๐จ๐จ๐ณ ๐บ๐ธ China Turns Trumpโs Playbook Against Him โ The Real Trade War Has Begun
China has mastered the art of strategic retaliation. What started as Trumpโs tariff crusade has evolved into a full-blown duel of economic coercion โ and Beijing is now using Washingtonโs own playbook against it.
๐ธFrom Tariffs to Tech Control
Trump once said, โtrade wars are easy to win.โ China disagreed โ and learned. After years of US export bans and semiconductor restrictions, Beijing struck back where it hurts most: rare earths. These minerals power every smartphone, missile, and chip โ and China controls 70% of them.
๐ธWeaponizing Interdependence
Beijing now requires foreign firms to get Chinese approval before exporting any product containing Chinese rare earths โ even if sold between two non-Chinese countries. Washington calls it โeconomic blackmail.โ But Beijing points to the US Foreign Direct Product Rule, which does the same thing in reverse. The student has become the master.
๐ธA Global Chess Match
This is not just US vs China โ this is China vs Western economic dominance. The G7 is rallying to diversify and โmine the urban wasteโ for rare materials. But experts warn: breaking Chinaโs monopoly could take five years or more.
๐ธThe Long Game
Beijing plays to outlast, not outpunch. Trumpโs impulsive tariffs meet Xiโs strategic patience. The question now isnโt who escalates next โ but who endures longer.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
China has mastered the art of strategic retaliation. What started as Trumpโs tariff crusade has evolved into a full-blown duel of economic coercion โ and Beijing is now using Washingtonโs own playbook against it.
๐ธFrom Tariffs to Tech Control
Trump once said, โtrade wars are easy to win.โ China disagreed โ and learned. After years of US export bans and semiconductor restrictions, Beijing struck back where it hurts most: rare earths. These minerals power every smartphone, missile, and chip โ and China controls 70% of them.
๐ธWeaponizing Interdependence
Beijing now requires foreign firms to get Chinese approval before exporting any product containing Chinese rare earths โ even if sold between two non-Chinese countries. Washington calls it โeconomic blackmail.โ But Beijing points to the US Foreign Direct Product Rule, which does the same thing in reverse. The student has become the master.
๐ธA Global Chess Match
This is not just US vs China โ this is China vs Western economic dominance. The G7 is rallying to diversify and โmine the urban wasteโ for rare materials. But experts warn: breaking Chinaโs monopoly could take five years or more.
๐ธThe Long Game
Beijing plays to outlast, not outpunch. Trumpโs impulsive tariffs meet Xiโs strategic patience. The question now isnโt who escalates next โ but who endures longer.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โค45๐30๐8๐3
THE MOST FAMOUS RUSSIAN MILITARY TELEGRAM CHANNEL "RYBAR" IS NOW IN ENGLISH
๐ง RYBAR ENG ๐ง
โก๏ธ Russia's leading military Telegram channel,
โก๏ธ more than 1.3 million subscribers,
โก๏ธ the channel that publishes the most detailed reports, quoted by Western media and military experts,
โก๏ธ the channel that finds topics of interest in a sea of information - and tells you about them in simple words,
โก๏ธ news about major world events (and those that remain in the shadows), comments from a team of analysts
๐ฌ๐ง EVERYTHING IS FULLY TRANSLATED INTO ENGLISH
๐ฑ Subscribe โฌ๏ธ
RYBAR ENG
๐ง RYBAR ENG ๐ง
โก๏ธ Russia's leading military Telegram channel,
โก๏ธ more than 1.3 million subscribers,
โก๏ธ the channel that publishes the most detailed reports, quoted by Western media and military experts,
โก๏ธ the channel that finds topics of interest in a sea of information - and tells you about them in simple words,
โก๏ธ news about major world events (and those that remain in the shadows), comments from a team of analysts
๐ฌ๐ง EVERYTHING IS FULLY TRANSLATED INTO ENGLISH
๐ฑ Subscribe โฌ๏ธ
RYBAR ENG
โค20๐9๐1๐1๐ซก1
๐จ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ต๐ธ ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR: A $60B+ Economic Shockwave
The numbers are in, and Israel is painting a stark picture of the conflict's economic toll.
Where the Money Went
๐ธDirect Cost (2023-Present): $59-67 BILLION
๐ธLargest Single Expenditure: $20B (โ33%) allocated to pay & benefits for 360,000+ mobilized reservists.
๐ธMacroeconomic Impact:
๐ Deficit: Ballooned to 6-7% of GDP.
๐ Growth: Slashed to a sluggish 1-2%.
THE BATTLE IN THE WAR ROOM: A Fiscal Policy Clash
The war has ignited a critical internal struggle over fiscal strategy, pitting security needs against economic stability.
