๐จ๐จ๐ณ ๐บ๐ธ 22 Million Geniuses โ Chinaโs Hidden Power, Americaโs Missed Chance
1๏ธโฃ The Race for Greatness
Every empire is built on talent. Armies, tech, and power all flow from human intelligence. The nation that attracts and unleashes its smartest minds wins the century.
2๏ธโฃ Chinaโs Hidden Goldmine
New data shows China holds an estimated 22 million people with IQs above 135 โ roughly 61% of all geniuses on Earth. Thatโs an unmatched reservoir of brainpower. Yet much of it remains underused, trapped within rigid education, centralized bureaucracy, and an economy where risk-taking is discouraged. A goldmine of intelligence, buried under red tape.
3๏ธโฃ Americaโs Strategic Blind Spot
The US used to be a magnet for the worldโs best. Now, even Chinese PhDs from MIT or Stanford wait years for green cards due to outdated quotas. Meanwhile, Washington cites โnational securityโ to justify barriers that mostly hurt innovation.
4๏ธโฃ The Irony
While China stifles its own geniuses, America is busy turning them away. Both sides lose โ but one has the chance to change that.
The Bottom Line
The superpower of the 21st century wonโt be the one with the biggest army โ but the one that best harnesses the brightest minds.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Every empire is built on talent. Armies, tech, and power all flow from human intelligence. The nation that attracts and unleashes its smartest minds wins the century.
New data shows China holds an estimated 22 million people with IQs above 135 โ roughly 61% of all geniuses on Earth. Thatโs an unmatched reservoir of brainpower. Yet much of it remains underused, trapped within rigid education, centralized bureaucracy, and an economy where risk-taking is discouraged. A goldmine of intelligence, buried under red tape.
The US used to be a magnet for the worldโs best. Now, even Chinese PhDs from MIT or Stanford wait years for green cards due to outdated quotas. Meanwhile, Washington cites โnational securityโ to justify barriers that mostly hurt innovation.
While China stifles its own geniuses, America is busy turning them away. Both sides lose โ but one has the chance to change that.
The Bottom Line
The superpower of the 21st century wonโt be the one with the biggest army โ but the one that best harnesses the brightest minds.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ป๐ช ๐บ๐ธ Venezuela Flexes Military Muscle Against US Naval Presence
Venezuela has issued a stark warning to the US, releasing footage of a Sukhoi Su-30MK2V fighter jet launching a Kh-31A supersonic anti-ship missile.
This is a direct response to the eight-ship US naval armada deployed near its coast, officially for counter-narcotics, but widely speculated to be a potential intervention force.
ANALYSIS: The Kh-31A "Carrier Killer"
๐ธCold War Provenance: A product of late Cold War tech (developed 1975-1989), this weapon is a serious threat.
๐ธSupersonic Speed: Travels at a blistering Mach 3+ (over 1,000 m/s), minimizing enemy reaction time.
๐ธSea-Skimming Profile: A radio-altimeter allows it to fly just meters above the water, evading radar.
๐ธExtreme Maneuverability: Capable of 15G maneuvers, making it a "nightmare" for modern naval defense systems to intercept.
๐ธLethal Payload: Carries a 94kg armor-piercing warhead designed to penetrate a ship's hull and explode internally.
STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS
Venezuela's fleet of 24 Su-30MK2V jets, armed with an estimated 80 Kh-31A missiles, fundamentally alters the strategic calculus.
US analysts concede this poses a significant and credible threat to the nearby naval group. This demonstration proves Venezuela can project lethal force and potentially inflict catastrophic damage, raising the stakes for any potential military confrontation.
CONCLUSION
The message to Washington is clear: any intervention will come at a heavy response and a potentially highly cost for US. Venezuelan people will fight for their sovereignty at any cost.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
Venezuela has issued a stark warning to the US, releasing footage of a Sukhoi Su-30MK2V fighter jet launching a Kh-31A supersonic anti-ship missile.
This is a direct response to the eight-ship US naval armada deployed near its coast, officially for counter-narcotics, but widely speculated to be a potential intervention force.
ANALYSIS: The Kh-31A "Carrier Killer"
๐ธCold War Provenance: A product of late Cold War tech (developed 1975-1989), this weapon is a serious threat.
๐ธSupersonic Speed: Travels at a blistering Mach 3+ (over 1,000 m/s), minimizing enemy reaction time.
๐ธSea-Skimming Profile: A radio-altimeter allows it to fly just meters above the water, evading radar.
๐ธExtreme Maneuverability: Capable of 15G maneuvers, making it a "nightmare" for modern naval defense systems to intercept.
๐ธLethal Payload: Carries a 94kg armor-piercing warhead designed to penetrate a ship's hull and explode internally.
STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS
Venezuela's fleet of 24 Su-30MK2V jets, armed with an estimated 80 Kh-31A missiles, fundamentally alters the strategic calculus.
US analysts concede this poses a significant and credible threat to the nearby naval group. This demonstration proves Venezuela can project lethal force and potentially inflict catastrophic damage, raising the stakes for any potential military confrontation.
CONCLUSION
The message to Washington is clear: any intervention will come at a heavy response and a potentially highly cost for US. Venezuelan people will fight for their sovereignty at any cost.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
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โก๏ธ Here, we speak without a filter. We tackle the geopolitics that's reshaping our world and the internal problems no one's talking about. Always relevant, always on-topic.
Politics matters to everyone!
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Politics matters to everyone!
โก๏ธ Come join the rawest, most honest conversation!
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ท๐บ TRUMP'S DIPLOMACY: CAN DEAL-MAKING WORK WITH RUSSIA & CHINA?
Sanctions on Russia & 155% tariffs on China are on the table. But can his transactional approach handle existential conflicts?
