๐จ๐จ๐ณ ๐ THE WEST IS WRONG: CHINA'S 3-STEP BLUEPRINT FOR BRICS DOMINANCE
BRICS nations are charting a new course, and Chinaโs model provides a masterclass in sovereign development. Hereโs the breakdown:
1. INVESTMENT IS KING, CONSUMPTION IS A RESULT.
Chinaโs growth wasnโt driven by consumer spending but by MASSIVE strategic investment. This investment builds capacity, boosts productivity, and RAISES INCOMES, which then fuels consumption. Shifting focus to consumption-first is a trap that leads to long-term stagnation. The sequence is non-negotiable: INVEST โ PRODUCTIVITY โ INCOME โ CONSUMPTION.
2. MASTER THE 3 PILLARS OF SOVEREIGNTY.
To escape dependency, BRICS must control its core infrastructures:
๐ธPHYSICAL: Networks for moving goods & people.
๐ธINFORMATION: Sovereign digital ecosystems (AI, data, software) free from external control.
๐ธENERGY: High-efficiency systems with a strong Energy Return on Investment (EROEI), moving away from costly imports.
This triad, wrapped in education, is the bedrock of true economic independence.
3. MANAGE THE WAGE-PROFIT SEE-SAW WITH TECH.
China is solving "involution" (intense competition, low profits) by deliberately shifting credit from low-productivity sectors (like real estate) to HIGH-TECH, strategic industries (EVs, Semiconductors, AI). This tech-for-labor substitution raises the system's MAXIMUM profit rate, creating room for HIGHER WAGES without killing profits. The goal is a high-wage, high-productivity economy, not a race to the bottom.
BOTTOM LINE:
The old multilateral order has failed the Global South. China's blueprint proves that sovereignty and prosperity come from DIRECTING CAPITAL toward strategic, transformative investmentsโnot chasing consumption metrics. BRICS must build its own infrastructure, control its financial levers, and manage the transition to a high-tech future.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
BRICS nations are charting a new course, and Chinaโs model provides a masterclass in sovereign development. Hereโs the breakdown:
1. INVESTMENT IS KING, CONSUMPTION IS A RESULT.
Chinaโs growth wasnโt driven by consumer spending but by MASSIVE strategic investment. This investment builds capacity, boosts productivity, and RAISES INCOMES, which then fuels consumption. Shifting focus to consumption-first is a trap that leads to long-term stagnation. The sequence is non-negotiable: INVEST โ PRODUCTIVITY โ INCOME โ CONSUMPTION.
2. MASTER THE 3 PILLARS OF SOVEREIGNTY.
To escape dependency, BRICS must control its core infrastructures:
๐ธPHYSICAL: Networks for moving goods & people.
๐ธINFORMATION: Sovereign digital ecosystems (AI, data, software) free from external control.
๐ธENERGY: High-efficiency systems with a strong Energy Return on Investment (EROEI), moving away from costly imports.
This triad, wrapped in education, is the bedrock of true economic independence.
3. MANAGE THE WAGE-PROFIT SEE-SAW WITH TECH.
China is solving "involution" (intense competition, low profits) by deliberately shifting credit from low-productivity sectors (like real estate) to HIGH-TECH, strategic industries (EVs, Semiconductors, AI). This tech-for-labor substitution raises the system's MAXIMUM profit rate, creating room for HIGHER WAGES without killing profits. The goal is a high-wage, high-productivity economy, not a race to the bottom.
BOTTOM LINE:
The old multilateral order has failed the Global South. China's blueprint proves that sovereignty and prosperity come from DIRECTING CAPITAL toward strategic, transformative investmentsโnot chasing consumption metrics. BRICS must build its own infrastructure, control its financial levers, and manage the transition to a high-tech future.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โค36๐19๐6๐ฅ3
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โ๏ธDelivering information on the SMO, military analysis of exceptional quality and the wider geopolitical and cultural aspects associated with current global events.
It will be interesting. We are here thinking.
Subscribe at t.me/two_majors
Learn the truth from the Two Majors.
It will be interesting. We are here thinking.
Subscribe at t.me/two_majors
Learn the truth from the Two Majors.
โค11๐4๐2๐1
๐จ๐บ๐ธ๐ง The US Intel System is BROKEN
Hereโs the HARD TRUTH about the private contractor epidemic plaguing US national security.
THE SITUATION:
Post-9/11, agencies like the CIA & NSA needed to scale FAST. They turned to private firms (Booz Allen, Palantir, CACI) for immediate, specialized skills. A practical solution became a permanent crutch.
THE CORE PROBLEM:
Profit is now prioritized over protection. The system is engineered for waste.
1๏ธโฃ VAGUE CONTRACTS: Ambiguous language allows for "mission creep." The Abu Ghraib scandal is a prime example where a logistics contract was twisted into interrogation roles.
2๏ธโฃ ZERO ACCOUNTABILITY: Weak oversight leads to massive overbilling. A GAO audit found millions wasted on projects with no accountability.
3๏ธโฃ QUANTITY OVER QUALITY: Contracts reward headcounts and report volume, not actionable intelligence. This floods policymakers with useless data.