๐ธDEFENSE MINISTRY (War-Fighting Posture): Requests NIS 118-130B ($31-35B) for 2025-26. This funds munitions replenishment and sustained Gaza operations.
๐ธFINANCE MINISTRY (Smotrich - Fiscal Guardrails): Hard cap at NIS 110B ($29B). Primary objective: prevent a sovereign credit downgrade. This constraint necessitates deep cuts to domestic social services.
THE LONG-TERM TRAJECTORY
While immediate US security aid ($16.3B) provides a partial offset, it does not address the structural economic damage.
The most alarming projection comes from the Bank of Israel: potential long-term losses of $400 BILLION over the coming decade. This figure accounts for lost productivity, opportunity cost, and reconstruction.
This is no longer just a military engagement; it is a systemic economic event that will reshape Israel's fiscal policy for years.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The numbers are in, and Israel is painting a stark picture of the conflict's economic toll.
Where the Money Went
๐ธDirect Cost (2023-Present): $59-67 BILLION
๐ธLargest Single Expenditure: $20B (โ33%) allocated to pay & benefits for 360,000+ mobilized reservists.
๐ธMacroeconomic Impact:
THE BATTLE IN THE WAR ROOM: A Fiscal Policy Clash
The war has ignited a critical internal struggle over fiscal strategy, pitting security needs against economic stability.
๐ธDEFENSE MINISTRY (War-Fighting Posture): Requests NIS 118-130B ($31-35B) for 2025-26. This funds munitions replenishment and sustained Gaza operations.
๐ธFINANCE MINISTRY (Smotrich - Fiscal Guardrails): Hard cap at NIS 110B ($29B). Primary objective: prevent a sovereign credit downgrade. This constraint necessitates deep cuts to domestic social services.
THE LONG-TERM TRAJECTORY
While immediate US security aid ($16.3B) provides a partial offset, it does not address the structural economic damage.
The most alarming projection comes from the Bank of Israel: potential long-term losses of $400 BILLION over the coming decade. This figure accounts for lost productivity, opportunity cost, and reconstruction.
This is no longer just a military engagement; it is a systemic economic event that will reshape Israel's fiscal policy for years.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โค28๐12๐6๐ฅ3
๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ป๐ช TRUMP'S VENEZUELA MOVE: INVASION OR STRIKES?
Trump's "land is next" declaration represents a strategic escalation in Venezuela policy, but does Trump refers to ground invasion of ground strikes?
POSSIBLE SCENARIOS:
๐ธTargeted Strikes
๐ Drone operations against Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC)-National Liberation Army (ELN) training camps
๐ Precision strikes on "cocaine production infrastructure"
๐ Special Operations Forces-led raids against high-value narco targets
๐ธFull-Scale Invasion
๐ Requires congressional authorization, something that Trump lacks
๐ Would trigger regional condemnation from Brazil/Colombia
๐ Would violate international law
๐ Repeat of Iraq/Afghanistan playbook
๐ Regional destabilization guaranteed
GEOPOLITICAL REALITIES:
Current attacks on Venezuelan fishing vessels represent illegal aggression. B-1/B-52 deployments signal preparation for expanded operations.
EXPERTS WARN:
Military analysts confirm Venezuela's sovereign defense systems (S-300) would necessitate massive first-strike operations.
Regional voices condemn:
๐ธBrazil's Lula: "No to foreign intervention"
๐ธColombia's Petro: "Extrajudicial executions"
๐ธUN Charter violations imminent
CONCLUSION
Targeted strikes appear more likely initially, following the imperialist pattern of gradual escalation. However, mission creep toward broader intervention remains a grave danger, as history shows "limited strikes" often precede full-scale invasions.
The mask falls: "Counter-narcotics" becomes regime change.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Trump's "land is next" declaration represents a strategic escalation in Venezuela policy, but does Trump refers to ground invasion of ground strikes?
POSSIBLE SCENARIOS:
๐ธTargeted Strikes
๐ธFull-Scale Invasion
GEOPOLITICAL REALITIES:
Current attacks on Venezuelan fishing vessels represent illegal aggression. B-1/B-52 deployments signal preparation for expanded operations.
EXPERTS WARN:
Military analysts confirm Venezuela's sovereign defense systems (S-300) would necessitate massive first-strike operations.