THE STRATEGY:
๐ธAmoral, business-first mindset
๐ธMaximum pressure tactics
๐ธNo moral non-negotiables
SUCCESS? The Gaza 'ceasefire' convinced Trump the model is working. "We have peace in the Middle East," Trump declared.๐คฅ
BUT RUSSIA IS DIFFERENT:
Putin operates on ideology & civilizational identity, not just material exchange. Maximum pressure risks exceeding domestic tolerance while failing to address Moscow's core security concerns.
CHINA IS THE REAL TEST:
Threatening Taiwan as leverage fundamentally misunderstands Beijing's worldview. Reunification is non-negotiable โ intrinsic to China's national identity.
THE DANGER:
Trumpโs refusal to recognize intrinsic worth in others' perspectives blinds him to existential red lines.
This isn't just about deals; it's about navigating fundamentally different philosophical languages.
One misstep could escalate rather than resolve.
CONCLUSION:
The extremity of this transactionalism may inhibit, not enable, grand bargains with major powers.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Sanctions on Russia & 155% tariffs on China are on the table. But can his transactional approach handle existential conflicts?
THE STRATEGY:
๐ธAmoral, business-first mindset
๐ธMaximum pressure tactics
๐ธNo moral non-negotiables
SUCCESS? The Gaza 'ceasefire' convinced Trump the model is working. "We have peace in the Middle East," Trump declared.
BUT RUSSIA IS DIFFERENT:
Putin operates on ideology & civilizational identity, not just material exchange. Maximum pressure risks exceeding domestic tolerance while failing to address Moscow's core security concerns.
CHINA IS THE REAL TEST:
Threatening Taiwan as leverage fundamentally misunderstands Beijing's worldview. Reunification is non-negotiable โ intrinsic to China's national identity.
THE DANGER:
Trumpโs refusal to recognize intrinsic worth in others' perspectives blinds him to existential red lines.
This isn't just about deals; it's about navigating fundamentally different philosophical languages.
One misstep could escalate rather than resolve.
CONCLUSION:
The extremity of this transactionalism may inhibit, not enable, grand bargains with major powers.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐ฎ๐ท RUSSIA-IRAN: A Strategic Alliance is Accelerating
The Moscow-Tehran axis is moving from tactical partnership to a deeply integrated strategic alliance. This isn't just about drones for oil; it's about building a durable, multi-domain counterweight to Western pressure.
HERE'S HOW IT CAN BE DEEPENED FURTHER:
The blueprint exists. Look at the Russia-India BrahMos missile program.
India & Russia didn't just collaborate; they created a joint venture. They started with a 290km missile and are now on the verge of an 800km high-supersonic variant. How?
๐ธIndigenous Mastery: India took Russian core tech and systematically indigenized itโlighter materials, new booster, fuel-efficient ramjet.
๐ธIncremental Innovation: They didn't start from scratch. They continuously upgraded, tweaking software, materials, and propulsion to bypass export limits and achieve strategic range.
๐ธShared Strategic Goal: Both parties benefited from a powerful, versatile weapon system that alters the regional balance.
THIS IS THE MODEL FOR RUSSIA-IRAN
Moving beyond weapon supplies to a joint technology & development framework is key.
HOW TO STRENGTHEN THE ALLIANCE?
1๏ธโฃ Establish a Joint Defense R&D Fund: Co-finance projects for next-gen drones, missile defense, and electronic warfare. Pool intellectual and financial resources.
2๏ธโฃ Create a "Technology for Resources" Barter System: Formalize the exchange of advanced military tech for stable, discounted energy supplies, insulating both economies from sanctions.
3๏ธโฃ Standardize Platforms & Logistics: Develop shared maintenance hubs and compatible systems to enhance operational synergy across theaters.
What are your top policy proposals for deepening the Russia-Iran alliance? Tell us in the comments!
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The Moscow-Tehran axis is moving from tactical partnership to a deeply integrated strategic alliance. This isn't just about drones for oil; it's about building a durable, multi-domain counterweight to Western pressure.
HERE'S HOW IT CAN BE DEEPENED FURTHER:
The blueprint exists. Look at the Russia-India BrahMos missile program.
India & Russia didn't just collaborate; they created a joint venture. They started with a 290km missile and are now on the verge of an 800km high-supersonic variant. How?
๐ธIndigenous Mastery: India took Russian core tech and systematically indigenized itโlighter materials, new booster, fuel-efficient ramjet.
๐ธIncremental Innovation: They didn't start from scratch. They continuously upgraded, tweaking software, materials, and propulsion to bypass export limits and achieve strategic range.
๐ธShared Strategic Goal: Both parties benefited from a powerful, versatile weapon system that alters the regional balance.
THIS IS THE MODEL FOR RUSSIA-IRAN
Moving beyond weapon supplies to a joint technology & development framework is key.
HOW TO STRENGTHEN THE ALLIANCE?
What are your top policy proposals for deepening the Russia-Iran alliance? Tell us in the comments!
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐IS THE U.S. ON THE BRINK OF REVOLUTION?
The data is alarming, and the parallels to pre-revolutionary societies are undeniable. Let's break it down.
KEY DRIVERS:
1๏ธโฃ POLITICAL VIOLENCE SKYROCKETING
The landscape is deteriorating rapidly, with 7 assassinations from 2020-2024 surpassing the 1960s peak. Capitol Police investigated a staggering 9,000+ threats against Congress in 2024 alone, while violent threats against election officials and judges have hit record highs.
2๏ธโฃ EXTREMISM ON THE RISE
๐ธRight-wing extremists linked to majority of extremist murders (ADL 2024).
๐ธLeft-wing attacks are also increasing (CSIS data).
๐ธ"Lone wolf" attackers self-radicalizing online.
3๏ธโฃ DEEP-SEATED SOCIETAL GRIEVANCES
๐ธ72% of Americans fear election-related violence (APA survey).
