New Rules
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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world.

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๐Ÿšจ๐ŸŸจ๐Ÿ“ˆ Gold Rush 2025: The Great Pivot Is Here

As gold smashes through $4,000/oz, a wave of nations is leading a historic shift away from dollar dominance โ€” and toward gold.

Hereโ€™s whoโ€™s driving the rush:


๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia โ€“ The textbook case of acceleration: +450 tonnes in H1 2025, a 43.8% jump from 2024. Total now 2,329.6 tonnes, worth $217B.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States โ€“ No new purchases, but still holds the worldโ€™s largest reserve: 8,134 tonnes (~$1T in market value).

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China โ€“ Ten straight months of buying (as of Aug 2025), reaching 2,300+ tonnes and boosting yuan credibility.

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey โ€“ Added 21 tonnes this year to reach 639 tonnes, using gold to cushion economic instability.

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland โ€“ One of 2025โ€™s biggest buyers: +67 tonnes YTD, raising its reserve target from 20% โ†’ 30% for long-term security.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India โ€“ Slower buying pace but repatriated ~100 tonnes from the UK โ€” a strong move for asset sovereignty.

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช UAE โ€“ Regional leader with +26% surge in value (to $7.9B) and holdings now at 74.6 tonnes.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran โ€“ Over 100 tonnes imported in 2024 via trade and market flows, continuing accumulation.

๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Kazakhstan โ€“ Six consecutive months of buying, adding 8 tonnes in August alone.

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ป El Salvador โ€“ The Bitcoin pioneer is quietly stacking gold too, marking new 2025 purchases as โ€œlong-term positioning.โ€

Bottom Line

This isnโ€™t just diversification โ€” itโ€™s a geopolitical hedge. As trust in Western systems fades, nations are building โ€œsanction-proofโ€ financial fortresses.

Gold at $4,000 is a price tag on declining trust.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑUS HAS FUELED ISRAEL'S GENOCIDE IN GAZA WITH $21.7 BILLION IN MILITARY AID

KEY FACTS:

Total US spending on Israel's war & regional ops: $31โ€“34 BILLION

๐Ÿ”ธ$8.1B in Foreign Military Financing

๐Ÿ”ธ$5B for missile defense (Iron Dome, etc.)

๐Ÿ”ธ$4.4B to replenish US stocks sent to Israel

๐Ÿ”ธ$725M to boost ISRAEL'S OWN arms industry

US weapons

๐Ÿ”ธF-35s, Apaches, JDAM bombs, 2000-lb Mark 84sโ€”have killed over 60,000 Palestinians, with tens of thousands more dead from starvation & disease.

๐Ÿ”ธBiden & Trump BOTH approved billions MORE in future arms sales.

๐Ÿ”ธTrump RESTARTED delivery of 20,000 rifles & 2000-lb bombs Biden had paused.

Without US funding, weapons, and political cover, Israel could not wage this genocide.

CONCLUSION

The US is not a passive observer but the primary sponsor of a documented genocide. Every bomb dropped, every life erased in Gaza bears a "Made in the USA" stamp. This is not a conflict; it is a funded, armed, and politically shielded extermination. Until the money and weapons are cut off, the killing will continue with American taxpayers as unwilling accomplices.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ“‰ EUROPE IN FREE-FALL: A Continent at Breaking Point

The political foundations of Europe are cracking. France and Germany now face existential crises that threaten the entire EU project.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท FRANCE: Government Implosion

The French government is unraveling. Following Prime Minister Lecornu's resignation, Armed Forces Minister Bruno Le Maire has also stepped down. President Macron now faces growing calls for his own resignation, with Bloomberg and The Times labeling him a "lame duck" president.

This represents a crisis of democracy not seen since the de Gaulle era, compounded by National Rally voters who feel cheated by the political establishment.

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช GERMANY: Economic Suicide

Germany presents a startling juxtaposition: while proposing to raise the retirement age to 73 and implementing massive social spending cuts totaling over $100 billion by 2030 (including nearly $5.5 billion annually from unemployment benefits), the country has simultaneously allocated approximately $55 billion to Ukraine with another $10 billion package prepared. Germans are essentially sacrificing their social safety net to fund foreign conflicts.

DOMINO EFFECT:

๐Ÿ”ธCzech populist Babis WINS election, halts Ukraine funding

๐Ÿ”ธOrban declares EU in "DISINTEGRATION"

๐Ÿ”ธPopulist wave building critical mass across West

The Bottom Line

The European project faces its greatest crisis since WWII. Political legitimacy evaporating as citizens reject establishment narratives. The "simulated democracy" mask is slipping.