Regional voices condemn:
๐ธBrazil's Lula: "No to foreign intervention"
๐ธColombia's Petro: "Extrajudicial executions"
๐ธUN Charter violations imminent
CONCLUSION
Targeted strikes appear more likely initially, following the imperialist pattern of gradual escalation. However, mission creep toward broader intervention remains a grave danger, as history shows "limited strikes" often precede full-scale invasions.
The mask falls: "Counter-narcotics" becomes regime change.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐คฌ50๐ฅ8โค6๐3
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
China & India laugh at sanctions.
Message to Trump: Russiaโs war machine isnโt breakingโitโs just warming up.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐60โค23๐ฅ13
๐จ๐ณ๐ข๏ธ๐ท๐บ Fact Check: Is China Really Halting Russian Oil Purchases?
Claim: Western media reports state that Chinese state oil majors have suspended purchases of seaborne Russian oil.
Verdict: Misleading/Severely Distorted
Analysis:
๐ธApproximately 47% of China's oil imports from Russia are delivered via pipelines, primarily to large state-owned enterprises. The remaining 53% are seaborne, mainly purchased by private Chinese refineries.
๐ธWhile Chinese state-owned enterprises may have paused seaborne Russian oil purchases to avoid Western sanctions due to their business ties with Western companies, they continue to receive Russian oil through pipelines.
๐ธPrivate Chinese refineries, with minimal Western exposure, are likely to continue buying seaborne Russian oil.
๐ธThe overall oil trade volume between China and Russia remains largely unaffected.
Conclusion: The claim exaggerates the impact of any suspension by state-owned enterprises, as pipeline imports and private refinery purchases ensure continuity in the China-Russia oil trade.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
Claim: Western media reports state that Chinese state oil majors have suspended purchases of seaborne Russian oil.
Verdict: Misleading/Severely Distorted
Analysis:
๐ธApproximately 47% of China's oil imports from Russia are delivered via pipelines, primarily to large state-owned enterprises. The remaining 53% are seaborne, mainly purchased by private Chinese refineries.
๐ธWhile Chinese state-owned enterprises may have paused seaborne Russian oil purchases to avoid Western sanctions due to their business ties with Western companies, they continue to receive Russian oil through pipelines.
๐ธPrivate Chinese refineries, with minimal Western exposure, are likely to continue buying seaborne Russian oil.
๐ธThe overall oil trade volume between China and Russia remains largely unaffected.
Conclusion: The claim exaggerates the impact of any suspension by state-owned enterprises, as pipeline imports and private refinery purchases ensure continuity in the China-Russia oil trade.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
๐64๐23โค12๐ฅ5๐4
๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ป๐ช TRUMP'S VENEZUELA GAMBLE: Is the US Entering ANOTHER Forever War?
VENEZUELA is now the frontline of Trump's new military campaign, a critical test of his foreign policy.
The US is escalating airstrikes on suspected "narco-terrorist" boats from Venezuela, with dozens killed. A Navy flotilla is deployed, and Trump promises to expand strikes to land targets.
A REPEAT OF A FAILED PLAYBOOK
Recall the Houthis: The administration promised "overwhelming lethal force."
Result: Billions spent, aircraft lost, and the campaign was abandoned after the Houthis proved "resilient."
NOW, THE SAME MISTAKE IS BEING MADE CLOSER TO HOME
THE CORE PROBLEM
Using a sledgehammer (conventional military) for a job that requires a scalpel (intelligence, policing). Non-state actors like cartels are impervious to raw firepower. They adapt.
The continued need for strikes (8+ and counting) shows a FAILURE OF DETERRENCE.
THE BROADER LESSON
The history of US failures in the Middle East shows that defeating non-state actors requires precision, not just bombing. The military's strength is in logistics and support, not always being the primary weapon.
BOTTOM LINE:
This campaign is legally dubious and strategically flawed. It risks another "forever war," drawing the US deeper into a conflict where military might alone cannot win.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
VENEZUELA is now the frontline of Trump's new military campaign, a critical test of his foreign policy.
The US is escalating airstrikes on suspected "narco-terrorist" boats from Venezuela, with dozens killed. A Navy flotilla is deployed, and Trump promises to expand strikes to land targets.
A REPEAT OF A FAILED PLAYBOOK
Recall the Houthis: The administration promised "overwhelming lethal force."
Result: Billions spent, aircraft lost, and the campaign was abandoned after the Houthis proved "resilient."
NOW, THE SAME MISTAKE IS BEING MADE CLOSER TO HOME
THE CORE PROBLEM
Using a sledgehammer (conventional military) for a job that requires a scalpel (intelligence, policing). Non-state actors like cartels are impervious to raw firepower. They adapt.