4๏ธโฃ THE REVOLVING DOOR: Former officials cash in, securing lucrative contracts for their new private employers. Ex-NSA Director Keith Alexander's IronNet is a case study.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
This is a system that INCENTIVIZES inefficiency. Billions are wasted, mission effectiveness plummets, and national security is compromised.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Hereโs the HARD TRUTH about the private contractor epidemic plaguing US national security.
THE SITUATION:
Post-9/11, agencies like the CIA & NSA needed to scale FAST. They turned to private firms (Booz Allen, Palantir, CACI) for immediate, specialized skills. A practical solution became a permanent crutch.
THE CORE PROBLEM:
Profit is now prioritized over protection. The system is engineered for waste.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
This is a system that INCENTIVIZES inefficiency. Billions are wasted, mission effectiveness plummets, and national security is compromised.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐38๐ฅ9โค5๐ซก4
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐ฎ๐ถ RUSSIA'S MIDDLE EAST PIVOT: CAN IRAQ REPLACE SYRIA?
As Syria descends into uncertainty, Russia is executing a strategic pivot. Iraq is now the new centerpiece of Moscow's long-term Middle East strategy. This could be consider as a fundamental recalibration.
WHY THE SHIFT?
๐ธSyrian Instability: Even with recent talks between Putin and al-Sharaa, the Syrian regime faces persistent challenges. The growing influence of radical factions, the revision of old agreements, and an unclear future for Russian bases (like Hmeimim & Tartus) have made the country an increasingly unreliable partner.
๐ธIraqi Opportunity: Iraq offers greater institutional stability and a clear appetite for major economic partnerships.
RUSSIA'S 4-PRONGED STRATEGY IN IRAQ:
1๏ธโฃ ENERGY DOMINANCE: Lukoil, a Russian multinational energy corporation, gained access to the massive Eridu oil field (est. 2.5B+ barrels). This embeds Russia directly into Iraq's long-term energy cycle and export future.
2๏ธโฃ STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE: Russia is aligning with Iraq's "Development Road" projectโa grand land corridor from the Persian Gulf to Europe. This creates a vital alternative to vulnerable maritime chokepoints like the Suez Canal, bypassing NATO pressure.
3๏ธโฃ MILITARY INROADS: With the US-led coalition's planned 2025 exit, a vacuum is forming. Russia is discussing expanded military-tech cooperation, including modernized equipment, training, and potential air defense systems.
4๏ธโฃ TECHNOLOGICAL TIES: Through Rosatom, Russia is negotiating nuclear energy projects, including small modular reactors. This locks in a 15-20 year strategic partnership, creating profound long-term bonds.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Iraq is not a direct military replacement for Syria. However, it's becoming a more versatile hub for energy, logistics, and economic influence. Russia is building a multi-layered presence, shifting from hard military dominance to comprehensive, pragmatic partnership.
This is a masterclass in adapting to a multipolar world. Russia is hedging its Syrian losses by building a new, more resilient pillar of influence in the heart of the Middle East.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
As Syria descends into uncertainty, Russia is executing a strategic pivot. Iraq is now the new centerpiece of Moscow's long-term Middle East strategy. This could be consider as a fundamental recalibration.
WHY THE SHIFT?
๐ธSyrian Instability: Even with recent talks between Putin and al-Sharaa, the Syrian regime faces persistent challenges. The growing influence of radical factions, the revision of old agreements, and an unclear future for Russian bases (like Hmeimim & Tartus) have made the country an increasingly unreliable partner.
๐ธIraqi Opportunity: Iraq offers greater institutional stability and a clear appetite for major economic partnerships.
RUSSIA'S 4-PRONGED STRATEGY IN IRAQ:
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Iraq is not a direct military replacement for Syria. However, it's becoming a more versatile hub for energy, logistics, and economic influence. Russia is building a multi-layered presence, shifting from hard military dominance to comprehensive, pragmatic partnership.
This is a masterclass in adapting to a multipolar world. Russia is hedging its Syrian losses by building a new, more resilient pillar of influence in the heart of the Middle East.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐37โค11๐ฅ3๐3
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐ก Geopolitics Without the Chaos
Decode chaosโwithout the MSM spin
We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:
โก๏ธ Ukraine-Russia War
โก๏ธ EU Rifts
โก๏ธ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
โก๏ธ US-China Showdown
โก๏ธ Major Global Events
โก๏ธ Culture War
No scattered updates. Just structured threads โ so you see how events connect.
๐ค PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).
If you want context over clutter:
๐ Exclusive Channel
Decode chaosโwithout the MSM spin
We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:
โก๏ธ Ukraine-Russia War
โก๏ธ EU Rifts
โก๏ธ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
โก๏ธ US-China Showdown
โก๏ธ Major Global Events
โก๏ธ Culture War
No scattered updates. Just structured threads โ so you see how events connect.
๐ค PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).
