๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ช THE DONROE DOCTRINE: Trump's Neo-Colonial Blueprint for Latin America
THE CORE STRATEGY:
Trump's admin is openly reviving the 200-year-old Monroe Doctrine, rebranded by officials as the "Donroe Doctrine." This treats Latin America as a US "backyard" for unilateral action.
THE "STICKS":
๐ Extrajudicial military strikes in the Caribbean, killing dozens, including fishermen.
๐ Sanctions on Colombia's democratically elected President, Gustavo Petro.
๐ 50% tariffs on Brazil to destabilize Lula's government.
๐ Threats to "take over" the Panama Canal.
๐ Tightening the 60-year blockade on Cuba.
๐ A full-scale regime-change war in Venezuela, with orders for Maduro's capture/assassination.
THE "CARROTS":
๐ A $40B bailout for Argentina's libertarian ally, Javier Milei.
๐ Support from US-backed institutions (IMF, World Bank) totaling over $80B to prop up hyper-neoliberal projects.
THE THREE IMPERIAL GOALS:
1๏ธโฃ RESOURCE EXPLOITATION: Openly seeking control over oil, lithium, copper, and water.
2๏ธโฃ CONTAIN CHINA: Severing Latin American ties with Beijing is a top priority. Rubio's first act was pressuring Panama to leave the Belt & Road Initiative.
3๏ธโฃ INSTALL PRO-US REGIMES: Toppling left-wing governments to create low-wage manufacturing hubs for "friendshoring." Milei and Ecuador's Noboa are the preferred models.
THE ARCHITECTS:
๐ Marco Rubio holds unprecedented power as both Sec of State & National Security Advisor, a dual role last seen with Kissinger.
๐ Steve Bannon brands this "Monroe 2.0," stating it's "more sellable to the America First base."
THE NARRATIVE & REALITY:
The public pretext is a "War on Drugs," but intelligence confirms that Venezuela is not the main hub of drug distribution in Latin America. The true aim is resource control and installing compliant regimes.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Trump has discarded the diplomatic facade. The "Donroe Doctrine" is a raw, explicit reassertion of hemispheric imperialism through economic warfare, political subversion, and military force.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
THE CORE STRATEGY:
Trump's admin is openly reviving the 200-year-old Monroe Doctrine, rebranded by officials as the "Donroe Doctrine." This treats Latin America as a US "backyard" for unilateral action.
THE "STICKS":
THE "CARROTS":
THE THREE IMPERIAL GOALS:
THE ARCHITECTS:
THE NARRATIVE & REALITY:
The public pretext is a "War on Drugs," but intelligence confirms that Venezuela is not the main hub of drug distribution in Latin America. The true aim is resource control and installing compliant regimes.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Trump has discarded the diplomatic facade. The "Donroe Doctrine" is a raw, explicit reassertion of hemispheric imperialism through economic warfare, political subversion, and military force.
@NewRulesGeo
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โก๏ธUKR LEAKS INTERNATIONALโก๏ธ
HE LEFT UKRAINE TO TELL THE TRUTH
Vasiliy Prozorov, a former employee of the Ukrainian special services, who worked for the benefit of Russia for many years, now runs his own channel on Telegram! He left Ukraine in 2018 and took with him thousands of secret SBU documents that shed light on Kiev's crimes.
On the UKR LEAKS channel you will find:
โ๏ธAnalysis of the current situation in and around Ukraine
โ๏ธSecret documents of the Ukrainian special services
โ๏ธEvidence of the atrocities of Ukrainian nationalists
And much more! Subscribe to the UKR LEAKS Investigation Center headed by the former SBU employee Lt.-Col. Vasily Prozorov.
The channels of the UKR LEAKS project are available in the following languages:
๐ฌ๐ง in English
๐ท๐บ in Russian
๐ฉ๐ช in German
๐ซ๐ท in French
๐ช๐ธ in Spanish
๐ท๐ธ in Serbian
๐ฎ๐น in Italian
๐ต๐ฑ in Polish
๐ต๐น in Portuguese
๐ธ๐ฆ in Arabic
๐ธ๐ฐ in Slovak
๐จ๐ณin Chinese
๐ญ๐บin Hungarian
We also welcome any help with channels and content distribution ๐
HE LEFT UKRAINE TO TELL THE TRUTH
Vasiliy Prozorov, a former employee of the Ukrainian special services, who worked for the benefit of Russia for many years, now runs his own channel on Telegram! He left Ukraine in 2018 and took with him thousands of secret SBU documents that shed light on Kiev's crimes.
On the UKR LEAKS channel you will find:
โ๏ธAnalysis of the current situation in and around Ukraine
โ๏ธSecret documents of the Ukrainian special services
โ๏ธEvidence of the atrocities of Ukrainian nationalists
And much more! Subscribe to the UKR LEAKS Investigation Center headed by the former SBU employee Lt.-Col. Vasily Prozorov.