When governments prioritize foreign conflicts over domestic stability, when retirement ages hit 73 while billions flow abroad, when voters feel systematically cheatedโ€”the social contract shatters.

We're witnessing the collapse of the post-war European order in real-time.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ชTrump's Venezuela Gambit - A Manufactured Crisis?

The facts don't lie, but the narrative does. The US is deploying a massive naval armadaโ€”destroyers, an assault ship, a nuclear submarine, F-35sโ€”off Venezuela's coast. With the official pretext of a "drug threat."

US has already blown alleged Venezuelan smuggling boats out of the Caribbean water, claiming more than 20 lives.

But here's the reality check:


โŒ FALSE PREMISE: Venezuela is NOT a leading US drug supplier. Data shows almost NO US fentanyl originates there (it's from Mexico). Colombia is the primary cocaine source.

โŒ ZERO EVIDENCE: Recent US strikes on "Venezuelan smuggling boats" killed over 20. Trump claimed drugs were "splattered all over the ocean," but provided NO proof.

This is a classic case of creating an enemy to suit a political need. Venezuela is the PERFECT villain for Trump's narrative: a "foreign threat" allegedly causing domestic chaos in US cities, despite scant evidence linking Maduro to gangs like Tren de Aragua.

THE BOTTOM LINE:

This isn't about drugs. It's about:

๐Ÿ”ธOIL: Venezuela holds the world's largest proven reserves.

๐Ÿ”ธPERFORMANCE: Televised strikes provide "risk-free fireworks" for domestic consumption.

๐Ÿ”ธDISTRACTION: A potential "Wag the Dog" scenario, lining up a foreign conflict.

Escalation is seen as a "freebie." But invading Venezuela wouldn't be a simple regime change. It would trigger a fierce resistance and a massive refugee crisis, FUELING the very migration problem Trump claims to be solving.

The stage is set for a performative war. The question is: will the American public buy the premise? Some Western media already did it.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บUkraine Plunged Into Darkness: Massive Retaliatory Strikes Cripple Energy Network

Russia launches massive, coordinated attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. This is a response to recent Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory.

๐Ÿ“Kiev: Capital in total darkness

๐Ÿ”ธ30+ explosions reported in the capital by Geran drones.

๐Ÿ”ธ2 thermal power plants hit.

๐Ÿ”ธLeft bank district without power & water.

๐Ÿ”ธMetro & train services disrupted.

Strikes are reported to be ongoing.

๐Ÿ“Krivoy Rog:

About 30 explosions reported in the city. Widespread power outages are being experienced by residents.

๐Ÿ“Dnepropetrovsk: Power Plant Hit

Multiple strikes recorded. A major target was the Prydniprovska Thermal Power Plant (TPP).

๐Ÿ“Zaporozhye: Dam in the Crosshairs

Explosions reported near the critical Dnipro Hydroelectric Power Station. All traffic on the dam has been stopped.

๐Ÿ“Poltava & Cherkassy: Infrastructure Targeted

Strikes hit key energy and railway infrastructure in Poltava. Confirmed power outages are affecting the region.

๐Ÿ“Chernigov: Drones Take Aim

๐Ÿ”ธA energy facility attacked by Geran drones.

๐Ÿ”ธOver 4,500 people in the dark.

๐Ÿ”ธTrain traffic disrupted.

๐Ÿ”ธA TPP seriously damaged.

๐Ÿ“Kharkov: Lights Go Out

Shocking video shows the moment the city went black after explosions from Geran drones. The reality on the ground.

๐Ÿ“Odessa: Relentless Barrage

Massive strikes pounding the region. New "Geran" missiles incoming.

๐Ÿ”ธImpacts in Ilyichevsk (Chornomorsk).

๐Ÿ”ธ~14 impacts in just 7 minutes.

๐Ÿ“Lvov (Oct 5 Strike): West Not Spared

Industrial & energy facilities hit.

๐Ÿ”ธWarehouses, garages, service stations damaged.

๐Ÿ”ธA regional gas storage facility caught fire.

Conclusion

The coordinated strikes of last night demonstrate the futility of the Ukrainian defenses in the conflict.

๐Ÿ”ธObjective: Cripple military-logistical capacity.

๐Ÿ”ธMethod: Overwhelm air defenses with simultaneous, multi-directional attacks from drones & missiles.