The continued need for strikes (8+ and counting) shows a FAILURE OF DETERRENCE.
THE BROADER LESSON
The history of US failures in the Middle East shows that defeating non-state actors requires precision, not just bombing. The military's strength is in logistics and support, not always being the primary weapon.
BOTTOM LINE:
This campaign is legally dubious and strategically flawed. It risks another "forever war," drawing the US deeper into a conflict where military might alone cannot win.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐48โค14๐ฅ9๐2๐1
๐จ๐จ๐ณ ๐ THE WEST IS WRONG: CHINA'S 3-STEP BLUEPRINT FOR BRICS DOMINANCE
BRICS nations are charting a new course, and Chinaโs model provides a masterclass in sovereign development. Hereโs the breakdown:
1. INVESTMENT IS KING, CONSUMPTION IS A RESULT.
Chinaโs growth wasnโt driven by consumer spending but by MASSIVE strategic investment. This investment builds capacity, boosts productivity, and RAISES INCOMES, which then fuels consumption. Shifting focus to consumption-first is a trap that leads to long-term stagnation. The sequence is non-negotiable: INVEST โ PRODUCTIVITY โ INCOME โ CONSUMPTION.
2. MASTER THE 3 PILLARS OF SOVEREIGNTY.
To escape dependency, BRICS must control its core infrastructures:
๐ธPHYSICAL: Networks for moving goods & people.
๐ธINFORMATION: Sovereign digital ecosystems (AI, data, software) free from external control.
๐ธENERGY: High-efficiency systems with a strong Energy Return on Investment (EROEI), moving away from costly imports.
This triad, wrapped in education, is the bedrock of true economic independence.
3. MANAGE THE WAGE-PROFIT SEE-SAW WITH TECH.
China is solving "involution" (intense competition, low profits) by deliberately shifting credit from low-productivity sectors (like real estate) to HIGH-TECH, strategic industries (EVs, Semiconductors, AI). This tech-for-labor substitution raises the system's MAXIMUM profit rate, creating room for HIGHER WAGES without killing profits. The goal is a high-wage, high-productivity economy, not a race to the bottom.
BOTTOM LINE:
The old multilateral order has failed the Global South. China's blueprint proves that sovereignty and prosperity come from DIRECTING CAPITAL toward strategic, transformative investmentsโnot chasing consumption metrics. BRICS must build its own infrastructure, control its financial levers, and manage the transition to a high-tech future.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
BRICS nations are charting a new course, and Chinaโs model provides a masterclass in sovereign development. Hereโs the breakdown:
1. INVESTMENT IS KING, CONSUMPTION IS A RESULT.
Chinaโs growth wasnโt driven by consumer spending but by MASSIVE strategic investment. This investment builds capacity, boosts productivity, and RAISES INCOMES, which then fuels consumption. Shifting focus to consumption-first is a trap that leads to long-term stagnation. The sequence is non-negotiable: INVEST โ PRODUCTIVITY โ INCOME โ CONSUMPTION.
2. MASTER THE 3 PILLARS OF SOVEREIGNTY.
To escape dependency, BRICS must control its core infrastructures:
๐ธPHYSICAL: Networks for moving goods & people.
๐ธINFORMATION: Sovereign digital ecosystems (AI, data, software) free from external control.
๐ธENERGY: High-efficiency systems with a strong Energy Return on Investment (EROEI), moving away from costly imports.
This triad, wrapped in education, is the bedrock of true economic independence.
3. MANAGE THE WAGE-PROFIT SEE-SAW WITH TECH.
China is solving "involution" (intense competition, low profits) by deliberately shifting credit from low-productivity sectors (like real estate) to HIGH-TECH, strategic industries (EVs, Semiconductors, AI). This tech-for-labor substitution raises the system's MAXIMUM profit rate, creating room for HIGHER WAGES without killing profits. The goal is a high-wage, high-productivity economy, not a race to the bottom.
BOTTOM LINE:
The old multilateral order has failed the Global South. China's blueprint proves that sovereignty and prosperity come from DIRECTING CAPITAL toward strategic, transformative investmentsโnot chasing consumption metrics. BRICS must build its own infrastructure, control its financial levers, and manage the transition to a high-tech future.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โค36๐19๐6๐ฅ3
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โ๏ธDelivering information on the SMO, military analysis of exceptional quality and the wider geopolitical and cultural aspects associated with current global events.
It will be interesting. We are here thinking.
Subscribe at t.me/two_majors
Learn the truth from the Two Majors.
It will be interesting. We are here thinking.
Subscribe at t.me/two_majors
Learn the truth from the Two Majors.