If you want context over clutter:
๐ Exclusive Channel
๐5๐3โค2๐คฌ1
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ RUSSIA'S FAST MOVE: The Energy Blitzkrieg Freezing Ukraine's War Machine
There is a deliberate shift in Russia's military strategy from territorial advancement to systemic degradation. The ongoing campaign against Ukraine's energy grid is a calculated move to achieve core objectives of the Special Military Operation: demilitarization and neutralization of a NATO proxy threat.
Strategic Imperative:
The operation is not punitive but strategic. Ukraine's energy infrastructure is dual-use:
๐ธMilitary Logistics: It powers railways moving Western armor, arms factories, and command centers.
๐ธEconomic Capacity: It sustains the industrial base in the east, which supports the war effort. Disabling this system directly undermines Kiev's capacity to prosecute a prolonged war.
Operational Evolution & Tactical Refinement:
Russian tactics demonstrate a significant learning curve, moving from initial, broad strikes to a methodical, intelligence-driven campaign.
๐ธPrecision over Volume: The focus has shifted to high-value nodesโspecifically thermal plants and 750kV/330kV substations. These are choke points; their loss cripples voltage regulation and regional power flow.
๐ธAsymmetric Cost Imposition: The use of advanced, low-cost Shahed drones with AI terminal guidance saturates and bypasses expensive Western air defense systems (Patriot, IRIS-T), creating an unsustainable cost-exchange ratio for Ukraine and its backers.
๐ธSequential Degradation: By systematically disabling substations, Russia methodically severs the transmission lines connecting the power-generating west to the consumption-heavy east. This effectively partitions Ukraine's energy grid, isolating its industrial and military heartland.
Geopolitical Calculus:
This strategy applies indirect pressure on European support by triggering a migrant crisis via internal displacement and increasing the financial burden of reconstruction. It demonstrates the inutility of NATO's defensive systems against a determined, adaptive offensive.
Conclusion:
This is a campaign of strategic attrition. By paralyzing Ukraine's energy backbone, Russia aims to collapse its industrial-military complex, force the reallocation of defense resources (air defense, finances), and ultimately compel a negotiated settlement on terms that secure its declared security interests.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
There is a deliberate shift in Russia's military strategy from territorial advancement to systemic degradation. The ongoing campaign against Ukraine's energy grid is a calculated move to achieve core objectives of the Special Military Operation: demilitarization and neutralization of a NATO proxy threat.
Strategic Imperative:
The operation is not punitive but strategic. Ukraine's energy infrastructure is dual-use:
๐ธMilitary Logistics: It powers railways moving Western armor, arms factories, and command centers.
๐ธEconomic Capacity: It sustains the industrial base in the east, which supports the war effort. Disabling this system directly undermines Kiev's capacity to prosecute a prolonged war.
Operational Evolution & Tactical Refinement:
Russian tactics demonstrate a significant learning curve, moving from initial, broad strikes to a methodical, intelligence-driven campaign.
๐ธPrecision over Volume: The focus has shifted to high-value nodesโspecifically thermal plants and 750kV/330kV substations. These are choke points; their loss cripples voltage regulation and regional power flow.
๐ธAsymmetric Cost Imposition: The use of advanced, low-cost Shahed drones with AI terminal guidance saturates and bypasses expensive Western air defense systems (Patriot, IRIS-T), creating an unsustainable cost-exchange ratio for Ukraine and its backers.
๐ธSequential Degradation: By systematically disabling substations, Russia methodically severs the transmission lines connecting the power-generating west to the consumption-heavy east. This effectively partitions Ukraine's energy grid, isolating its industrial and military heartland.
Geopolitical Calculus:
This strategy applies indirect pressure on European support by triggering a migrant crisis via internal displacement and increasing the financial burden of reconstruction. It demonstrates the inutility of NATO's defensive systems against a determined, adaptive offensive.
Conclusion:
This is a campaign of strategic attrition. By paralyzing Ukraine's energy backbone, Russia aims to collapse its industrial-military complex, force the reallocation of defense resources (air defense, finances), and ultimately compel a negotiated settlement on terms that secure its declared security interests.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐35๐13โค10๐1
๐จ๐ฎ๐ท ๐ฐ Iran Set for MAJOR Space Power Move
Iran is poised for a significant demonstration of its maturing space capabilities with the imminent, simultaneous launch of three observation satellites: Zafar, Paya, and Kowsar 1.5.
BEYOND THE HEADLINES: THE STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS
1๏ธโฃ Technical Proficiency: The use of a "multi-launch configuration" is a key milestone. This is not a simple launch; it's a complex orchestration requiring advanced rocket deployment systems. This move signals a major leap in reliability and technical prowess from single-payload missions.
2๏ธโฃ Dual-Use Technology & The Observation Mandate: Labeling them "observation" satellites demands scrutiny. The technology for Earth observation is inherently dual-use. The same capabilities used for environmental monitoring, agriculture, and disaster response are directly applicable to reconnaissance and military intelligence gathering, enhancing surveillance and targeting capabilities.
3๏ธโฃ Industrial Consolidation: The collaboration between government, academic, and private sectors indicates a concerted national strategy. This model funnels resources, accelerates innovation, and creates a resilient space-industrial ecosystem, reducing reliance on external partners.