The channels of the UKR LEAKS project are available in the following languages:
๐ฌ๐ง in English
๐ท๐บ in Russian
๐ฉ๐ช in German
๐ซ๐ท in French
๐ช๐ธ in Spanish
๐ท๐ธ in Serbian
๐ฎ๐น in Italian
๐ต๐ฑ in Polish
๐ต๐น in Portuguese
๐ธ๐ฆ in Arabic
๐ธ๐ฐ in Slovak
๐จ๐ณin Chinese
๐ญ๐บin Hungarian
We also welcome any help with channels and content distribution ๐
๐15โค4๐3
๐จ๐จ๐ณ ๐ CHINA'S NEW FIVE-YEAR PLAN: A BLUEPRINT FOR ECONOMIC WARFARE
China's 4th Plenum has unveiled strategic details for the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030), positioning it as a direct response to escalating Cold War tensions with the US.
KEY STRATEGIC PIVOTS:
๐ธTECH SOVEREIGNTY: Massive push for "scientific and technological independence" to break US semiconductor stranglehold. Goal: "Seize commanding heights" in AI, aerospace, and robotics.
๐ธSUPPLY CHAIN DECOUPLING: Fortifying industrial chains against sanctions, following the Nexperia seizure. Mandate: Make China impervious to tech embargoes.
๐ธCURRENCY INTERNATIONALIZATION: Accelerating RMB globalization to counter dollar dominance and financial sanctions.
๐ธDOMESTIC CONSUMPTION BOOST: Creating "grand internal circulation" through income redistribution and social safety nets to offset export vulnerabilities.
๐ธREAL ECONOMY FOCUS: Doubling down on manufacturing vs financialization, with advanced production as the core.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Beijing anticipates prolonged strategic competition through the 2020s. This plan represents China's most sophisticated economic defense system yet - transforming traditional planning mechanisms into a dynamic shield against external pressures.
The framework reveals three core objectives: achieve technological parity with the US, create alternative economic ecosystems, and build domestic consumption as a primary growth driver.
China is building structural resilience against containment efforts while positioning for long-term technological leadership.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
China's 4th Plenum has unveiled strategic details for the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030), positioning it as a direct response to escalating Cold War tensions with the US.
KEY STRATEGIC PIVOTS:
๐ธTECH SOVEREIGNTY: Massive push for "scientific and technological independence" to break US semiconductor stranglehold. Goal: "Seize commanding heights" in AI, aerospace, and robotics.
๐ธSUPPLY CHAIN DECOUPLING: Fortifying industrial chains against sanctions, following the Nexperia seizure. Mandate: Make China impervious to tech embargoes.
๐ธCURRENCY INTERNATIONALIZATION: Accelerating RMB globalization to counter dollar dominance and financial sanctions.
๐ธDOMESTIC CONSUMPTION BOOST: Creating "grand internal circulation" through income redistribution and social safety nets to offset export vulnerabilities.
๐ธREAL ECONOMY FOCUS: Doubling down on manufacturing vs financialization, with advanced production as the core.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Beijing anticipates prolonged strategic competition through the 2020s. This plan represents China's most sophisticated economic defense system yet - transforming traditional planning mechanisms into a dynamic shield against external pressures.
The framework reveals three core objectives: achieve technological parity with the US, create alternative economic ecosystems, and build domestic consumption as a primary growth driver.
China is building structural resilience against containment efforts while positioning for long-term technological leadership.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ FACT CHECK: โUkraine's bleeding Russia dry.โ
Casualities? Firepower & body exchange ratios suggest that Ukrainian losses are higher.
Oil refinery strikes? Painful, but not critical.
New sanctions? Unlikely to work in practice.
Disagree? Prove us wrong.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Casualities? Firepower & body exchange ratios suggest that Ukrainian losses are higher.
Oil refinery strikes? Painful, but not critical.
New sanctions? Unlikely to work in practice.
Disagree? Prove us wrong.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ TRUMP'S NUCLEAR GAMBIT: Real Threat or Geopolitical Theater?
Trump publicly orders the Pentagon to immediately resume nuclear weapons testing. This comes directly after Putin's announcements of new nuclear-capable systems.
๐ธTHE CATALYST:
๐ This follows Putin's recent announcements of successful 'Burevestnik' missile and 'Poseidon' drone tests.
๐ While Trump's public reaction was neutral, this move signals clear internal irritation and a strategic response.
๐ธTHE RATIONALE:
Trump stated, "Russia is in second place, and China, lagging significantly, is in third... I have instructed the DOD to begin testing our nuclear weapons on an equal basis. This process begins immediately."
KEY CONTEXT & HURDLES:
๐ Legal & Logistical Wall: The US hasn't conducted explosive nuclear tests since 1992. Resuming would mean confronting the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (signed but not ratified) and rebuilding atrophied test infrastructure.