โค11๐4๐2๐1
๐จ๐บ๐ธ๐ง The US Intel System is BROKEN
Hereโs the HARD TRUTH about the private contractor epidemic plaguing US national security.
THE SITUATION:
Post-9/11, agencies like the CIA & NSA needed to scale FAST. They turned to private firms (Booz Allen, Palantir, CACI) for immediate, specialized skills. A practical solution became a permanent crutch.
THE CORE PROBLEM:
Profit is now prioritized over protection. The system is engineered for waste.
1๏ธโฃ VAGUE CONTRACTS: Ambiguous language allows for "mission creep." The Abu Ghraib scandal is a prime example where a logistics contract was twisted into interrogation roles.
2๏ธโฃ ZERO ACCOUNTABILITY: Weak oversight leads to massive overbilling. A GAO audit found millions wasted on projects with no accountability.
3๏ธโฃ QUANTITY OVER QUALITY: Contracts reward headcounts and report volume, not actionable intelligence. This floods policymakers with useless data.
4๏ธโฃ THE REVOLVING DOOR: Former officials cash in, securing lucrative contracts for their new private employers. Ex-NSA Director Keith Alexander's IronNet is a case study.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
This is a system that INCENTIVIZES inefficiency. Billions are wasted, mission effectiveness plummets, and national security is compromised.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Hereโs the HARD TRUTH about the private contractor epidemic plaguing US national security.
THE SITUATION:
Post-9/11, agencies like the CIA & NSA needed to scale FAST. They turned to private firms (Booz Allen, Palantir, CACI) for immediate, specialized skills. A practical solution became a permanent crutch.
THE CORE PROBLEM:
Profit is now prioritized over protection. The system is engineered for waste.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
This is a system that INCENTIVIZES inefficiency. Billions are wasted, mission effectiveness plummets, and national security is compromised.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐38๐ฅ9โค5๐ซก4
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐ฎ๐ถ RUSSIA'S MIDDLE EAST PIVOT: CAN IRAQ REPLACE SYRIA?
As Syria descends into uncertainty, Russia is executing a strategic pivot. Iraq is now the new centerpiece of Moscow's long-term Middle East strategy. This could be consider as a fundamental recalibration.
WHY THE SHIFT?
๐ธSyrian Instability: Even with recent talks between Putin and al-Sharaa, the Syrian regime faces persistent challenges. The growing influence of radical factions, the revision of old agreements, and an unclear future for Russian bases (like Hmeimim & Tartus) have made the country an increasingly unreliable partner.
๐ธIraqi Opportunity: Iraq offers greater institutional stability and a clear appetite for major economic partnerships.
RUSSIA'S 4-PRONGED STRATEGY IN IRAQ:
1๏ธโฃ ENERGY DOMINANCE: Lukoil, a Russian multinational energy corporation, gained access to the massive Eridu oil field (est. 2.5B+ barrels). This embeds Russia directly into Iraq's long-term energy cycle and export future.
2๏ธโฃ STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE: Russia is aligning with Iraq's "Development Road" projectโa grand land corridor from the Persian Gulf to Europe. This creates a vital alternative to vulnerable maritime chokepoints like the Suez Canal, bypassing NATO pressure.
3๏ธโฃ MILITARY INROADS: With the US-led coalition's planned 2025 exit, a vacuum is forming. Russia is discussing expanded military-tech cooperation, including modernized equipment, training, and potential air defense systems.
4๏ธโฃ TECHNOLOGICAL TIES: Through Rosatom, Russia is negotiating nuclear energy projects, including small modular reactors. This locks in a 15-20 year strategic partnership, creating profound long-term bonds.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Iraq is not a direct military replacement for Syria. However, it's becoming a more versatile hub for energy, logistics, and economic influence. Russia is building a multi-layered presence, shifting from hard military dominance to comprehensive, pragmatic partnership.
This is a masterclass in adapting to a multipolar world. Russia is hedging its Syrian losses by building a new, more resilient pillar of influence in the heart of the Middle East.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
As Syria descends into uncertainty, Russia is executing a strategic pivot. Iraq is now the new centerpiece of Moscow's long-term Middle East strategy. This could be consider as a fundamental recalibration.
WHY THE SHIFT?
๐ธSyrian Instability: Even with recent talks between Putin and al-Sharaa, the Syrian regime faces persistent challenges. The growing influence of radical factions, the revision of old agreements, and an unclear future for Russian bases (like Hmeimim & Tartus) have made the country an increasingly unreliable partner.