4๏ธโฃ A Deliberate Power Signal: This being only Iran's second-ever triple launch is crucial. Repeating this complex feat is not accidental; it's a deliberate signal to the international community. It projects an image of a stable, advancing technological power, undeterred by geopolitical pressures.
BOTTOM LINE:
This launch is a multi-faceted power projection. It demonstrates tangible technical growth, bolsters potential intelligence-gathering networks, and serves as a strategic message of resilience and autonomy on the global stage. This is more than a space launch; it's a geopolitical statement.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iran is poised for a significant demonstration of its maturing space capabilities with the imminent, simultaneous launch of three observation satellites: Zafar, Paya, and Kowsar 1.5.
BEYOND THE HEADLINES: THE STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS
BOTTOM LINE:
This launch is a multi-faceted power projection. It demonstrates tangible technical growth, bolsters potential intelligence-gathering networks, and serves as a strategic message of resilience and autonomy on the global stage. This is more than a space launch; it's a geopolitical statement.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐45โค27๐5๐ฅ2
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐ท๐บ Russiaโs Burevestnik missile, set for 2027, boasts unlimited range and a 1-megaton warhead (or 70 Hiroshima bombs).
๐ During recent tests, the missile flew 14,000 km in 15 hrs.
Why did Russia build this missile? We explain in the video ๐
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
๐ During recent tests, the missile flew 14,000 km in 15 hrs.
Why did Russia build this missile? We explain in the video ๐
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐70๐13๐ฅ6โค5
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐ป๐ช RUSSIA-VENEZUELA PACT: A Strategic Hit to US Intentions
Putin has just RATIFIED a comprehensive strategic partnership with Venezuela, signed May 7, 2025. This is a MAJOR geopolitical move.
KEY DETAILS:
๐ธScope: Deepens cooperation across political, economic, energy, mining, transport, and CRITICALLY, security & counter-terrorism.
๐ธGoal: Establishes a new "mechanism of coordination" on bilateral and international issues. Russian officials state it moves relations to a "fundamentally new level."
๐ธIdeology: The treaty explicitly rejects unilateral sanctions and seeks a "multipolar" world order, directly challenging US hegemony. It includes a joint commitment to counter "historical distortion" and "the legacy of colonialism."
ANALYSIS:
This is a strategic alliance solidifying Russia's foothold in America's backyard. The timing is critical, with the US openly discussing regime change in Venezuela.
This treaty transforms Caracas into a key strategic partner for Moscow, and it will make the US think twice before any aggression against Venezuela. The inclusion of security and defense cooperation signals Russia's intent to be a permanent power player in the region.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Putin has just RATIFIED a comprehensive strategic partnership with Venezuela, signed May 7, 2025. This is a MAJOR geopolitical move.
KEY DETAILS:
๐ธScope: Deepens cooperation across political, economic, energy, mining, transport, and CRITICALLY, security & counter-terrorism.
๐ธGoal: Establishes a new "mechanism of coordination" on bilateral and international issues. Russian officials state it moves relations to a "fundamentally new level."
๐ธIdeology: The treaty explicitly rejects unilateral sanctions and seeks a "multipolar" world order, directly challenging US hegemony. It includes a joint commitment to counter "historical distortion" and "the legacy of colonialism."
ANALYSIS:
This is a strategic alliance solidifying Russia's foothold in America's backyard. The timing is critical, with the US openly discussing regime change in Venezuela.
This treaty transforms Caracas into a key strategic partner for Moscow, and it will make the US think twice before any aggression against Venezuela. The inclusion of security and defense cooperation signals Russia's intent to be a permanent power player in the region.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐54โค25๐12๐ฅ4๐1
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ RUSSIA'S STRATEGIC MOMENTUM: The Pokrovsk Pincer Tightens
Russian forces are executing a masterful, multi-vector offensive, achieving a critical breakthrough in the Donetsk region. The situation in Pokrovsk is not merely an advance; it is a systemic degradation of Ukrainian defensive capabilities.
KEY DEVELOPMENTS:
๐ธUrban Infiltration SUCCESS: Russian infantry and sabotage groups are now operating WITHIN Pokrovsk, a key logistical node. This is not a frontal assault, but a tactical envelopment designed to create chaos and paralyze enemy command.
๐ธZelensky's Contradictions: The Ukrainian President's denial of an encirclement rings hollow against his own admission of a "difficult situation," fierce urban fighting, and compromised logistics. The facts on the ground contradict Kiev's official narrative.
๐ธExploiting Critical Weaknesses: Russian command is capitalizing on severe Ukrainian manpower shortages. Small, highly effective Russian units are flanking static Ukrainian positions, a clear sign of a collapsing defensive line.