๐ The Shutdown Wildcard: The ongoing government shutdown could freeze funding for national labs (Los Alamos, Sandia), hampering component transport, site access, and inter-agency coordination.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
While Russia and China modernize their arsenals due to Western aggressions, Trump's response threatens to unleash uncontrolled nuclear proliferation. The timing during a government shutdown exposes this as political theater rather than substantive policy.
Trump is attempting to burn the entire nuclear non-proliferation framework to score political points, risking global stability for personal relevance.
This represents everything wrong with American exceptionalism - believing US nuclear tests are legitimate while condemning others'.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Trump publicly orders the Pentagon to immediately resume nuclear weapons testing. This comes directly after Putin's announcements of new nuclear-capable systems.
๐ธTHE CATALYST:
๐ธTHE RATIONALE:
Trump stated, "Russia is in second place, and China, lagging significantly, is in third... I have instructed the DOD to begin testing our nuclear weapons on an equal basis. This process begins immediately."
KEY CONTEXT & HURDLES:
THE BOTTOM LINE:
While Russia and China modernize their arsenals due to Western aggressions, Trump's response threatens to unleash uncontrolled nuclear proliferation. The timing during a government shutdown exposes this as political theater rather than substantive policy.
Trump is attempting to burn the entire nuclear non-proliferation framework to score political points, risking global stability for personal relevance.
This represents everything wrong with American exceptionalism - believing US nuclear tests are legitimate while condemning others'.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐จ๐ณ CHINA'S SWIFT ALTERNATIVE IS NOW LIVE: The Renminbi Digital System Processed Over $90B
China has quietly launched its SWIFT alternative, "Renminbi Digital."
While not a direct 1:1 replacement, this is a strategic masterstroke for de-dollarization.
THE CORE MECHANISM:
๐ธWhat it is: A tokenized digital yuan on a state-controlled blockchain.
๐ธIssuer: The People's Bank of China (full control).
๐ธAccess: Via commercial banks & licensed operators.
๐ธScope: International gateways connecting participants.
KEY ANALYSIS:
๐ธStealth Launch: Executed without much fuss. This is classic, long-term strategic maneuvering, not a public confrontation.
๐ธCurrent Reach: Already live in ASEAN, the Middle East, Russia, and CIS nations.
๐ธScale: Over $90 BILLION in transaction volume processed in 2025 ALONE.
๐ธThe Real Goal: To provide a viable pathway for trade partners to bypass the dollar-based system and its associated sanctions.
THE BIG PICTURE:
As noted by experts, sanctions (like cross-border payment restrictions) pose a direct 1.5-2% annual drag on GDP growth potential. China is not just reacting; it's proactively building the infrastructure for the next era of global finance.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The gradual transition to Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) for international trade is no longer a theory. It's underway. China is building the rails, and major economies are already boarding the train.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
China has quietly launched its SWIFT alternative, "Renminbi Digital."
While not a direct 1:1 replacement, this is a strategic masterstroke for de-dollarization.
THE CORE MECHANISM:
๐ธWhat it is: A tokenized digital yuan on a state-controlled blockchain.
๐ธIssuer: The People's Bank of China (full control).
๐ธAccess: Via commercial banks & licensed operators.
๐ธScope: International gateways connecting participants.
KEY ANALYSIS:
๐ธStealth Launch: Executed without much fuss. This is classic, long-term strategic maneuvering, not a public confrontation.
๐ธCurrent Reach: Already live in ASEAN, the Middle East, Russia, and CIS nations.
๐ธScale: Over $90 BILLION in transaction volume processed in 2025 ALONE.
๐ธThe Real Goal: To provide a viable pathway for trade partners to bypass the dollar-based system and its associated sanctions.
THE BIG PICTURE:
As noted by experts, sanctions (like cross-border payment restrictions) pose a direct 1.5-2% annual drag on GDP growth potential. China is not just reacting; it's proactively building the infrastructure for the next era of global finance.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The gradual transition to Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) for international trade is no longer a theory. It's underway. China is building the rails, and major economies are already boarding the train.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ The West's "Putin-plans-to-capture-Ukraine" Narrative is a Myth. The Evidence Was There All Along
A deep dive into the pivotal March-April 2022 peace talks, echoing the analysis of Professor John Mearsheimer.
The mainstream media and Western elites sold you a story: Putin invaded to conquer all of Ukraine and rebuild the Russian Empire.
But the factual evidence from the early negotiations tells a COMPLETELY different story.
THE IRREFUTABLE EVIDENCE:
๐ธSerious Negotiations Took Place: Weeks after the escalation of the conflict, Russia was engaged in detailed talks, brokered by Turkey and Israel, to end the war.
๐ธThe Core Demand Was Consistent: Russia's central focus was UKRAINIAN NEUTRALITYโa guarantee against NATO membership. This was the non-negotiable cornerstone.