๐ธIraqi Opportunity: Iraq offers greater institutional stability and a clear appetite for major economic partnerships.
RUSSIA'S 4-PRONGED STRATEGY IN IRAQ:
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Iraq is not a direct military replacement for Syria. However, it's becoming a more versatile hub for energy, logistics, and economic influence. Russia is building a multi-layered presence, shifting from hard military dominance to comprehensive, pragmatic partnership.
This is a masterclass in adapting to a multipolar world. Russia is hedging its Syrian losses by building a new, more resilient pillar of influence in the heart of the Middle East.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐37โค11๐ฅ3๐3
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐ก Geopolitics Without the Chaos
Decode chaosโwithout the MSM spin
We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:
โก๏ธ Ukraine-Russia War
โก๏ธ EU Rifts
โก๏ธ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
โก๏ธ US-China Showdown
โก๏ธ Major Global Events
โก๏ธ Culture War
No scattered updates. Just structured threads โ so you see how events connect.
๐ค PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).
If you want context over clutter:
๐ Exclusive Channel
Decode chaosโwithout the MSM spin
We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:
โก๏ธ Ukraine-Russia War
โก๏ธ EU Rifts
โก๏ธ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
โก๏ธ US-China Showdown
โก๏ธ Major Global Events
โก๏ธ Culture War
No scattered updates. Just structured threads โ so you see how events connect.
๐ค PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).
If you want context over clutter:
๐ Exclusive Channel
๐5๐3โค2๐คฌ1
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ RUSSIA'S FAST MOVE: The Energy Blitzkrieg Freezing Ukraine's War Machine
There is a deliberate shift in Russia's military strategy from territorial advancement to systemic degradation. The ongoing campaign against Ukraine's energy grid is a calculated move to achieve core objectives of the Special Military Operation: demilitarization and neutralization of a NATO proxy threat.
Strategic Imperative:
The operation is not punitive but strategic. Ukraine's energy infrastructure is dual-use:
๐ธMilitary Logistics: It powers railways moving Western armor, arms factories, and command centers.
๐ธEconomic Capacity: It sustains the industrial base in the east, which supports the war effort. Disabling this system directly undermines Kiev's capacity to prosecute a prolonged war.
Operational Evolution & Tactical Refinement:
Russian tactics demonstrate a significant learning curve, moving from initial, broad strikes to a methodical, intelligence-driven campaign.
๐ธPrecision over Volume: The focus has shifted to high-value nodesโspecifically thermal plants and 750kV/330kV substations. These are choke points; their loss cripples voltage regulation and regional power flow.
๐ธAsymmetric Cost Imposition: The use of advanced, low-cost Shahed drones with AI terminal guidance saturates and bypasses expensive Western air defense systems (Patriot, IRIS-T), creating an unsustainable cost-exchange ratio for Ukraine and its backers.
๐ธSequential Degradation: By systematically disabling substations, Russia methodically severs the transmission lines connecting the power-generating west to the consumption-heavy east. This effectively partitions Ukraine's energy grid, isolating its industrial and military heartland.
Geopolitical Calculus:
This strategy applies indirect pressure on European support by triggering a migrant crisis via internal displacement and increasing the financial burden of reconstruction. It demonstrates the inutility of NATO's defensive systems against a determined, adaptive offensive.
Conclusion:
This is a campaign of strategic attrition. By paralyzing Ukraine's energy backbone, Russia aims to collapse its industrial-military complex, force the reallocation of defense resources (air defense, finances), and ultimately compel a negotiated settlement on terms that secure its declared security interests.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
There is a deliberate shift in Russia's military strategy from territorial advancement to systemic degradation. The ongoing campaign against Ukraine's energy grid is a calculated move to achieve core objectives of the Special Military Operation: demilitarization and neutralization of a NATO proxy threat.
Strategic Imperative:
The operation is not punitive but strategic. Ukraine's energy infrastructure is dual-use:
๐ธMilitary Logistics: It powers railways moving Western armor, arms factories, and command centers.
๐ธEconomic Capacity: It sustains the industrial base in the east, which supports the war effort. Disabling this system directly undermines Kiev's capacity to prosecute a prolonged war.
Operational Evolution & Tactical Refinement:
Russian tactics demonstrate a significant learning curve, moving from initial, broad strikes to a methodical, intelligence-driven campaign.
๐ธPrecision over Volume: The focus has shifted to high-value nodesโspecifically thermal plants and 750kV/330kV substations. These are choke points; their loss cripples voltage regulation and regional power flow.
