๐ต๐ฑ in Polish
๐ต๐น in Portuguese
๐ธ๐ฆ in Arabic
๐ธ๐ฐ in Slovak
๐จ๐ณin Chinese
๐ญ๐บin Hungarian
We also welcome any help with channels and content distribution ๐
HE LEFT UKRAINE TO TELL THE TRUTH
Vasiliy Prozorov, a former employee of the Ukrainian special services, who worked for the benefit of Russia for many years, now runs his own channel on Telegram! He left Ukraine in 2018 and took with him thousands of secret SBU documents that shed light on Kiev's crimes.
On the UKR LEAKS channel you will find:
โ๏ธAnalysis of the current situation in and around Ukraine
โ๏ธSecret documents of the Ukrainian special services
โ๏ธEvidence of the atrocities of Ukrainian nationalists
And much more! Subscribe to the UKR LEAKS Investigation Center headed by the former SBU employee Lt.-Col. Vasily Prozorov.
The channels of the UKR LEAKS project are available in the following languages:
๐ฌ๐ง in English
๐ท๐บ in Russian
๐ฉ๐ช in German
๐ซ๐ท in French
๐ช๐ธ in Spanish
๐ท๐ธ in Serbian
๐ฎ๐น in Italian
๐ต๐ฑ in Polish
๐ต๐น in Portuguese
๐ธ๐ฆ in Arabic
๐ธ๐ฐ in Slovak
๐จ๐ณin Chinese
๐ญ๐บin Hungarian
We also welcome any help with channels and content distribution ๐
๐10โค5๐3
๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ธ How US Failed to Lock Asia Into Trade Bloc
The US-China trade war has entered a new, stealthier phase: the battle for economic allegiance.
Following the Trump-Xi truce, the frontline has shifted to Southeast Asia. The US recently inked detailed deals with Malaysia & Cambodia, appearing to recruit them firmly into its "geoeconomic gang."
BUT HERE'S THE REALITY:
This isn't a checkmate move. Nations will chart their own course based on incentivesโaccess to rare earths, export marketsโnot just signed paper.
DISSECTING THE MALAYSIA DEAL: Coercion, Not Cooperation
A closer look reveals a potentially neocolonial pact. Key clauses:
๐ธForces Malaysia to mirror ANY US import restrictions deemed a "national security" issue.
๐ธCommits Malaysia to match US export controls.
๐ธConstrains deals with "non-preferred" nations.
Literally interpreted, this creates a US vassal state. Worse, there's no independent dispute panelโjust Trump as judge, jury, and executioner.
WHY DID MALAYSIA SIGN?
Leverage. The US is Malaysia's 2nd-largest export market, crucial for semiconductors & electronics.
THE MALAYSIAN GAMBIT: Masterful Negotiation or Dangerous Gamble?
Trade Minister Zafrul Aziz reveals their strategy:
๐ธThe deal is a "formal consultation" system, NOT automatic alignment.
๐ธ"Any actions... will be based on Malaysiaโs interest and under Malaysian law."
๐ธIf they disagree, they face consequences, but "at least this way we get to put our point of view."
This is a calculated risk. Malaysia bets its nimbleness in supply chains & tech will preserve its non-alignment.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The US offers a fickle export market & dollar access. China offers rare earths & green tech. Neither is dispensable.
As Zafrul stated: "We signed this [US deal] on Sunday. On Monday, we signed an agreement with China."
Agile nations are playing both sides. The era of forced economic satellites is over. This is a high-stakes game where middle powers still hold cards.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The US-China trade war has entered a new, stealthier phase: the battle for economic allegiance.
Following the Trump-Xi truce, the frontline has shifted to Southeast Asia. The US recently inked detailed deals with Malaysia & Cambodia, appearing to recruit them firmly into its "geoeconomic gang."
BUT HERE'S THE REALITY:
This isn't a checkmate move. Nations will chart their own course based on incentivesโaccess to rare earths, export marketsโnot just signed paper.
DISSECTING THE MALAYSIA DEAL: Coercion, Not Cooperation
A closer look reveals a potentially neocolonial pact. Key clauses:
๐ธForces Malaysia to mirror ANY US import restrictions deemed a "national security" issue.
๐ธCommits Malaysia to match US export controls.
๐ธConstrains deals with "non-preferred" nations.