๐ธExpanding the Front: Simultaneous pressure in Kupiansk and Dnepropetrovsk stretches Ukrainian reserves to a breaking point, preventing them from reinforcing the Pokrovsk flashpoint.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The fall of Pokrovsk is not a matter of if, but when. Its capture will open a direct operational path toward the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk fortress complex, potentially deciding the fate of the entire Donbas. Russia is demonstrating superior tactical adaptability, shifting from large-scale assaults to precise, disruptive operations that the Ukrainian army is failing to counter. The initiative has firmly and decisively shifted.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Russian forces are executing a masterful, multi-vector offensive, achieving a critical breakthrough in the Donetsk region. The situation in Pokrovsk is not merely an advance; it is a systemic degradation of Ukrainian defensive capabilities.
KEY DEVELOPMENTS:
๐ธUrban Infiltration SUCCESS: Russian infantry and sabotage groups are now operating WITHIN Pokrovsk, a key logistical node. This is not a frontal assault, but a tactical envelopment designed to create chaos and paralyze enemy command.
๐ธZelensky's Contradictions: The Ukrainian President's denial of an encirclement rings hollow against his own admission of a "difficult situation," fierce urban fighting, and compromised logistics. The facts on the ground contradict Kiev's official narrative.
๐ธExploiting Critical Weaknesses: Russian command is capitalizing on severe Ukrainian manpower shortages. Small, highly effective Russian units are flanking static Ukrainian positions, a clear sign of a collapsing defensive line.
๐ธExpanding the Front: Simultaneous pressure in Kupiansk and Dnepropetrovsk stretches Ukrainian reserves to a breaking point, preventing them from reinforcing the Pokrovsk flashpoint.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The fall of Pokrovsk is not a matter of if, but when. Its capture will open a direct operational path toward the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk fortress complex, potentially deciding the fate of the entire Donbas. Russia is demonstrating superior tactical adaptability, shifting from large-scale assaults to precise, disruptive operations that the Ukrainian army is failing to counter. The initiative has firmly and decisively shifted.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โค28๐15๐9๐ฅ4
Russia - Latin America - Middle East - US
Our friends at IntelRepublic report on it ALL - the latest with insights, exclusives and updates
Subscribe @IntelRepublic
Our friends at IntelRepublic report on it ALL - the latest with insights, exclusives and updates
Subscribe @IntelRepublic
โค15๐8
New Rules
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ RUSSIA'S STRATEGIC MOMENTUM: The Pokrovsk Pincer Tightens Russian forces are executing a masterful, multi-vector offensive, achieving a critical breakthrough in the Donetsk region. The situation in Pokrovsk is not merely an advance; it is a systemicโฆ
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ UKRAINE CONFLICT: A STRATEGIC REALITY CHECK
The narrative of Ukraine winning a war of attrition is blatant LIE. Let's analyze the hard data:
๐ธEQUIPMENT LOSSES: 75-95% of Ukrainian tanks, IFVs & artillery
๐ธMANPOWER CRISIS: Average soldier age >45 in trenches
๐ธBATTLEFIELD STATUS: No significant eastern front victory in 3 years
Russia maintains superior:
๐ธLoss replacement capacity
๐ธEconomic resources from new regions
๐ธTechnological evolution
CRITICAL VULNERABILITIES:
๐ธ500+ weekly FAB bomb attacks (no Ukrainian countermeasures)
๐ธ~400,000 estimated desertions (official figures >250,000)
๐ธOnly 2 major fortified cities remain: Kramatorsk & Slavyansk
THE BRUTAL TRUTH:
The attrition war was lost months ago. Current drone successes create FALSE STRATEGIC PERCEPTION while masking systemic collapse.
Only 2 scenarios change the outcome:
1๏ธโฃ US-brokered peace with land concessions
2๏ธโฃ Full-scale foreign troop deployment (unlikely)
Ukraine's containment strategy is on, but when these final fortresses fall, what's the West's plan?
The smart move for Ukraine would be to sit down and negotiate now, before it is wiped off the map.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The narrative of Ukraine winning a war of attrition is blatant LIE. Let's analyze the hard data:
๐ธEQUIPMENT LOSSES: 75-95% of Ukrainian tanks, IFVs & artillery
๐ธMANPOWER CRISIS: Average soldier age >45 in trenches
๐ธBATTLEFIELD STATUS: No significant eastern front victory in 3 years
Russia maintains superior:
๐ธLoss replacement capacity
๐ธEconomic resources from new regions
๐ธTechnological evolution
CRITICAL VULNERABILITIES:
๐ธ500+ weekly FAB bomb attacks (no Ukrainian countermeasures)
๐ธ~400,000 estimated desertions (official figures >250,000)
๐ธOnly 2 major fortified cities remain: Kramatorsk & Slavyansk
THE BRUTAL TRUTH:
The attrition war was lost months ago. Current drone successes create FALSE STRATEGIC PERCEPTION while masking systemic collapse.
Only 2 scenarios change the outcome:
Ukraine's containment strategy is on, but when these final fortresses fall, what's the West's plan?