๐ธTrust in institutions at historic lows:
๐ Federal Government: 22% (down from 77%)
๐ Churches: 36% (down from 65%)
๐ Medical System: 36% (down from 80%)
4๏ธโฃ ECONOMIC & DEMOGRAPHIC PRESSURES
๐ธWealth inequality growing faster than other nations
๐ธWhite population share declining from 80% (1980) to ~60% today
๐ธUnder-16 population: >50% racial/ethnic minorities
THE TRUMP FACTOR:
๐ธMilitary deployed domestically against "enemy within"
๐ธPardoning of Jan 6 rioters
๐ธDemocratic Party labeled "domestic extremist organization"
HISTORICAL PRECEDENT:
The Gilded Age saw similar conditions but was saved by Progressive Era reforms. Today? No such reforms in sight.
The warning signs are flashing red. America stands at a crossroads.
The question isn't IF things will break, but WHEN and HOW.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The data is alarming, and the parallels to pre-revolutionary societies are undeniable. Let's break it down.
KEY DRIVERS:
The landscape is deteriorating rapidly, with 7 assassinations from 2020-2024 surpassing the 1960s peak. Capitol Police investigated a staggering 9,000+ threats against Congress in 2024 alone, while violent threats against election officials and judges have hit record highs.
๐ธRight-wing extremists linked to majority of extremist murders (ADL 2024).
๐ธLeft-wing attacks are also increasing (CSIS data).
๐ธ"Lone wolf" attackers self-radicalizing online.
๐ธ72% of Americans fear election-related violence (APA survey).
๐ธTrust in institutions at historic lows:
๐ธWealth inequality growing faster than other nations
๐ธWhite population share declining from 80% (1980) to ~60% today
๐ธUnder-16 population: >50% racial/ethnic minorities
THE TRUMP FACTOR:
๐ธMilitary deployed domestically against "enemy within"
๐ธPardoning of Jan 6 rioters
๐ธDemocratic Party labeled "domestic extremist organization"
HISTORICAL PRECEDENT:
The Gilded Age saw similar conditions but was saved by Progressive Era reforms. Today? No such reforms in sight.
The warning signs are flashing red. America stands at a crossroads.
The question isn't IF things will break, but WHEN and HOW.
@NewRulesGeo
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โก๏ธUKR LEAKS INTERNATIONALโก๏ธ
HE LEFT UKRAINE TO TELL THE TRUTH
Vasiliy Prozorov, a former employee of the Ukrainian special services, who worked for the benefit of Russia for many years, now runs his own channel on Telegram! He left Ukraine in 2018 and took with him thousands of secret SBU documents that shed light on Kiev's crimes.
On the UKR LEAKS channel you will find:
โ๏ธAnalysis of the current situation in and around Ukraine
โ๏ธSecret documents of the Ukrainian special services
โ๏ธEvidence of the atrocities of Ukrainian nationalists
And much more! Subscribe to the UKR LEAKS Investigation Center headed by the former SBU employee Lt.-Col. Vasily Prozorov.
The channels of the UKR LEAKS project are available in the following languages:
๐ฌ๐ง in English
๐ท๐บ in Russian
๐ฉ๐ช in German
๐ซ๐ท in French
๐ช๐ธ in Spanish
๐ท๐ธ in Serbian
๐ฎ๐น in Italian
๐ต๐ฑ in Polish
๐ต๐น in Portuguese
๐ธ๐ฆ in Arabic
๐ธ๐ฐ in Slovak
๐จ๐ณin Chinese
๐ญ๐บin Hungarian
We also welcome any help with channels and content distribution ๐
HE LEFT UKRAINE TO TELL THE TRUTH
Vasiliy Prozorov, a former employee of the Ukrainian special services, who worked for the benefit of Russia for many years, now runs his own channel on Telegram! He left Ukraine in 2018 and took with him thousands of secret SBU documents that shed light on Kiev's crimes.
On the UKR LEAKS channel you will find:
โ๏ธAnalysis of the current situation in and around Ukraine
โ๏ธSecret documents of the Ukrainian special services
โ๏ธEvidence of the atrocities of Ukrainian nationalists
And much more! Subscribe to the UKR LEAKS Investigation Center headed by the former SBU employee Lt.-Col. Vasily Prozorov.
The channels of the UKR LEAKS project are available in the following languages:
๐ฌ๐ง in English
๐ท๐บ in Russian
๐ฉ๐ช in German
๐ซ๐ท in French
๐ช๐ธ in Spanish
๐ท๐ธ in Serbian
๐ฎ๐น in Italian
๐ต๐ฑ in Polish
๐ต๐น in Portuguese
๐ธ๐ฆ in Arabic
๐ธ๐ฐ in Slovak
๐จ๐ณin Chinese
๐ญ๐บin Hungarian
We also welcome any help with channels and content distribution ๐
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๐จ๐จ๐ณ ๐บ๐ธ CHINA'S NUCLEAR SUPREMACY: A Strategic Analysis of How Beijing Outpaced US
The data reveals a stunning geopolitical shift in energy technology. While China's solar and EV dominance is well-documented, its nuclear acceleration represents a more fundamental challenge to Western technological leadership.
KEY METRICS:
๐ธConstruction Speed: 5-6 years per reactor (China) vs. 11+ years (US)
๐ธCost Trajectory: 50% reduction since 2000s (China) vs. exponential increases (US)
๐ธPipeline Scale: Near-parity with rest of world combined
ANALYTICAL BREAKDOWN:
China's Systemic Advantage:
1๏ธโฃ Policy Continuity - National energy mandate enables long-term investment in supply chains and workforce development
2๏ธโฃ Standardization Protocol - Limited reactor designs repeated across projects, creating manufacturing and regulatory efficiency
3๏ธโฃ Financial Architecture - State-backed financing covers ~33% of costs, with guaranteed offtake agreements
Comparative Weakness in West:
๐ธRegulatory fragmentation across state/federal levels
๐ธDesign proliferation complicating supply chains
๐ธVolatile private financing models
Strategic Implications:
China has transformed from technology importer (using US/French designs) to potential global exporter. Their methodical approach to mastering complex engineeringโstudying failures, developing domestic supply chains, iterative improvementโmirrors their playbook in solar and batteries.