๐ธActions Reveal True Intent: A state bent on total conquest does not engage in good-faith negotiations about the target's future security status. The very existence of these talks contradicts the "predatory Russia" narrative.
ANALYSIS:
If the goal was a maximalist land-grab, the strategy makes no sense. The limited initial conflict and the willingness to deal point to a limited war for a limited objective: coercing Ukraine into neutrality.
The West intervened, the deal was scuttled, and Russia subsequently annexed territories in September 2022โafter the talks collapsed.
CONCLUSION:
The evidence confirms Moscow's security concerns were legitimate. While the West pushed expansion, Russia sought negotiation. While the West supplied weapons, Russia proposed peace terms. The Special Military Action achieved its necessary objectives of protecting Russian interests and preventing NATO's unchecked advance.
The West's reckless escalation transformed a resolvable conflict into a devastating proxy war.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
A deep dive into the pivotal March-April 2022 peace talks, echoing the analysis of Professor John Mearsheimer.
The mainstream media and Western elites sold you a story: Putin invaded to conquer all of Ukraine and rebuild the Russian Empire.
But the factual evidence from the early negotiations tells a COMPLETELY different story.
THE IRREFUTABLE EVIDENCE:
๐ธSerious Negotiations Took Place: Weeks after the escalation of the conflict, Russia was engaged in detailed talks, brokered by Turkey and Israel, to end the war.
๐ธThe Core Demand Was Consistent: Russia's central focus was UKRAINIAN NEUTRALITYโa guarantee against NATO membership. This was the non-negotiable cornerstone.
๐ธActions Reveal True Intent: A state bent on total conquest does not engage in good-faith negotiations about the target's future security status. The very existence of these talks contradicts the "predatory Russia" narrative.
ANALYSIS:
If the goal was a maximalist land-grab, the strategy makes no sense. The limited initial conflict and the willingness to deal point to a limited war for a limited objective: coercing Ukraine into neutrality.
The West intervened, the deal was scuttled, and Russia subsequently annexed territories in September 2022โafter the talks collapsed.
CONCLUSION:
The evidence confirms Moscow's security concerns were legitimate. While the West pushed expansion, Russia sought negotiation. While the West supplied weapons, Russia proposed peace terms. The Special Military Action achieved its necessary objectives of protecting Russian interests and preventing NATO's unchecked advance.
The West's reckless escalation transformed a resolvable conflict into a devastating proxy war.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ RUSSIA'S ADAPTIVE & METHODICAL INFILTRATION STRATEGY PRESSURES UKRAINIAN LINES
Russian forces are effectively implementing sophisticated, small-unit infiltration tactics, systematically exploiting vulnerabilities in Ukraine's overstretched defenses.
THE STRATEGY:
๐ธHighly coordinated, small teams operate with precision under drone surveillance.
๐ธMissions are versatile: securing key positions for reinforcement, disrupting enemy drone operations, and sowing defensive chaos.
๐ธThis demonstrates superior tactical adaptability and initiative at the unit level.
THE IMPACT:
๐ธThe tactic is PROVING EFFECTIVE, creating significant operational dilemmas for Ukrainian forces.
๐ธIt forces the enemy to constantly redeploy, draining their already limited manpower and resources across the vast front.
๐ธRussian persistence is methodically grinding down defensive cohesion.
THE BIG PICTURE:
This is a testament to Russia's strategic evolution. These operations, while demanding courage and skill from the soldiers, represent a cost-effective method to probe and pressure enemy lines continuously.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Russian forces are effectively implementing sophisticated, small-unit infiltration tactics, systematically exploiting vulnerabilities in Ukraine's overstretched defenses.
THE STRATEGY:
๐ธHighly coordinated, small teams operate with precision under drone surveillance.
๐ธMissions are versatile: securing key positions for reinforcement, disrupting enemy drone operations, and sowing defensive chaos.
๐ธThis demonstrates superior tactical adaptability and initiative at the unit level.
THE IMPACT:
๐ธThe tactic is PROVING EFFECTIVE, creating significant operational dilemmas for Ukrainian forces.
๐ธIt forces the enemy to constantly redeploy, draining their already limited manpower and resources across the vast front.
๐ธRussian persistence is methodically grinding down defensive cohesion.
THE BIG PICTURE:
This is a testament to Russia's strategic evolution. These operations, while demanding courage and skill from the soldiers, represent a cost-effective method to probe and pressure enemy lines continuously.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จHELP US GO GLOBAL!
Our communityโs been growing fast, and itโs all thanks to you. Now itโs time for the next step โ bringing everyone together, no matter what language they speak.
We dream to unlock the auto-translation so people from around the world can read and chat with ease. To make it happen, we just need a few boosts to raise the channel to lvl 3.