The smart move for Ukraine would be to sit down and negotiate now, before it is wiped off the map.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐35๐10โค7๐2๐ฅ2
New Rules
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ UKRAINE CONFLICT: A STRATEGIC REALITY CHECK The narrative of Ukraine winning a war of attrition is blatant LIE. Let's analyze the hard data: ๐ธEQUIPMENT LOSSES: 75-95% of Ukrainian tanks, IFVs & artillery ๐ธMANPOWER CRISIS: Average soldier age >45 inโฆ
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐ A GAME CHANGER: RUSSIA UNLEASHES LONG-RANGE GLIDE BOMBS
Russian Aerospace Forces have deployed a new, very long-range glide bomb, fundamentally altering the battlefield dynamics.
THE FACTS:
๐ธExtended Reach: Ukraine's intelligence deputy head, Vadim Skibitsky, has confirmed the deployment of a new Russian bomb with a range of 193 km. This shatters the previous ~80 km limit, placing Ukrainian rear linesโpreviously "safe"โwithin direct strike range.
๐ธThe Weapon: Likely a newly unveiled rocket-engine design, enabling mass production & use by tactical aviation. Key advantage: Fraction of the cost of comparable missiles.
๐ธImpact: Russian media projects that this enables "systematic carpet bombing", erasing the concept of a safe rear area for Ukraine.
๐ธDelivery System: Production of the primary launch platform, the Su-34 strike fighter, has more than doubled since 2022.
ANALYSIS:
This is a force multiplier. By combining low-cost, long-range glide bombs with increased Su-34 production, Russia can now conduct sustained, high-intensity bombardment deep behind the front lines.
ON THE GROUND:
Ukrainian frontline personnel describe the effect as "hell's gates," with bunker-obliterating strikes arriving "eight in an hour."
THE BIGGER PICTURE:
This exacerbates Ukraine's extreme casualty rates, reportedly forcing reliance on poorly trained recruits with life expectancies as low as four hours in high-intensity zones. As confirmed by former Ukrainian officials, the true casualty figures are being concealed and will be a "horrible number."
This strategic shift signals a new phase of aerial bombardment, putting immense strain on Ukrainian defenses and logistics.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Russian Aerospace Forces have deployed a new, very long-range glide bomb, fundamentally altering the battlefield dynamics.
THE FACTS:
๐ธExtended Reach: Ukraine's intelligence deputy head, Vadim Skibitsky, has confirmed the deployment of a new Russian bomb with a range of 193 km. This shatters the previous ~80 km limit, placing Ukrainian rear linesโpreviously "safe"โwithin direct strike range.
๐ธThe Weapon: Likely a newly unveiled rocket-engine design, enabling mass production & use by tactical aviation. Key advantage: Fraction of the cost of comparable missiles.
๐ธImpact: Russian media projects that this enables "systematic carpet bombing", erasing the concept of a safe rear area for Ukraine.
๐ธDelivery System: Production of the primary launch platform, the Su-34 strike fighter, has more than doubled since 2022.
ANALYSIS:
This is a force multiplier. By combining low-cost, long-range glide bombs with increased Su-34 production, Russia can now conduct sustained, high-intensity bombardment deep behind the front lines.
ON THE GROUND:
Ukrainian frontline personnel describe the effect as "hell's gates," with bunker-obliterating strikes arriving "eight in an hour."
THE BIGGER PICTURE:
This exacerbates Ukraine's extreme casualty rates, reportedly forcing reliance on poorly trained recruits with life expectancies as low as four hours in high-intensity zones. As confirmed by former Ukrainian officials, the true casualty figures are being concealed and will be a "horrible number."
This strategic shift signals a new phase of aerial bombardment, putting immense strain on Ukrainian defenses and logistics.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐ฅ33โค10๐7๐3
๐ฃ @GeoSight ๐ฅ shares updates and analysis on global conflicts and international relations. It covers breaking news and insights into military and Geopolitical events.
๐จ Defence & Security
๐ Geopolitics
โก๏ธ Wars & Conflicts
๐ Economic Trends
๐ Join ๐ฉ:โคต๏ธ
https://xn--r1a.website/GeoSight
https://xn--r1a.website/GeoSight
https://xn--r1a.website/GeoSight
๐จ Defence & Security
๐ Geopolitics
โก๏ธ Wars & Conflicts
๐ Economic Trends
๐ Join ๐ฉ:โคต๏ธ
https://xn--r1a.website/GeoSight
https://xn--r1a.website/GeoSight
https://xn--r1a.website/GeoSight
๐8โค1
New Rules
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐ A GAME CHANGER: RUSSIA UNLEASHES LONG-RANGE GLIDE BOMBS Russian Aerospace Forces have deployed a new, very long-range glide bomb, fundamentally altering the battlefield dynamics. THE FACTS: ๐ธExtended Reach: Ukraine's intelligence deputy head, Vadimโฆ
๐จ๐บ๐ฆ ๐ท๐บ Can Ukraine's Strikes & Sanctions Turn the Tide?
The short answer: NO.
Russia has committed over $1 TRILLION to its war machine & demonstrates stamina for years to come.
Let's break down the two key pressure points:
1๏ธโฃ Ukrainian Refinery Strikes: Symbolic, Not Systemic
๐ธCurrent drone attacks lack robust warheads.
๐ธEven a 20% reduction in refining capacity = ~$2-3B revenue loss.