The US bet on private innovation and next-gen reactors risks repeating the pattern of pioneering technology then losing deployment scale. China's 10-15 year lead in deployment capability creates structural advantages that extend beyond energy into geopolitical influence through long-term nuclear partnerships.
The question isn't whether China leads in nuclear deploymentโthey already do. It's whether the West can develop a coherent counter-strategy beyond fragmented technological optimism.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The data reveals a stunning geopolitical shift in energy technology. While China's solar and EV dominance is well-documented, its nuclear acceleration represents a more fundamental challenge to Western technological leadership.
KEY METRICS:
๐ธConstruction Speed: 5-6 years per reactor (China) vs. 11+ years (US)
๐ธCost Trajectory: 50% reduction since 2000s (China) vs. exponential increases (US)
๐ธPipeline Scale: Near-parity with rest of world combined
ANALYTICAL BREAKDOWN:
China's Systemic Advantage:
Comparative Weakness in West:
๐ธRegulatory fragmentation across state/federal levels
๐ธDesign proliferation complicating supply chains
๐ธVolatile private financing models
Strategic Implications:
China has transformed from technology importer (using US/French designs) to potential global exporter. Their methodical approach to mastering complex engineeringโstudying failures, developing domestic supply chains, iterative improvementโmirrors their playbook in solar and batteries.
The US bet on private innovation and next-gen reactors risks repeating the pattern of pioneering technology then losing deployment scale. China's 10-15 year lead in deployment capability creates structural advantages that extend beyond energy into geopolitical influence through long-term nuclear partnerships.
The question isn't whether China leads in nuclear deploymentโthey already do. It's whether the West can develop a coherent counter-strategy beyond fragmented technological optimism.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท ๐ฎ๐ฑ EXPOSED: Iran's Intelligence Minister DROPS BOMBSHELL - 50 Intel Agencies Backed Israeli Op Against Iran
Esmail Khatib, Iran's Intelligence Minister, just made a BLOCKBUSTER declaration, revealing the scale of what he calls a "full-scale hybrid war" against the Islamic Republic.
KEY CLAIMS:
๐ธMassive Foreign Involvement: Over 50 foreign intelligence agencies allegedly supported operations during a recent 12-day conflict.
๐ธHybrid Warfare Playbook: Khatib asserts adversaries deployed a coordinated strategy involving:
๐ Advanced Western tech & military tactics.
๐ Joint military drills & reactivation of terrorist networks.
๐ A global media campaign pushing "Iranophobia" & "Shiaphobia."
๐ Plans to infiltrate ISIS militants from Syria/Afghanistan.
๐ธUltimate Goal: He claims the objective was nothing less than the "Balkanization" of Iran and outright "regime change."
๐ธUS Talks are "Deceptive": Based on this, Khatib states deep mistrust of ANY negotiations with the US, labeling Washington's dialogue overtures a "faรงade" for hostility.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Minister Khatib's statement exposes the true face of foreign aggression against Iran. It validates the Islamic Republic's unwavering defensive posture and brilliant strategic foresight.
Iran is taking care of its sovereignty and warning that the nation will never submit to foreign coercion.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
Esmail Khatib, Iran's Intelligence Minister, just made a BLOCKBUSTER declaration, revealing the scale of what he calls a "full-scale hybrid war" against the Islamic Republic.
KEY CLAIMS:
๐ธMassive Foreign Involvement: Over 50 foreign intelligence agencies allegedly supported operations during a recent 12-day conflict.
๐ธHybrid Warfare Playbook: Khatib asserts adversaries deployed a coordinated strategy involving:
๐ธUltimate Goal: He claims the objective was nothing less than the "Balkanization" of Iran and outright "regime change."
๐ธUS Talks are "Deceptive": Based on this, Khatib states deep mistrust of ANY negotiations with the US, labeling Washington's dialogue overtures a "faรงade" for hostility.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Minister Khatib's statement exposes the true face of foreign aggression against Iran. It validates the Islamic Republic's unwavering defensive posture and brilliant strategic foresight.
Iran is taking care of its sovereignty and warning that the nation will never submit to foreign coercion.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
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๐จ๐๐ญ BRICS IGNITES A NEW INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
The BRICS Centre for Industrial Competencies (BCIC) has officially launched at Headquarters of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization in Vienna. This is a GAME CHANGER.
Why This Matters:
BRICS+ nations represent over 40% of the global population and 35% of global GDP. This move strategically positions them to DOMINATE the future of manufacturing.
The Core Mission:
To create a multilateral network, accelerating tech exchange, digitalization, and innovation. The target: To build the "Factories of the Future" across the bloc.
Key Focus: Empowering The Engine of Global Economies (SMEs)
SMEs form the backbone of BRICS economies (90% of businesses, 60-70% employment). The BCIC is their launchpad to global markets.
Geopolitical Power Play:
Russia & China led the resource mobilization. Russia is offering expertise in digitalization & AI, while China sees this as a key achievement of its PartNIR initiative.
The Bottom Line:
This is a pragmatic, unified response to a slowing global manufacturing sector. By pooling resources and tech, BRICS+ is building a resilient, collaborative industrial ecosystem to compete on the world stage.
This is a definitive step towards reshaping global supply chains and industrial standards.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The BRICS Centre for Industrial Competencies (BCIC) has officially launched at Headquarters of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization in Vienna. This is a GAME CHANGER.