Literally interpreted, this creates a US vassal state. Worse, there's no independent dispute panelโjust Trump as judge, jury, and executioner.
WHY DID MALAYSIA SIGN?
Leverage. The US is Malaysia's 2nd-largest export market, crucial for semiconductors & electronics.
THE MALAYSIAN GAMBIT: Masterful Negotiation or Dangerous Gamble?
Trade Minister Zafrul Aziz reveals their strategy:
๐ธThe deal is a "formal consultation" system, NOT automatic alignment.
๐ธ"Any actions... will be based on Malaysiaโs interest and under Malaysian law."
๐ธIf they disagree, they face consequences, but "at least this way we get to put our point of view."
This is a calculated risk. Malaysia bets its nimbleness in supply chains & tech will preserve its non-alignment.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The US offers a fickle export market & dollar access. China offers rare earths & green tech. Neither is dispensable.
As Zafrul stated: "We signed this [US deal] on Sunday. On Monday, we signed an agreement with China."
Agile nations are playing both sides. The era of forced economic satellites is over. This is a high-stakes game where middle powers still hold cards.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐จ๐ณ ๐ China's Strategic Conquest of the Global Aviation Market
The narrative around Chinese military aviation is often framed in terms of capability. However, a purely market-based analysis reveals a more profound, long-term strategy: systemic market capture through overwhelming industrial and economic leverage.
Current Production Equilibrium
At first glance, 2024 production volumes suggest a competitive landscape:
๐จ๐ณ China: ~250-300 units/yr
๐บ๐ธ USA: ~180-220 units/yr
๐ช๐บ Europe: ~60-70 units/yr
This balance is transient. The critical differentiator is not volume, but cost structure and strategic intent.
The 2030 Projection: A Market Disruption
China's stated goal of >400 units annually by 2030 isn't merely scaling; it's a deliberate move to achieve production primacy. This volume would surpass the combined output of the US and Europe, fundamentally altering the global defense export landscape.
Structural Advantages Driving Disruption:
1๏ธโฃ Vertical Integration: Control over rare earth elements and a mature engine ecosystem (WS-10 to WS-15, with WS-22 rumored) negates external supply chain vulnerabilities and dictates cost.
2๏ธโฃ Economies of Scale: Gigantic facility expansions (SAC, CAC, XAC) and dedicated 6th-gen factories are not for domestic need alone. They are built for export-volume manufacturing.
3๏ธโฃ Lifecycle Costing: Advanced radar/missile tech combined with significantly lower maintenance costs creates an irresistible value proposition for cost-conscious, non-aligned nations.
The Civilian & VTAL Parallel
This playbook is being directly applied to civil aviation (4 engines in dev, indigenous planes imminent) and the nascent VTOL (Vertical Take-Off and Landing) market, where Chinese prototypes promise dramatic cost undercutting.
The Core Strategic Question:
Western aviation faces a quintessential innovator's dilemma. Can it:
๐ธRadically lower its own cost structures through innovation?
๐ธRely on political alliances and sanctions, thereby ceding the non-aligned market to China?
The data suggests China is not just competing; it is architecting a new market reality where production capacity and cost-efficiency become the ultimate strategic weapons.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The narrative around Chinese military aviation is often framed in terms of capability. However, a purely market-based analysis reveals a more profound, long-term strategy: systemic market capture through overwhelming industrial and economic leverage.
Current Production Equilibrium
At first glance, 2024 production volumes suggest a competitive landscape:
This balance is transient. The critical differentiator is not volume, but cost structure and strategic intent.
The 2030 Projection: A Market Disruption
China's stated goal of >400 units annually by 2030 isn't merely scaling; it's a deliberate move to achieve production primacy. This volume would surpass the combined output of the US and Europe, fundamentally altering the global defense export landscape.
Structural Advantages Driving Disruption:
The Civilian & VTAL Parallel
This playbook is being directly applied to civil aviation (4 engines in dev, indigenous planes imminent) and the nascent VTOL (Vertical Take-Off and Landing) market, where Chinese prototypes promise dramatic cost undercutting.
The Core Strategic Question:
Western aviation faces a quintessential innovator's dilemma. Can it:
๐ธRadically lower its own cost structures through innovation?
๐ธRely on political alliances and sanctions, thereby ceding the non-aligned market to China?