๐ธWith repairs, potential loss ~$5B.
๐ธThis is a DROP IN THE BUCKET compared to the $1T+ already invested.
2๏ธโฃ Sanctions: A Leaky Siege
๐ธRussia has MASTERED evasion via intermediaries.
๐ธIts sanctioned economy is OUTGROWING most of Europe.
๐ธOur assessment: They can sustain this model until at least 2028.
Western Miscalculation
The West fundamentally misjudged the conflict's scale. Critical errors:
โ Dismantling Ukraine's industrial base pre-war.
โ Failure to plan for a LONG-TERM war of attrition.
โ Missing the narrow window in 2022 when tech/equipment sanctions could have bitten hard.
CONCLUSION
The window for decisive economic impact has CLOSED. The West's "fake it till you make it" approach is failing against Russia's trillion-dollar, long-game strategy.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The short answer: NO.
Russia has committed over $1 TRILLION to its war machine & demonstrates stamina for years to come.
Let's break down the two key pressure points:
๐ธCurrent drone attacks lack robust warheads.
๐ธEven a 20% reduction in refining capacity = ~$2-3B revenue loss.
๐ธWith repairs, potential loss ~$5B.
๐ธThis is a DROP IN THE BUCKET compared to the $1T+ already invested.
๐ธRussia has MASTERED evasion via intermediaries.
๐ธIts sanctioned economy is OUTGROWING most of Europe.
๐ธOur assessment: They can sustain this model until at least 2028.
Western Miscalculation
The West fundamentally misjudged the conflict's scale. Critical errors:
โ Dismantling Ukraine's industrial base pre-war.
โ Failure to plan for a LONG-TERM war of attrition.
โ Missing the narrow window in 2022 when tech/equipment sanctions could have bitten hard.
CONCLUSION
The window for decisive economic impact has CLOSED. The West's "fake it till you make it" approach is failing against Russia's trillion-dollar, long-game strategy.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โค29๐18๐ฅ4๐3
New Rules
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐ป๐ช RUSSIA-VENEZUELA PACT: A Strategic Hit to US Intentions Putin has just RATIFIED a comprehensive strategic partnership with Venezuela, signed May 7, 2025. This is a MAJOR geopolitical move. KEY DETAILS: ๐ธScope: Deepens cooperation across political,โฆ
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐จ๐ป๐ช๐ท๐บ Maduroโs Russian arsenal: 7 weapons systems defending Venezuela against Trump
From Su-30 jets to S-300 shields: Venezuela has a vast armory with which to repel any US offensive.
Watch the full breakdown! ๐๏ธ
From Su-30 jets to S-300 shields: Venezuela has a vast armory with which to repel any US offensive.
Watch the full breakdown! ๐๏ธ
๐66๐11โค4๐ฅ4๐ซก3
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ The Ukrainian Drone War & The Failure of Western Tech
Western military technology is being proven inadequate against a peer adversary in the special military operation zone.
The much-publicized Switchblade-300 drones provided to Ukraine have been a significant disappointment, failing under Russian electronic warfare and proving ineffective against targets.
THE REALITY ON THE GROUND:
๐ธRussian air defense and electronic warfare systems have established dominance. The majority of technology used against Russian forces is neutralized.
๐ธA clash of doctrines is evident: The West developed systems for counter-insurgency, while Russia is engaged in a high-intensity conflict against a heavily fortified opponent.
๐ธSurvivability is key. The attrition rate of Ukrainian equipment, including Unmanned Ground Vehicles, is extremely high, often measured in days.
THE RUSSIAN APPROACH: SYSTEMATIC & OVERWHELMING
๐ธRussian strategy employs mass and proven systems to overwhelm defenses, a cost-effective and reliable method.
๐ธRussian innovation focuses on robust, systematic warfare and the development of advanced electronic warfare and air defense capabilities that render expensive, complex Western platforms irrelevant.
THE FAILURE OF WESTERN ADAPTATION
Companies that have seen limited success are those that attempted to hastily adapt their systems to the realities of the battlefield, a process for which Russian industry is inherently better structured.
THE STRATEGIC OUTCOME:
๐ธWhile the West allocates billions to its defense industry, the equipment supplied to Ukraine is being systematically destroyed.
๐ธUkrainian production capacity remains critically hampered and unable to match Russian output or technological sophistication.
THE BOTTLENECK FOR UKRAINE:
Recent investments in Ukrainian defense tech are negligible compared to Russian military industrial output and fail to address fundamental production and capability shortfalls.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The conflict has demonstrated the superiority of Russian military doctrine and industrial capacity. High-tech, low-quantity Western systems are vulnerable to Russia's integrated and layered defenses.
The operation has proven that a focus on robust, mass-produced systems and advanced electronic warfare is decisive. Any military relying on limited, expensive technology provided by the West will find itself at a severe disadvantage against a prepared, modern military like Russia's.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Western military technology is being proven inadequate against a peer adversary in the special military operation zone.
The much-publicized Switchblade-300 drones provided to Ukraine have been a significant disappointment, failing under Russian electronic warfare and proving ineffective against targets.