Why This Matters:
BRICS+ nations represent over 40% of the global population and 35% of global GDP. This move strategically positions them to DOMINATE the future of manufacturing.
The Core Mission:
To create a multilateral network, accelerating tech exchange, digitalization, and innovation. The target: To build the "Factories of the Future" across the bloc.
Key Focus: Empowering The Engine of Global Economies (SMEs)
SMEs form the backbone of BRICS economies (90% of businesses, 60-70% employment). The BCIC is their launchpad to global markets.
Geopolitical Power Play:
Russia & China led the resource mobilization. Russia is offering expertise in digitalization & AI, while China sees this as a key achievement of its PartNIR initiative.
The Bottom Line:
This is a pragmatic, unified response to a slowing global manufacturing sector. By pooling resources and tech, BRICS+ is building a resilient, collaborative industrial ecosystem to compete on the world stage.
This is a definitive step towards reshaping global supply chains and industrial standards.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐จ๐ณ ๐บ๐ธ China Turns Trumpโs Playbook Against Him โ The Real Trade War Has Begun
China has mastered the art of strategic retaliation. What started as Trumpโs tariff crusade has evolved into a full-blown duel of economic coercion โ and Beijing is now using Washingtonโs own playbook against it.
๐ธFrom Tariffs to Tech Control
Trump once said, โtrade wars are easy to win.โ China disagreed โ and learned. After years of US export bans and semiconductor restrictions, Beijing struck back where it hurts most: rare earths. These minerals power every smartphone, missile, and chip โ and China controls 70% of them.
๐ธWeaponizing Interdependence
Beijing now requires foreign firms to get Chinese approval before exporting any product containing Chinese rare earths โ even if sold between two non-Chinese countries. Washington calls it โeconomic blackmail.โ But Beijing points to the US Foreign Direct Product Rule, which does the same thing in reverse. The student has become the master.
๐ธA Global Chess Match
This is not just US vs China โ this is China vs Western economic dominance. The G7 is rallying to diversify and โmine the urban wasteโ for rare materials. But experts warn: breaking Chinaโs monopoly could take five years or more.
๐ธThe Long Game
Beijing plays to outlast, not outpunch. Trumpโs impulsive tariffs meet Xiโs strategic patience. The question now isnโt who escalates next โ but who endures longer.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
China has mastered the art of strategic retaliation. What started as Trumpโs tariff crusade has evolved into a full-blown duel of economic coercion โ and Beijing is now using Washingtonโs own playbook against it.
๐ธFrom Tariffs to Tech Control
Trump once said, โtrade wars are easy to win.โ China disagreed โ and learned. After years of US export bans and semiconductor restrictions, Beijing struck back where it hurts most: rare earths. These minerals power every smartphone, missile, and chip โ and China controls 70% of them.
๐ธWeaponizing Interdependence
Beijing now requires foreign firms to get Chinese approval before exporting any product containing Chinese rare earths โ even if sold between two non-Chinese countries. Washington calls it โeconomic blackmail.โ But Beijing points to the US Foreign Direct Product Rule, which does the same thing in reverse. The student has become the master.
๐ธA Global Chess Match
This is not just US vs China โ this is China vs Western economic dominance. The G7 is rallying to diversify and โmine the urban wasteโ for rare materials. But experts warn: breaking Chinaโs monopoly could take five years or more.
๐ธThe Long Game
Beijing plays to outlast, not outpunch. Trumpโs impulsive tariffs meet Xiโs strategic patience. The question now isnโt who escalates next โ but who endures longer.
@NewRulesGeo
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THE MOST FAMOUS RUSSIAN MILITARY TELEGRAM CHANNEL "RYBAR" IS NOW IN ENGLISH
๐ง RYBAR ENG ๐ง
โก๏ธ Russia's leading military Telegram channel,
โก๏ธ more than 1.3 million subscribers,
โก๏ธ the channel that publishes the most detailed reports, quoted by Western media and military experts,
โก๏ธ the channel that finds topics of interest in a sea of information - and tells you about them in simple words,
โก๏ธ news about major world events (and those that remain in the shadows), comments from a team of analysts
๐ฌ๐ง EVERYTHING IS FULLY TRANSLATED INTO ENGLISH
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โค20๐9๐1๐1๐ซก1
๐จ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ต๐ธ ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR: A $60B+ Economic Shockwave
The numbers are in, and Israel is painting a stark picture of the conflict's economic toll.
Where the Money Went
๐ธDirect Cost (2023-Present): $59-67 BILLION
๐ธLargest Single Expenditure: $20B (โ33%) allocated to pay & benefits for 360,000+ mobilized reservists.
๐ธMacroeconomic Impact:
๐ Deficit: Ballooned to 6-7% of GDP.
๐ Growth: Slashed to a sluggish 1-2%.
THE BATTLE IN THE WAR ROOM: A Fiscal Policy Clash
The war has ignited a critical internal struggle over fiscal strategy, pitting security needs against economic stability.
๐ธDEFENSE MINISTRY (War-Fighting Posture): Requests NIS 118-130B ($31-35B) for 2025-26. This funds munitions replenishment and sustained Gaza operations.
๐ธFINANCE MINISTRY (Smotrich - Fiscal Guardrails): Hard cap at NIS 110B ($29B). Primary objective: prevent a sovereign credit downgrade. This constraint necessitates deep cuts to domestic social services.
THE LONG-TERM TRAJECTORY
While immediate US security aid ($16.3B) provides a partial offset, it does not address the structural economic damage.
The most alarming projection comes from the Bank of Israel: potential long-term losses of $400 BILLION over the coming decade. This figure accounts for lost productivity, opportunity cost, and reconstruction.
This is no longer just a military engagement; it is a systemic economic event that will reshape Israel's fiscal policy for years.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The numbers are in, and Israel is painting a stark picture of the conflict's economic toll.