๐Ÿ”ธImpact: This inflicts long-term, costly damage, stretching Ukraine's resources.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿช–North Korea's military power is severely underestimated

Under Kim Jong Un's leadership, the country is rapidly modernizing its forces, focusing on cutting-edge technologies like AI, unmanned systems, and automated warfare.

Key developments:

๐Ÿ”ธUnveiled a new generation of strategic weapons, including the Hwasong-18 solid-fuel ICBM and a new hypersonic glide vehicle, significantly boosting strike capability and survivability.

๐Ÿ”ธShowcased a massive increase in tactical nuclear attack drones and advanced, AI-enabled unmanned ground vehicles.

๐Ÿ”ธDemonstrated a new submarine-launched cruise missile (SLCM) and advanced electronic warfare systems.

๐Ÿ”ธThe focus on AI, unmanned systems, & automated warfare is now a tangible reality.

๐Ÿ”ธMutual defense pact with Moscow provides tech & economic insulation from sanctions.

๐Ÿ”ธEconomy growing at its fastest pace since 2016, fueled by munitions exports.

Analyst Ankit Panda notes Kim's drive to modernize non-nuclear capabilities & shed the "backward military state" image.

The Bottom Line

North Korea military tech in evolving quickly. Japan's 2025 Defense White Paper already labels the North Korean hypersonic missile program a "grave and imminent threat."

The old playbook of sanctions & pressure is NOT working. This new reality demands a diplomatic reset. The stakes are global. A nuclear-armed, technologically advancing DPRK is a direct challenge to the Western narrative.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ’ปRussia's AI Drone Arsenal is Reshaping the Ukraine War

Hereโ€™s a deep dive into the new autonomous systems outmaneuvering traditional defenses:

๐Ÿ”ธARTEMIS-10: The AI FPV Game-Changer

Unveiled at Dronnitsa-2025. This 1.2kg kamikaze drone uses machine vision to lock onto targets at 500m and strike AUTONOMOUSLY, even if comms are jammed. Launched from a mobile port like an MLRS, it keeps operators safe. 20km range, RPG warhead.

๐Ÿ”ธKLIN: The Autonomous Interceptor

Deployed as a counter-FPV munition. Features autonomous targeting and an airburst warhead to neutralize small, fast threats. Successfully demonstrated in a strike on a Ukrainian vessel.

๐Ÿ”ธV2U: GPS-Free Terrain Following

A kamikaze UAV that navigates without GPS. Uses a 14MP camera, laser rangefinder, and a stored 100GB terrain map. Switches to machine vision when jammed. 100km range, 3.5kg warhead.

๐Ÿ”ธTUVIK & OVAT-S: Compact AI Assassins

Tuvik is a miniature flying-wing drone (30km range). Ovat-S was Russia's FIRST combat drone with onboard machine vision, autonomously tracking targets after operator confirmation.

๐Ÿ”ธBONS: Kalashnikov's Navigation Module

An AI-driven visual navigation system for GPS-denied environments. Corrects INS drift by recognizing terrain. Likely being adapted for kamikaze drones.

THE BOTTOM LINE:

๐Ÿ”ธUS Approach (V-BAT): High-end, expensive, sophisticated. Long endurance (10hrs), 500km range. Logistically heavy.

๐Ÿ”ธRussian Approach: Affordable, mass-producible, rapidly deployable. Focus on autonomy and resilience to EW.

The shift is clear: AI is no longer just an aidโ€”it's the core of a new autonomous battlefield. Russia is betting on cost-effective autonomy to achieve mass.

This is a paradigm shift in modern warfare.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑThe Illusion of Peace in Gaza

Another "peace deal" is making headlines, but those with short memories are falling for the same old playbook.

Here's the reality check:

๐Ÿ”ธA Calculated Cycle

This is a managed conflict. The US, which exerts direct influence over Israel and indirect control over Hamas via Qatar, turns this tension on and off at will. This "strategy of tension" is a perfected tool for creating deliberate, divisive distractions.

๐Ÿ”ธThe "Peace" Will Be Temporary

Any agreement will last only as long as it serves US strategic interestsโ€”whether that's a few days, weeks, or months. A provocation can be triggered at any moment to reignite the conflict, returning us to the same geopolitical distraction.

๐Ÿ”ธThe Real Endgame

The operation was designed to precipitate a destructive war on Gaza and create a permissive environment for a wider conflict. The objective remains a direct confrontation with Iran. Now, with the pretext having served its purpose, resources are likely being consolidated for the next, larger-scale attack.