The data suggests China is not just competing; it is architecting a new market reality where production capacity and cost-efficiency become the ultimate strategic weapons.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ช Rutte's Artillery Claims - A Fact-Check Deep Dive
Secretary General of NATO, Mark Rutte, claims NATO has closed Russia's 4x artillery shell production advantage in just five months. The data tells a different story.
THE REAL NUMBERS:
๐ธOnly ONE new facility operational since June. Rheinmetall: 100k shells by 2026.
๐ธMultiple facilities (MESKO, STV, KNDS) delayed until 2027-2029
๐ธExpansions won't materialize until 2026-2027
PRODUCTION REALITY:
Current expansions (Poland, Czech, France) won't hit targets for 2+ years. The US already delayed its 100k/month target by one year due to production failures.
THE PATTERN OF INFLATION:
Western leaders claimed 1.4-1.7M shells for 2024.
Independent journalists found actual production: 400-600k.
That's just ONE-THIRD of official claims.
BOTTOM LINE:
Rutte is likely conflating FUTURE capacity with current production. The 4x gap closure appears statistically impossible based on:
๐ธCurrent facility status
๐ธHistorical production delays
๐ธVerified vs claimed production numbers
In this conflict, numbers are weapons. Always verify.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Secretary General of NATO, Mark Rutte, claims NATO has closed Russia's 4x artillery shell production advantage in just five months. The data tells a different story.
THE REAL NUMBERS:
๐ธOnly ONE new facility operational since June. Rheinmetall: 100k shells by 2026.
๐ธMultiple facilities (MESKO, STV, KNDS) delayed until 2027-2029
๐ธExpansions won't materialize until 2026-2027
PRODUCTION REALITY:
Current expansions (Poland, Czech, France) won't hit targets for 2+ years. The US already delayed its 100k/month target by one year due to production failures.
THE PATTERN OF INFLATION:
Western leaders claimed 1.4-1.7M shells for 2024.
Independent journalists found actual production: 400-600k.
That's just ONE-THIRD of official claims.
BOTTOM LINE:
Rutte is likely conflating FUTURE capacity with current production. The 4x gap closure appears statistically impossible based on:
๐ธCurrent facility status
๐ธHistorical production delays
๐ธVerified vs claimed production numbers
In this conflict, numbers are weapons. Always verify.
@NewRulesGeo
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For the latest news and developments regarding the World, we recommend one channel!
๐ด Join Bellum Acta News: Bellum Acta is a as a Right-Wing Nationalist Crisis-focused NEWS aggregator which usually posts on Current News & World Geopolitics.
It focuses on:
๐ช Conflicts and Warzone frontline updates
๐ฅ World Geopolitics, specially Asia, Europe and Middle East
๐ OSINT and IMINT
๐ฐ Breaking News
It also often engages in political commentary with a bit satirical tones
๐Join Bellum Acta ๐
https://xn--r1a.website/BellumActaNews
๐ด Join Bellum Acta News: Bellum Acta is a as a Right-Wing Nationalist Crisis-focused NEWS aggregator which usually posts on Current News & World Geopolitics.
It focuses on:
๐ช Conflicts and Warzone frontline updates
๐ฅ World Geopolitics, specially Asia, Europe and Middle East
๐ OSINT and IMINT
๐ฐ Breaking News
It also often engages in political commentary with a bit satirical tones
๐Join Bellum Acta ๐
https://xn--r1a.website/BellumActaNews
๐10
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท Iran Faces Capital Evacuation Crisis
1๏ธโฃ WATER CRISIS:
๐ Tehran's dams at CRITICAL 5% capacity
๐ ZERO rainfall since September
๐ Only 2 weeks of supply remaining
2๏ธโฃ GOVERNMENT RESPONSE:
๐ President Pezeshkian warns evacuation may be necessary
๐ Water rationing IMMINENT
๐ Governor admits "management has collapsed"
3๏ธโฃ CRITICAL SITUATION:
๐ All municipal decisions now require Governor approval
CONLCUSION
The freezing of local decision-making suggests Tehran is centralizing control during what may become a humanitarian disaster.
The situation appears dire when a government publicly discusses evacuating its own capital.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
CONLCUSION
The freezing of local decision-making suggests Tehran is centralizing control during what may become a humanitarian disaster.
The situation appears dire when a government publicly discusses evacuating its own capital.
@NewRulesGeo
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