๐ธAsymmetric Cost Imposition: The use of advanced, low-cost Shahed drones with AI terminal guidance saturates and bypasses expensive Western air defense systems (Patriot, IRIS-T), creating an unsustainable cost-exchange ratio for Ukraine and its backers.
๐ธSequential Degradation: By systematically disabling substations, Russia methodically severs the transmission lines connecting the power-generating west to the consumption-heavy east. This effectively partitions Ukraine's energy grid, isolating its industrial and military heartland.
Geopolitical Calculus:
This strategy applies indirect pressure on European support by triggering a migrant crisis via internal displacement and increasing the financial burden of reconstruction. It demonstrates the inutility of NATO's defensive systems against a determined, adaptive offensive.
Conclusion:
This is a campaign of strategic attrition. By paralyzing Ukraine's energy backbone, Russia aims to collapse its industrial-military complex, force the reallocation of defense resources (air defense, finances), and ultimately compel a negotiated settlement on terms that secure its declared security interests.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐35๐13โค10๐1
๐จ๐ฎ๐ท ๐ฐ Iran Set for MAJOR Space Power Move
Iran is poised for a significant demonstration of its maturing space capabilities with the imminent, simultaneous launch of three observation satellites: Zafar, Paya, and Kowsar 1.5.
BEYOND THE HEADLINES: THE STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS
1๏ธโฃ Technical Proficiency: The use of a "multi-launch configuration" is a key milestone. This is not a simple launch; it's a complex orchestration requiring advanced rocket deployment systems. This move signals a major leap in reliability and technical prowess from single-payload missions.
2๏ธโฃ Dual-Use Technology & The Observation Mandate: Labeling them "observation" satellites demands scrutiny. The technology for Earth observation is inherently dual-use. The same capabilities used for environmental monitoring, agriculture, and disaster response are directly applicable to reconnaissance and military intelligence gathering, enhancing surveillance and targeting capabilities.
3๏ธโฃ Industrial Consolidation: The collaboration between government, academic, and private sectors indicates a concerted national strategy. This model funnels resources, accelerates innovation, and creates a resilient space-industrial ecosystem, reducing reliance on external partners.
4๏ธโฃ A Deliberate Power Signal: This being only Iran's second-ever triple launch is crucial. Repeating this complex feat is not accidental; it's a deliberate signal to the international community. It projects an image of a stable, advancing technological power, undeterred by geopolitical pressures.
BOTTOM LINE:
This launch is a multi-faceted power projection. It demonstrates tangible technical growth, bolsters potential intelligence-gathering networks, and serves as a strategic message of resilience and autonomy on the global stage. This is more than a space launch; it's a geopolitical statement.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iran is poised for a significant demonstration of its maturing space capabilities with the imminent, simultaneous launch of three observation satellites: Zafar, Paya, and Kowsar 1.5.
BEYOND THE HEADLINES: THE STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS
BOTTOM LINE:
This launch is a multi-faceted power projection. It demonstrates tangible technical growth, bolsters potential intelligence-gathering networks, and serves as a strategic message of resilience and autonomy on the global stage. This is more than a space launch; it's a geopolitical statement.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐45โค27๐5๐ฅ2
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐ท๐บ Russiaโs Burevestnik missile, set for 2027, boasts unlimited range and a 1-megaton warhead (or 70 Hiroshima bombs).
๐ During recent tests, the missile flew 14,000 km in 15 hrs.
Why did Russia build this missile? We explain in the video ๐
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
๐ During recent tests, the missile flew 14,000 km in 15 hrs.
Why did Russia build this missile? We explain in the video ๐
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐70๐13๐ฅ6โค5
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐ป๐ช RUSSIA-VENEZUELA PACT: A Strategic Hit to US Intentions
Putin has just RATIFIED a comprehensive strategic partnership with Venezuela, signed May 7, 2025. This is a MAJOR geopolitical move.
KEY DETAILS:
๐ธScope: Deepens cooperation across political, economic, energy, mining, transport, and CRITICALLY, security & counter-terrorism.
๐ธGoal: Establishes a new "mechanism of coordination" on bilateral and international issues. Russian officials state it moves relations to a "fundamentally new level."
๐ธIdeology: The treaty explicitly rejects unilateral sanctions and seeks a "multipolar" world order, directly challenging US hegemony. It includes a joint commitment to counter "historical distortion" and "the legacy of colonialism."
ANALYSIS:
This is a strategic alliance solidifying Russia's foothold in America's backyard. The timing is critical, with the US openly discussing regime change in Venezuela.