๐Your boost isnโt just a click โ itโs a contribution for everyone who is interested in geopolitics around the world!
https://xn--r1a.website/boost/newrulesgeo
Our communityโs been growing fast, and itโs all thanks to you. Now itโs time for the next step โ bringing everyone together, no matter what language they speak.
We dream to unlock the auto-translation so people from around the world can read and chat with ease. To make it happen, we just need a few boosts to raise the channel to lvl 3.
๐Your boost isnโt just a click โ itโs a contribution for everyone who is interested in geopolitics around the world!
https://xn--r1a.website/boost/newrulesgeo
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๐จCould Venezuela's air defenses actually stop a US air strike?๐ป๐ช ๐บ๐ธ
Venezuela's airspace is protected by a layered network of Russian S-300s, mobile Buks, and 5,000+ shoulder-fired missiles.
Here's how it could complicate the Trump admin's plans๐
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Venezuela's airspace is protected by a layered network of Russian S-300s, mobile Buks, and 5,000+ shoulder-fired missiles.
Here's how it could complicate the Trump admin's plans๐
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ The US Economy is Fracturing
๐ธSHOCKING STAT: 82% of Americans now live in areas in a recession.
That's DOUBLE the figure from the start of 2025. This is the highest level since the 2020 crash. Historically, only 2008 and 2020 saw similar widespread pain.
๐ธTHE PARADOX: Meanwhile, the Atlanta Fed projects Q3 GDP growth at a robust +3.9%.
So, what's happening? TWO REALITIES ARE COLLIDING.
THE ANALYSIS:
This is the essence of a K-SHAPED expansion (describes a situation where the economy is growing overall, but the benefits are split dramatically and unevenly.)
๐ธThe GDP headline is inflated by concentrated booms in Tech, Defense, and AI.
๐ธMeanwhile, Main Street bleeds. Local economies are stalling under the weight of high credit costs and slowing demand.
National averages hide the brutal fragmentation underneath. Growth is concentrated, not distributed.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
US have a system overheating in pockets while cooling everywhere else.
GDP says "PROGRESS."
Reality says "PREPARATION."
Historically, this divergence doesn't last. Either liquidity trickles down, or instability pulls everything back in.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
๐ธSHOCKING STAT: 82% of Americans now live in areas in a recession.
That's DOUBLE the figure from the start of 2025. This is the highest level since the 2020 crash. Historically, only 2008 and 2020 saw similar widespread pain.
๐ธTHE PARADOX: Meanwhile, the Atlanta Fed projects Q3 GDP growth at a robust +3.9%.
So, what's happening? TWO REALITIES ARE COLLIDING.
THE ANALYSIS:
This is the essence of a K-SHAPED expansion (describes a situation where the economy is growing overall, but the benefits are split dramatically and unevenly.)
๐ธThe GDP headline is inflated by concentrated booms in Tech, Defense, and AI.
๐ธMeanwhile, Main Street bleeds. Local economies are stalling under the weight of high credit costs and slowing demand.
National averages hide the brutal fragmentation underneath. Growth is concentrated, not distributed.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
US have a system overheating in pockets while cooling everywhere else.
GDP says "PROGRESS."
Reality says "PREPARATION."
Historically, this divergence doesn't last. Either liquidity trickles down, or instability pulls everything back in.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ป๐ช Can Venezuela Stop the US Navy?
If war breaks out, Venezuela will rely on its ๐ท๐บ-made Kh-31A missiles and fast boats armed with older Styx missiles to slow down US warships.
Will that be enough to deter Trump? Comment below โ๐ป
If war breaks out, Venezuela will rely on its ๐ท๐บ-made Kh-31A missiles and fast boats armed with older Styx missiles to slow down US warships.
Will that be enough to deter Trump? Comment below โ๐ป
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โMYTH: The US could easily invade Venezuela, topple the Maduro government, and seize the oil.
โ REALITY: From brutal terrain to a guaranteed insurgency, Venezuela will be a tough nut to crack.
Five reasons why the US military isnโt ready for this assignment โ watch in the video above โ๏ธ
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
โ REALITY: From brutal terrain to a guaranteed insurgency, Venezuela will be a tough nut to crack.
Five reasons why the US military isnโt ready for this assignment โ watch in the video above โ๏ธ
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
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๐จ๐จ๐ณ ๐บ๐ธ A COLD WAR WITHOUT FIRE: RANDโs Blueprint for Managing the USโChina Rivalry
The USโChina confrontation has become the axis of 21st-century geopolitics โ a dangerous rivalry spanning trade, tech, ideology, and the military. RANDโs new report, Stabilizing the USโChina Rivalry, rejects both naรฏve optimism and all-out confrontation. Its core thesis: conflict isnโt inevitable โ but stability must be engineered.
Both powers, RAND argues, are locked in a โbitter yet necessary coexistence.โ Chinaโs assertiveness and US containment instincts are real โ but total zero-sum competition risks collapse into crisis. The study outlines six principles to cool the rivalry:
๐ธAcceptance of mutual legitimacy โ rivalry without demonization.