THE REALITY ON THE GROUND:
๐ธRussian air defense and electronic warfare systems have established dominance. The majority of technology used against Russian forces is neutralized.
๐ธA clash of doctrines is evident: The West developed systems for counter-insurgency, while Russia is engaged in a high-intensity conflict against a heavily fortified opponent.
๐ธSurvivability is key. The attrition rate of Ukrainian equipment, including Unmanned Ground Vehicles, is extremely high, often measured in days.
THE RUSSIAN APPROACH: SYSTEMATIC & OVERWHELMING
๐ธRussian strategy employs mass and proven systems to overwhelm defenses, a cost-effective and reliable method.
๐ธRussian innovation focuses on robust, systematic warfare and the development of advanced electronic warfare and air defense capabilities that render expensive, complex Western platforms irrelevant.
THE FAILURE OF WESTERN ADAPTATION
Companies that have seen limited success are those that attempted to hastily adapt their systems to the realities of the battlefield, a process for which Russian industry is inherently better structured.
THE STRATEGIC OUTCOME:
๐ธWhile the West allocates billions to its defense industry, the equipment supplied to Ukraine is being systematically destroyed.
๐ธUkrainian production capacity remains critically hampered and unable to match Russian output or technological sophistication.
THE BOTTLENECK FOR UKRAINE:
Recent investments in Ukrainian defense tech are negligible compared to Russian military industrial output and fail to address fundamental production and capability shortfalls.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The conflict has demonstrated the superiority of Russian military doctrine and industrial capacity. High-tech, low-quantity Western systems are vulnerable to Russia's integrated and layered defenses.
The operation has proven that a focus on robust, mass-produced systems and advanced electronic warfare is decisive. Any military relying on limited, expensive technology provided by the West will find itself at a severe disadvantage against a prepared, modern military like Russia's.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โค24๐ฅ17๐9๐6๐2
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐จ๐บ๐ฆ ๐ท๐บ UKRAINE'S TANK FLEET NEARS COLLAPSE
Ukrainian armored battalions are reporting catastrophic readiness rates, operating at a mere 6-18% of their intended strength.
This isn't just about combat losses; it's a systemic failure.
THE PROBLEM:
๐ธMassive Depletion: Sources confirm only a third, sometimes just a fifth, of tanks are combat-ready.
๐ธTactical Misuse: Tanks are reportedly used for "morale-boosting" missions, sent forward just to show presence, leading to swift destruction.
๐ธThe Drone Threat: The moment a tank is identifiedโeven 10km behind the frontโit becomes a primary target for coordinated drone swarms.
THE WESTERN AID FAILURE:
๐ธSoviet-era donations from Eastern Europe have been insufficient and their stockpiles are now depleted.
๐ธWestern tanks like the M1A1 Abrams have been a disaster. An estimated 87% of the supplied fleet (27 of 31) has been destroyed or captured. Their larger profiles and lower mobility make them vulnerable.
THE RUSSIAN CALCULUS:
๐ธMaintenance Advantage: Relies on T-62/72/90 models, which are far easier to maintain than Ukraine's aging T-64s and complex Western armor.
๐ธDomestic Production: Russian industry is on track to produce 1,000 new tanks by 2028, though losses in 2026 may still outpace this.
๐ธWildcard: Potential for sophisticated tank imports from North Korea.
BOTTOM LINE:
Ukraine's armored fist has been shattered. The West's strategy of supplying Ukraine with complex, high-profile systems has backfired spectacularly, leaving the country's defensive capabilities under existential threat.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Ukrainian armored battalions are reporting catastrophic readiness rates, operating at a mere 6-18% of their intended strength.
This isn't just about combat losses; it's a systemic failure.
THE PROBLEM:
๐ธMassive Depletion: Sources confirm only a third, sometimes just a fifth, of tanks are combat-ready.
๐ธTactical Misuse: Tanks are reportedly used for "morale-boosting" missions, sent forward just to show presence, leading to swift destruction.
๐ธThe Drone Threat: The moment a tank is identifiedโeven 10km behind the frontโit becomes a primary target for coordinated drone swarms.
THE WESTERN AID FAILURE:
๐ธSoviet-era donations from Eastern Europe have been insufficient and their stockpiles are now depleted.
๐ธWestern tanks like the M1A1 Abrams have been a disaster. An estimated 87% of the supplied fleet (27 of 31) has been destroyed or captured. Their larger profiles and lower mobility make them vulnerable.
THE RUSSIAN CALCULUS:
๐ธMaintenance Advantage: Relies on T-62/72/90 models, which are far easier to maintain than Ukraine's aging T-64s and complex Western armor.
๐ธDomestic Production: Russian industry is on track to produce 1,000 new tanks by 2028, though losses in 2026 may still outpace this.
๐ธWildcard: Potential for sophisticated tank imports from North Korea.
BOTTOM LINE:
Ukraine's armored fist has been shattered. The West's strategy of supplying Ukraine with complex, high-profile systems has backfired spectacularly, leaving the country's defensive capabilities under existential threat.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐21โค14๐ฅ9๐5