Where the Money Went
๐ธDirect Cost (2023-Present): $59-67 BILLION
๐ธLargest Single Expenditure: $20B (โ33%) allocated to pay & benefits for 360,000+ mobilized reservists.
๐ธMacroeconomic Impact:
THE BATTLE IN THE WAR ROOM: A Fiscal Policy Clash
The war has ignited a critical internal struggle over fiscal strategy, pitting security needs against economic stability.
๐ธDEFENSE MINISTRY (War-Fighting Posture): Requests NIS 118-130B ($31-35B) for 2025-26. This funds munitions replenishment and sustained Gaza operations.
๐ธFINANCE MINISTRY (Smotrich - Fiscal Guardrails): Hard cap at NIS 110B ($29B). Primary objective: prevent a sovereign credit downgrade. This constraint necessitates deep cuts to domestic social services.
THE LONG-TERM TRAJECTORY
While immediate US security aid ($16.3B) provides a partial offset, it does not address the structural economic damage.
The most alarming projection comes from the Bank of Israel: potential long-term losses of $400 BILLION over the coming decade. This figure accounts for lost productivity, opportunity cost, and reconstruction.
This is no longer just a military engagement; it is a systemic economic event that will reshape Israel's fiscal policy for years.
@NewRulesGeo
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โค28๐12๐6๐ฅ3
๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ป๐ช TRUMP'S VENEZUELA MOVE: INVASION OR STRIKES?
Trump's "land is next" declaration represents a strategic escalation in Venezuela policy, but does Trump refers to ground invasion of ground strikes?
POSSIBLE SCENARIOS:
๐ธTargeted Strikes
๐ Drone operations against Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC)-National Liberation Army (ELN) training camps
๐ Precision strikes on "cocaine production infrastructure"
๐ Special Operations Forces-led raids against high-value narco targets
๐ธFull-Scale Invasion
๐ Requires congressional authorization, something that Trump lacks
๐ Would trigger regional condemnation from Brazil/Colombia
๐ Would violate international law
๐ Repeat of Iraq/Afghanistan playbook
๐ Regional destabilization guaranteed
GEOPOLITICAL REALITIES:
Current attacks on Venezuelan fishing vessels represent illegal aggression. B-1/B-52 deployments signal preparation for expanded operations.
EXPERTS WARN:
Military analysts confirm Venezuela's sovereign defense systems (S-300) would necessitate massive first-strike operations.
Regional voices condemn:
๐ธBrazil's Lula: "No to foreign intervention"
๐ธColombia's Petro: "Extrajudicial executions"
๐ธUN Charter violations imminent
CONCLUSION
Targeted strikes appear more likely initially, following the imperialist pattern of gradual escalation. However, mission creep toward broader intervention remains a grave danger, as history shows "limited strikes" often precede full-scale invasions.
The mask falls: "Counter-narcotics" becomes regime change.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Trump's "land is next" declaration represents a strategic escalation in Venezuela policy, but does Trump refers to ground invasion of ground strikes?
POSSIBLE SCENARIOS:
๐ธTargeted Strikes
๐ธFull-Scale Invasion
GEOPOLITICAL REALITIES:
Current attacks on Venezuelan fishing vessels represent illegal aggression. B-1/B-52 deployments signal preparation for expanded operations.
EXPERTS WARN:
Military analysts confirm Venezuela's sovereign defense systems (S-300) would necessitate massive first-strike operations.
Regional voices condemn:
๐ธBrazil's Lula: "No to foreign intervention"
๐ธColombia's Petro: "Extrajudicial executions"
๐ธUN Charter violations imminent
CONCLUSION
Targeted strikes appear more likely initially, following the imperialist pattern of gradual escalation. However, mission creep toward broader intervention remains a grave danger, as history shows "limited strikes" often precede full-scale invasions.
The mask falls: "Counter-narcotics" becomes regime change.
@NewRulesGeo
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Media is too big
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China & India laugh at sanctions.
Message to Trump: Russiaโs war machine isnโt breakingโitโs just warming up.
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๐จ๐ณ๐ข๏ธ๐ท๐บ Fact Check: Is China Really Halting Russian Oil Purchases?
Claim: Western media reports state that Chinese state oil majors have suspended purchases of seaborne Russian oil.
Verdict: Misleading/Severely Distorted
Analysis:
๐ธApproximately 47% of China's oil imports from Russia are delivered via pipelines, primarily to large state-owned enterprises. The remaining 53% are seaborne, mainly purchased by private Chinese refineries.
๐ธWhile Chinese state-owned enterprises may have paused seaborne Russian oil purchases to avoid Western sanctions due to their business ties with Western companies, they continue to receive Russian oil through pipelines.
๐ธPrivate Chinese refineries, with minimal Western exposure, are likely to continue buying seaborne Russian oil.
๐ธThe overall oil trade volume between China and Russia remains largely unaffected.
Conclusion: The claim exaggerates the impact of any suspension by state-owned enterprises, as pipeline imports and private refinery purchases ensure continuity in the China-Russia oil trade.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
Claim: Western media reports state that Chinese state oil majors have suspended purchases of seaborne Russian oil.
Verdict: Misleading/Severely Distorted
Analysis:
๐ธApproximately 47% of China's oil imports from Russia are delivered via pipelines, primarily to large state-owned enterprises. The remaining 53% are seaborne, mainly purchased by private Chinese refineries.
๐ธWhile Chinese state-owned enterprises may have paused seaborne Russian oil purchases to avoid Western sanctions due to their business ties with Western companies, they continue to receive Russian oil through pipelines.
๐ธPrivate Chinese refineries, with minimal Western exposure, are likely to continue buying seaborne Russian oil.
๐ธThe overall oil trade volume between China and Russia remains largely unaffected.