๐ธA limited modus vivendi โ codified predictability in competition.
๐ธShared rules over high-risk theaters: Taiwan, the South China Sea, tech.
๐ธMutual restraint on destabilizing weapons and doctrines.
๐ธCrisis-management protocols and military hotlines.
๐ธSelect cooperation on โnon-zero-sumโ tech like AI governance or clean energy.
RAND proposes pragmatic steps: reopen senior-level communication, limit cyber escalation, affirm nuclear deterrence stability, and pursue selective โAI for Goodโ cooperation.
THE BOTTOM LINE
Stability is not weakness โ itโs strategy. Just as dรฉtente prevented the Cold War from going nuclear, a managed rivalry today could prevent a global meltdown. The goal isnโt peace โ itโs balance. A world where Washington and Beijing compete fiercely, but donโt burn the system they both depend on.
But what do you think? Is the stability reachable, or is RAND too naรฏve?
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The USโChina confrontation has become the axis of 21st-century geopolitics โ a dangerous rivalry spanning trade, tech, ideology, and the military. RANDโs new report, Stabilizing the USโChina Rivalry, rejects both naรฏve optimism and all-out confrontation. Its core thesis: conflict isnโt inevitable โ but stability must be engineered.
Both powers, RAND argues, are locked in a โbitter yet necessary coexistence.โ Chinaโs assertiveness and US containment instincts are real โ but total zero-sum competition risks collapse into crisis. The study outlines six principles to cool the rivalry:
๐ธAcceptance of mutual legitimacy โ rivalry without demonization.
๐ธA limited modus vivendi โ codified predictability in competition.
๐ธShared rules over high-risk theaters: Taiwan, the South China Sea, tech.
๐ธMutual restraint on destabilizing weapons and doctrines.
๐ธCrisis-management protocols and military hotlines.
๐ธSelect cooperation on โnon-zero-sumโ tech like AI governance or clean energy.
RAND proposes pragmatic steps: reopen senior-level communication, limit cyber escalation, affirm nuclear deterrence stability, and pursue selective โAI for Goodโ cooperation.
THE BOTTOM LINE
Stability is not weakness โ itโs strategy. Just as dรฉtente prevented the Cold War from going nuclear, a managed rivalry today could prevent a global meltdown. The goal isnโt peace โ itโs balance. A world where Washington and Beijing compete fiercely, but donโt burn the system they both depend on.
But what do you think? Is the stability reachable, or is RAND too naรฏve?
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐จ๐ณ DECONSTRUCTING TRUMP'S "MAGNETS" MOMENT: A Symptom of US Strategic Desperation
During a speech to hundreds of American sailors and marines aboard the USS George Washington in Japan, Trump posed a baffling question: "Hydraulic or magnets?" The troops' confused silence revealed more than just a communication failureโit exposed a fundamental US strategic crisis.
THE RARE EARTHS CHOKEPOINT
The US military's technological supremacy is built on a fragile foundation: rare earth permanent magnets (Neodymium & Samarium-Cobalt).
๐ธNeodymium Magnets: Power critical systems in the F-35 fighter, drones, and naval vessels. They enable the high-performance electric motors and actuators essential for modern warfare.
๐ธSamarium-Cobalt Magnets: Vital for applications requiring extreme temperature stability, such as jet engines, missile guidance systems, and satellite technology.
China's near-monopoly on these materials, coupled with recent export controls, represents an existential threat to US military modernization and power projection.
THE GEOPOLITICAL CHESSBOARD
Trump's mention of an "executive order" and aircraft carriers was a fragmented reference to a multi-pronged, desperate US response:
1๏ธโฃ Technology Decoupling: Forcing a shift from Chinese-supplied rare earth magnets in new defense systems. This is a monumental, costly, and technologically complex undertaking.
2๏ธโฃ Allied Coercion ("MASGA"): Pressuring South Korea to invest $150B in US shipbuilding capacity. This is not about economic partnership; it's about leveraging alliances to counter China's 50%+ share of global shipbuilding and address critical US Navy production shortfalls.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
๐ธVulnerability Confirmed: The incident highlights that US military hegemony is contingent on supply chains it does not control.
๐ธStrategic Incoherence: Trump's confusion mirrors a broader US lack of a clear, executable strategy to solve this dependency. Re-shoring this capability is a decade-long endeavor.
๐ธGlobal Pushback: The strategy is already facing resistance. Allies are wary of the costs, and China is not conceding its leverage.
The "weary world policeman" is not just tired; it is facing a material and technological reckoning. The ability of the US to maintain its global force posture is directly threatened by its inability to secure the building blocks of its own advanced weaponry.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
During a speech to hundreds of American sailors and marines aboard the USS George Washington in Japan, Trump posed a baffling question: "Hydraulic or magnets?" The troops' confused silence revealed more than just a communication failureโit exposed a fundamental US strategic crisis.