This treaty transforms Caracas into a key strategic partner for Moscow, and it will make the US think twice before any aggression against Venezuela. The inclusion of security and defense cooperation signals Russia's intent to be a permanent power player in the region.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Putin has just RATIFIED a comprehensive strategic partnership with Venezuela, signed May 7, 2025. This is a MAJOR geopolitical move.
KEY DETAILS:
๐ธScope: Deepens cooperation across political, economic, energy, mining, transport, and CRITICALLY, security & counter-terrorism.
๐ธGoal: Establishes a new "mechanism of coordination" on bilateral and international issues. Russian officials state it moves relations to a "fundamentally new level."
๐ธIdeology: The treaty explicitly rejects unilateral sanctions and seeks a "multipolar" world order, directly challenging US hegemony. It includes a joint commitment to counter "historical distortion" and "the legacy of colonialism."
ANALYSIS:
This is a strategic alliance solidifying Russia's foothold in America's backyard. The timing is critical, with the US openly discussing regime change in Venezuela.
This treaty transforms Caracas into a key strategic partner for Moscow, and it will make the US think twice before any aggression against Venezuela. The inclusion of security and defense cooperation signals Russia's intent to be a permanent power player in the region.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐54โค25๐12๐ฅ4๐1
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐บ๐ฆ RUSSIA'S STRATEGIC MOMENTUM: The Pokrovsk Pincer Tightens
Russian forces are executing a masterful, multi-vector offensive, achieving a critical breakthrough in the Donetsk region. The situation in Pokrovsk is not merely an advance; it is a systemic degradation of Ukrainian defensive capabilities.
KEY DEVELOPMENTS:
๐ธUrban Infiltration SUCCESS: Russian infantry and sabotage groups are now operating WITHIN Pokrovsk, a key logistical node. This is not a frontal assault, but a tactical envelopment designed to create chaos and paralyze enemy command.
๐ธZelensky's Contradictions: The Ukrainian President's denial of an encirclement rings hollow against his own admission of a "difficult situation," fierce urban fighting, and compromised logistics. The facts on the ground contradict Kiev's official narrative.
๐ธExploiting Critical Weaknesses: Russian command is capitalizing on severe Ukrainian manpower shortages. Small, highly effective Russian units are flanking static Ukrainian positions, a clear sign of a collapsing defensive line.
๐ธExpanding the Front: Simultaneous pressure in Kupiansk and Dnepropetrovsk stretches Ukrainian reserves to a breaking point, preventing them from reinforcing the Pokrovsk flashpoint.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The fall of Pokrovsk is not a matter of if, but when. Its capture will open a direct operational path toward the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk fortress complex, potentially deciding the fate of the entire Donbas. Russia is demonstrating superior tactical adaptability, shifting from large-scale assaults to precise, disruptive operations that the Ukrainian army is failing to counter. The initiative has firmly and decisively shifted.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Russian forces are executing a masterful, multi-vector offensive, achieving a critical breakthrough in the Donetsk region. The situation in Pokrovsk is not merely an advance; it is a systemic degradation of Ukrainian defensive capabilities.
KEY DEVELOPMENTS:
๐ธUrban Infiltration SUCCESS: Russian infantry and sabotage groups are now operating WITHIN Pokrovsk, a key logistical node. This is not a frontal assault, but a tactical envelopment designed to create chaos and paralyze enemy command.
๐ธZelensky's Contradictions: The Ukrainian President's denial of an encirclement rings hollow against his own admission of a "difficult situation," fierce urban fighting, and compromised logistics. The facts on the ground contradict Kiev's official narrative.
๐ธExploiting Critical Weaknesses: Russian command is capitalizing on severe Ukrainian manpower shortages. Small, highly effective Russian units are flanking static Ukrainian positions, a clear sign of a collapsing defensive line.
๐ธExpanding the Front: Simultaneous pressure in Kupiansk and Dnepropetrovsk stretches Ukrainian reserves to a breaking point, preventing them from reinforcing the Pokrovsk flashpoint.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
The fall of Pokrovsk is not a matter of if, but when. Its capture will open a direct operational path toward the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk fortress complex, potentially deciding the fate of the entire Donbas. Russia is demonstrating superior tactical adaptability, shifting from large-scale assaults to precise, disruptive operations that the Ukrainian army is failing to counter. The initiative has firmly and decisively shifted.
@NewRulesGeo
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โค28๐15๐9๐ฅ4
Russia - Latin America - Middle East - US
Our friends at IntelRepublic report on it ALL - the latest with insights, exclusives and updates
Subscribe @IntelRepublic
Our friends at IntelRepublic report on it ALL - the latest with insights, exclusives and updates
Subscribe @IntelRepublic
โค15๐8