Conclusion: The claim exaggerates the impact of any suspension by state-owned enterprises, as pipeline imports and private refinery purchases ensure continuity in the China-Russia oil trade.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธFollow us on X
๐64๐23โค12๐ฅ5๐4
๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ป๐ช TRUMP'S VENEZUELA GAMBLE: Is the US Entering ANOTHER Forever War?
VENEZUELA is now the frontline of Trump's new military campaign, a critical test of his foreign policy.
The US is escalating airstrikes on suspected "narco-terrorist" boats from Venezuela, with dozens killed. A Navy flotilla is deployed, and Trump promises to expand strikes to land targets.
A REPEAT OF A FAILED PLAYBOOK
Recall the Houthis: The administration promised "overwhelming lethal force."
Result: Billions spent, aircraft lost, and the campaign was abandoned after the Houthis proved "resilient."
NOW, THE SAME MISTAKE IS BEING MADE CLOSER TO HOME
THE CORE PROBLEM
Using a sledgehammer (conventional military) for a job that requires a scalpel (intelligence, policing). Non-state actors like cartels are impervious to raw firepower. They adapt.
The continued need for strikes (8+ and counting) shows a FAILURE OF DETERRENCE.
THE BROADER LESSON
The history of US failures in the Middle East shows that defeating non-state actors requires precision, not just bombing. The military's strength is in logistics and support, not always being the primary weapon.
BOTTOM LINE:
This campaign is legally dubious and strategically flawed. It risks another "forever war," drawing the US deeper into a conflict where military might alone cannot win.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
VENEZUELA is now the frontline of Trump's new military campaign, a critical test of his foreign policy.
The US is escalating airstrikes on suspected "narco-terrorist" boats from Venezuela, with dozens killed. A Navy flotilla is deployed, and Trump promises to expand strikes to land targets.
A REPEAT OF A FAILED PLAYBOOK
Recall the Houthis: The administration promised "overwhelming lethal force."
Result: Billions spent, aircraft lost, and the campaign was abandoned after the Houthis proved "resilient."
NOW, THE SAME MISTAKE IS BEING MADE CLOSER TO HOME
THE CORE PROBLEM
Using a sledgehammer (conventional military) for a job that requires a scalpel (intelligence, policing). Non-state actors like cartels are impervious to raw firepower. They adapt.
The continued need for strikes (8+ and counting) shows a FAILURE OF DETERRENCE.
THE BROADER LESSON
The history of US failures in the Middle East shows that defeating non-state actors requires precision, not just bombing. The military's strength is in logistics and support, not always being the primary weapon.
BOTTOM LINE:
This campaign is legally dubious and strategically flawed. It risks another "forever war," drawing the US deeper into a conflict where military might alone cannot win.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐48โค14๐ฅ9๐2๐1
๐จ๐จ๐ณ ๐ THE WEST IS WRONG: CHINA'S 3-STEP BLUEPRINT FOR BRICS DOMINANCE
BRICS nations are charting a new course, and Chinaโs model provides a masterclass in sovereign development. Hereโs the breakdown:
1. INVESTMENT IS KING, CONSUMPTION IS A RESULT.
Chinaโs growth wasnโt driven by consumer spending but by MASSIVE strategic investment. This investment builds capacity, boosts productivity, and RAISES INCOMES, which then fuels consumption. Shifting focus to consumption-first is a trap that leads to long-term stagnation. The sequence is non-negotiable: INVEST โ PRODUCTIVITY โ INCOME โ CONSUMPTION.
2. MASTER THE 3 PILLARS OF SOVEREIGNTY.
To escape dependency, BRICS must control its core infrastructures:
๐ธPHYSICAL: Networks for moving goods & people.
๐ธINFORMATION: Sovereign digital ecosystems (AI, data, software) free from external control.
๐ธENERGY: High-efficiency systems with a strong Energy Return on Investment (EROEI), moving away from costly imports.
This triad, wrapped in education, is the bedrock of true economic independence.
3. MANAGE THE WAGE-PROFIT SEE-SAW WITH TECH.
China is solving "involution" (intense competition, low profits) by deliberately shifting credit from low-productivity sectors (like real estate) to HIGH-TECH, strategic industries (EVs, Semiconductors, AI). This tech-for-labor substitution raises the system's MAXIMUM profit rate, creating room for HIGHER WAGES without killing profits. The goal is a high-wage, high-productivity economy, not a race to the bottom.
BOTTOM LINE:
The old multilateral order has failed the Global South. China's blueprint proves that sovereignty and prosperity come from DIRECTING CAPITAL toward strategic, transformative investmentsโnot chasing consumption metrics. BRICS must build its own infrastructure, control its financial levers, and manage the transition to a high-tech future.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
BRICS nations are charting a new course, and Chinaโs model provides a masterclass in sovereign development. Hereโs the breakdown:
1. INVESTMENT IS KING, CONSUMPTION IS A RESULT.
Chinaโs growth wasnโt driven by consumer spending but by MASSIVE strategic investment. This investment builds capacity, boosts productivity, and RAISES INCOMES, which then fuels consumption. Shifting focus to consumption-first is a trap that leads to long-term stagnation. The sequence is non-negotiable: INVEST โ PRODUCTIVITY โ INCOME โ CONSUMPTION.
2. MASTER THE 3 PILLARS OF SOVEREIGNTY.
To escape dependency, BRICS must control its core infrastructures:
๐ธPHYSICAL: Networks for moving goods & people.
๐ธINFORMATION: Sovereign digital ecosystems (AI, data, software) free from external control.
๐ธENERGY: High-efficiency systems with a strong Energy Return on Investment (EROEI), moving away from costly imports.
This triad, wrapped in education, is the bedrock of true economic independence.