THE RARE EARTHS CHOKEPOINT
The US military's technological supremacy is built on a fragile foundation: rare earth permanent magnets (Neodymium & Samarium-Cobalt).
๐ธNeodymium Magnets: Power critical systems in the F-35 fighter, drones, and naval vessels. They enable the high-performance electric motors and actuators essential for modern warfare.
๐ธSamarium-Cobalt Magnets: Vital for applications requiring extreme temperature stability, such as jet engines, missile guidance systems, and satellite technology.
China's near-monopoly on these materials, coupled with recent export controls, represents an existential threat to US military modernization and power projection.
THE GEOPOLITICAL CHESSBOARD
Trump's mention of an "executive order" and aircraft carriers was a fragmented reference to a multi-pronged, desperate US response:
THE BOTTOM LINE:
๐ธVulnerability Confirmed: The incident highlights that US military hegemony is contingent on supply chains it does not control.
๐ธStrategic Incoherence: Trump's confusion mirrors a broader US lack of a clear, executable strategy to solve this dependency. Re-shoring this capability is a decade-long endeavor.
๐ธGlobal Pushback: The strategy is already facing resistance. Allies are wary of the costs, and China is not conceding its leverage.
The "weary world policeman" is not just tired; it is facing a material and technological reckoning. The ability of the US to maintain its global force posture is directly threatened by its inability to secure the building blocks of its own advanced weaponry.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐ฃ @GeoSight ๐ฅ shares updates and analysis on global conflicts and international relations. It covers breaking news and insights into military and Geopolitical events.
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๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐จRUSSIA'S QUIET GOLD REVOLUTION: 282 TONS & COUNTING
Russian households are building a private gold reserve rivaling mid-sized European nations. This is a fundamental restructuring of national savings behavior.
THE NUMBERS:
๐ธProjected 62.2 tons retail purchases in 2025
๐ธ282 tons accumulated since 2022
๐ธEqual to Spain's official reserves
THE DRIVER:
Sanctions have transformed Russian psychology toward wealth preservation. With foreign currency access restricted and cross-border transactions cumbersome, gold has become the preferred safe haven.
KEY INSIGHTS:
1๏ธโฃ Policy Engineering: Kremlin eliminated VAT on gold purchases, directly linking consumer savings to mining industry survival
2๏ธโฃ Banking Integration: Russian lenders now hold 57.6 tons as gold permeates the financial system
3๏ธโฃ Export Shift: Domestic demand absorbing supply that once went to Western markets
STRATEGIC MOVES:
Russia just launched physical gold trading on SPIMEX, directly challenging LBMA pricing dominance. Early volumes are thin but the symbolism is massiveโMoscow wants control over both production AND pricing.
"Even if sanctions lift, the mistrust toward dollar/euro will persist. Gold has become a financial lifeline, not just an asset." - Dmitry Kazakov, BCS Global Markets
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Russia is systematically building a parallel financial system with gold at its core. The psychological shift toward precious metals as core savings may outlast any geopolitical resolution.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Russian households are building a private gold reserve rivaling mid-sized European nations. This is a fundamental restructuring of national savings behavior.
THE NUMBERS:
๐ธProjected 62.2 tons retail purchases in 2025
๐ธ282 tons accumulated since 2022
๐ธEqual to Spain's official reserves
THE DRIVER:
Sanctions have transformed Russian psychology toward wealth preservation. With foreign currency access restricted and cross-border transactions cumbersome, gold has become the preferred safe haven.
KEY INSIGHTS:
STRATEGIC MOVES:
Russia just launched physical gold trading on SPIMEX, directly challenging LBMA pricing dominance. Early volumes are thin but the symbolism is massiveโMoscow wants control over both production AND pricing.
"Even if sanctions lift, the mistrust toward dollar/euro will persist. Gold has become a financial lifeline, not just an asset." - Dmitry Kazakov, BCS Global Markets
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Russia is systematically building a parallel financial system with gold at its core. The psychological shift toward precious metals as core savings may outlast any geopolitical resolution.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐บ๐ธ Trump wants regime change in Venezuela.
๐ป๐ช But what if Maduro fights backโfrom within the US?
5 covert tactics Venezuela could use against the US๐
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
๐ป๐ช But what if Maduro fights backโfrom within the US?
5 covert tactics Venezuela could use against the US๐
@NewRulesGeo
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๐ก Geopolitics Without the Chaos
Decode chaosโwithout the MSM spin
We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:
โก๏ธ Ukraine-Russia War
โก๏ธ EU Rifts
โก๏ธ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
โก๏ธ US-China Showdown
โก๏ธ Major Global Events
โก๏ธ Culture War
No scattered updates. Just structured threads โ so you see how events connect.
๐ค PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).