3. MANAGE THE WAGE-PROFIT SEE-SAW WITH TECH.
China is solving "involution" (intense competition, low profits) by deliberately shifting credit from low-productivity sectors (like real estate) to HIGH-TECH, strategic industries (EVs, Semiconductors, AI). This tech-for-labor substitution raises the system's MAXIMUM profit rate, creating room for HIGHER WAGES without killing profits. The goal is a high-wage, high-productivity economy, not a race to the bottom.
BOTTOM LINE:
The old multilateral order has failed the Global South. China's blueprint proves that sovereignty and prosperity come from DIRECTING CAPITAL toward strategic, transformative investmentsโnot chasing consumption metrics. BRICS must build its own infrastructure, control its financial levers, and manage the transition to a high-tech future.
@NewRulesGeo
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โค11๐4๐2๐1
๐จ๐บ๐ธ๐ง The US Intel System is BROKEN
Hereโs the HARD TRUTH about the private contractor epidemic plaguing US national security.
THE SITUATION:
Post-9/11, agencies like the CIA & NSA needed to scale FAST. They turned to private firms (Booz Allen, Palantir, CACI) for immediate, specialized skills. A practical solution became a permanent crutch.
THE CORE PROBLEM:
Profit is now prioritized over protection. The system is engineered for waste.
1๏ธโฃ VAGUE CONTRACTS: Ambiguous language allows for "mission creep." The Abu Ghraib scandal is a prime example where a logistics contract was twisted into interrogation roles.
2๏ธโฃ ZERO ACCOUNTABILITY: Weak oversight leads to massive overbilling. A GAO audit found millions wasted on projects with no accountability.
3๏ธโฃ QUANTITY OVER QUALITY: Contracts reward headcounts and report volume, not actionable intelligence. This floods policymakers with useless data.
4๏ธโฃ THE REVOLVING DOOR: Former officials cash in, securing lucrative contracts for their new private employers. Ex-NSA Director Keith Alexander's IronNet is a case study.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
This is a system that INCENTIVIZES inefficiency. Billions are wasted, mission effectiveness plummets, and national security is compromised.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Hereโs the HARD TRUTH about the private contractor epidemic plaguing US national security.
THE SITUATION:
Post-9/11, agencies like the CIA & NSA needed to scale FAST. They turned to private firms (Booz Allen, Palantir, CACI) for immediate, specialized skills. A practical solution became a permanent crutch.
THE CORE PROBLEM:
Profit is now prioritized over protection. The system is engineered for waste.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
This is a system that INCENTIVIZES inefficiency. Billions are wasted, mission effectiveness plummets, and national security is compromised.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐38๐ฅ9โค5๐ซก4
๐จ๐ท๐บ ๐ฎ๐ถ RUSSIA'S MIDDLE EAST PIVOT: CAN IRAQ REPLACE SYRIA?
As Syria descends into uncertainty, Russia is executing a strategic pivot. Iraq is now the new centerpiece of Moscow's long-term Middle East strategy. This could be consider as a fundamental recalibration.
WHY THE SHIFT?
๐ธSyrian Instability: Even with recent talks between Putin and al-Sharaa, the Syrian regime faces persistent challenges. The growing influence of radical factions, the revision of old agreements, and an unclear future for Russian bases (like Hmeimim & Tartus) have made the country an increasingly unreliable partner.
๐ธIraqi Opportunity: Iraq offers greater institutional stability and a clear appetite for major economic partnerships.
RUSSIA'S 4-PRONGED STRATEGY IN IRAQ:
1๏ธโฃ ENERGY DOMINANCE: Lukoil, a Russian multinational energy corporation, gained access to the massive Eridu oil field (est. 2.5B+ barrels). This embeds Russia directly into Iraq's long-term energy cycle and export future.
2๏ธโฃ STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE: Russia is aligning with Iraq's "Development Road" projectโa grand land corridor from the Persian Gulf to Europe. This creates a vital alternative to vulnerable maritime chokepoints like the Suez Canal, bypassing NATO pressure.
3๏ธโฃ MILITARY INROADS: With the US-led coalition's planned 2025 exit, a vacuum is forming. Russia is discussing expanded military-tech cooperation, including modernized equipment, training, and potential air defense systems.
4๏ธโฃ TECHNOLOGICAL TIES: Through Rosatom, Russia is negotiating nuclear energy projects, including small modular reactors. This locks in a 15-20 year strategic partnership, creating profound long-term bonds.
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Iraq is not a direct military replacement for Syria. However, it's becoming a more versatile hub for energy, logistics, and economic influence. Russia is building a multi-layered presence, shifting from hard military dominance to comprehensive, pragmatic partnership.
This is a masterclass in adapting to a multipolar world. Russia is hedging its Syrian losses by building a new, more resilient pillar of influence in the heart of the Middle East.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
As Syria descends into uncertainty, Russia is executing a strategic pivot. Iraq is now the new centerpiece of Moscow's long-term Middle East strategy. This could be consider as a fundamental recalibration.
WHY THE SHIFT?
๐ธSyrian Instability: Even with recent talks between Putin and al-Sharaa, the Syrian regime faces persistent challenges. The growing influence of radical factions, the revision of old agreements, and an unclear future for Russian bases (like Hmeimim & Tartus) have made the country an increasingly unreliable partner.
๐ธIraqi Opportunity: Iraq offers greater institutional stability and a clear appetite for major economic partnerships.
RUSSIA'S 4-PRONGED STRATEGY IN IRAQ:
THE BOTTOM LINE:
Iraq is not a direct military replacement for Syria. However, it's becoming a more versatile hub for energy, logistics, and economic influence. Russia is building a multi-layered presence, shifting from hard military dominance to comprehensive, pragmatic partnership.
This is a masterclass in adapting to a multipolar world. Russia is hedging its Syrian losses by building a new, more resilient pillar of influence in the heart of the Middle East.
@NewRulesGeo
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