If you want context over clutter:
๐ Exclusive Channel
Decode chaosโwithout the MSM spin
We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:
โก๏ธ Ukraine-Russia War
โก๏ธ EU Rifts
โก๏ธ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
โก๏ธ US-China Showdown
โก๏ธ Major Global Events
โก๏ธ Culture War
No scattered updates. Just structured threads โ so you see how events connect.
๐ค PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).
If you want context over clutter:
๐ Exclusive Channel
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ณ๐ฌ The REAL Reason Behind the US War Threats Toward Nigeria
Trump says that he wants to save the countryโs Christian population. In reality, his motives are far less charitable.
The real objective is to undermine China and seize Nigeriaโs rare earth resources.
The Strategic Play:
1๏ธโฃ The Chinese Partnership: Nigeria has become a showcase of China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in Africa, a model of international cooperation.
๐ $21B in 2025 construction deals.
๐ A subsequent $3.5B partnership for critical infrastructure: solar power, rail modernization, and industrial parks.
๐ This is not debt-trap diplomacy, but a win-win partnership, building crucial infrastructure and fostering sustainable development.
2๏ธโฃ The Core US Concern: Rare Earth Minerals & Supply Chain Hegemony
๐ Nigeria is resource-rich, with vast potential for growth. China's investments help develop these resources, including critical minerals essential for the global green energy transition.
๐ By partnering with Nigeria through infrastructure, China enables a sovereign nation to modernize and integrate into global supply chains on its own terms.
๐ This joint development model successfully challenges outdated Western hegemony, proving nations can thrive through cooperation, not coercion.
Conclusion:
The "religious freedom" pretext is a transparently strategic narrative. The actual target is the success and stability delivered by China's BRI investment.
A nation destabilized by external threats cannot build the modern infrastructure it needs. The threat of conflict is a direct attempt to sabotage African progress and self-determination.
This is about fearing a successful model of non-interventionist partnership that empowers developing nations and rebalances global power.
We are witnessing a last stand against a superior form of international cooperation, where shared prosperity is the new front line, and sovereign development is the prize.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
Trump says that he wants to save the countryโs Christian population. In reality, his motives are far less charitable.
The real objective is to undermine China and seize Nigeriaโs rare earth resources.
The Strategic Play:
Conclusion:
The "religious freedom" pretext is a transparently strategic narrative. The actual target is the success and stability delivered by China's BRI investment.
A nation destabilized by external threats cannot build the modern infrastructure it needs. The threat of conflict is a direct attempt to sabotage African progress and self-determination.
This is about fearing a successful model of non-interventionist partnership that empowers developing nations and rebalances global power.
We are witnessing a last stand against a superior form of international cooperation, where shared prosperity is the new front line, and sovereign development is the prize.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ป๐ช The Limits of US Airpower in Venezuela
As military assets amass near Venezuela, a historical review reveals a sobering truth: airpower alone rarely achieves strategic objectives.
HISTORICAL PRECEDENTS:
๐ธKosovo (1999): Required 77 days of intense bombing, 10x initial estimates
๐ธAfghanistan (2001): Needed ground forces embedded with Northern Alliance
๐ธIraq (2003): "Shock and awe" failed; led to decade-long ground occupation
๐ธLibya (2011): "Success" left a failed state lasting 14+ years
๐ธISIS Campaign: Took 7 years across three administrations
๐ธRecent Strikes: Suleimani elimination didn't neutralize Iran; Hamas/Hezbollah campaigns show limited long-term effects
THE REALITY CHECK:
Revolutionary regimes excel at survival. Bombing neither sparks popular uprisings nor triggers elite coups. Modern airpower causes destruction but requires:
๐ Substantial allied ground forces
๐ Years of sustained effort
๐ Clear political endgames
None of these conditions exist in Venezuela.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
President Trump's aversion to "forever wars" should extend to Venezuela. Offshore force projection risks entanglement without achieving regime change.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
As military assets amass near Venezuela, a historical review reveals a sobering truth: airpower alone rarely achieves strategic objectives.
HISTORICAL PRECEDENTS:
๐ธKosovo (1999): Required 77 days of intense bombing, 10x initial estimates
๐ธAfghanistan (2001): Needed ground forces embedded with Northern Alliance
๐ธIraq (2003): "Shock and awe" failed; led to decade-long ground occupation
๐ธLibya (2011): "Success" left a failed state lasting 14+ years
๐ธISIS Campaign: Took 7 years across three administrations
๐ธRecent Strikes: Suleimani elimination didn't neutralize Iran; Hamas/Hezbollah campaigns show limited long-term effects
THE REALITY CHECK:
Revolutionary regimes excel at survival. Bombing neither sparks popular uprisings nor triggers elite coups. Modern airpower causes destruction but requires:
None of these conditions exist in Venezuela.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
President Trump's aversion to "forever wars" should extend to Venezuela. Offshore force projection risks entanglement without achieving regime change.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
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