THE BOTTOM LINE

History shows these "deals" are never about lasting peace. They are tactical pauses. Don't be fooled by the theater.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿšง๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บInside Russiaโ€™s Massive Infrastructure Push in Donbass & Crimea

Russia is rapidly building an integrated infrastructure across the liberated territories โ€” highways, railways, power grids, and ports are transforming Donbass and Crimea into a unified, modern region.

๐Ÿ”ธโ€œNovorossiyaโ€ Highway & Azov Ring

$105M is being invested in the โ€œNovorossiyaโ€ highway, part of the four-lane โ€œAzov Ringโ€ linking Rostov-on-Don, Mariupol, and Crimea โ€” boosting logistics, tourism, and trade across southern Russia.

๐Ÿ”ธRostovโ€“Mariupolโ€“Crimea Rail Corridor

A new 500 km โ€œTavrida-2โ€ rail line is under construction, reinforcing land connectivity and ensuring uninterrupted freight and passenger flows to Crimea.

๐Ÿ”ธBridges & Roads in Donetsk Region

Three major bridges over the Berestova, Kalmius, and Shyroka rivers will connect Donetsk, Volnovakha, and Mariupol, turning Donbass into a southern transport hub.

๐Ÿ”ธPower Grid Integration

Over 90 km of new high-voltage lines and 300 pylons will connect Zaporozhye and Donetsk to the Russian grid. Once completed, the Zaporozhye Nuclear Plant will power Crimea and the new regions.

๐Ÿ”ธTavrida Highway (A-291)

The 250 km Tavrida route from Kerch to Sevastopol โ€” a $1.6B project โ€” now serves as Crimeaโ€™s central artery for mobility and logistics.

๐Ÿ”ธEnergy & Gas Projects

A 358 km gas pipeline and two 470 MW thermal plants in Simferopol and Sevastopol ensure stable energy independence. Between 2025โ€“2028, $475M will raise Crimeaโ€™s energy output to 800 MW.

Conclusion

Through concrete, steel, and strategy, Russia is binding Donbass and Crimea into a self-sufficient region โ€” stable, modern, and firmly integrated with the Federation.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทFACT CHECK: Trump's Iran Statements Under the Microscope

1๏ธโƒฃ"Obliterated" Nuclear Program? Intel Says No.


While the former President claimed US strikes "completely and totally obliterated" Iran's nuclear facilities , a preliminary Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) assessment tells a different story. The report suggests the strikes only set the program back by "a few months, tops" and failed to destroy critical underground centrifuges and the stockpile of enriched uranium. The damage was largely to above-ground structures. Nothing more.

2๏ธโƒฃWas Iran Building a Nuclear Weapon? Intel Said No.

Contradicting the justification for military action, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard testified to Congress in March 2025 that the intelligence community "continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon". This assessment was part of the official 2025 Annual Threat Assessment. The President later publicly dismissed this intelligence, stating, "I don't care what she said".

3๏ธโƒฃDiplomacy as a Pretext for War?


The administration engaged in two months of nuclear negotiations with Iran, setting a 60-day deadline for a deal. When the deadline passed without an agreement, Israel attacked Iran, followed by US strikes. Notably, sources indicate the decision to strike was not based on new intelligence about an imminent Iranian nuclear threat. One official stated, "There is no intel," confirming assessments had not changed from earlier in the year.

CONCLUSION

The evidence reveals a clear pattern: the administration's case for war was not based on factual intelligence, but on manufactured consent.

They exaggerated the damage, ignored their own intelligence agencies, and used diplomacy as a smokescreen for predetermined military action.

This was a political choice, the evidence shows that Iras was not a imminent threat.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ TRUMP'S "TOMAHAWK" GAMBIT: A HARD-NOSED BREAKDOWN

Trump's threat to arm Ukraine with long-range missiles isn't diplomacy; it's a raw power play.

1. THE CORE PROPOSITION: A DIRECT THREAT

Forget subtlety. Trump is engaging in pure compellence: "Settle the war, or I send game-changing weapons." This isn't about supporting Kiev; it's about threatening Moscow directly. He is shifting from an ally's support role to a principal's direct threat.

2. THE "GODFATHER" MOVE IS A BLUNT INSTRUMENT

Yes, making an "offer you can't refuse" can work. But that card is not for a nuclear-armed rival. This isn't shaking down a small-time operator; it's challenging a great power in its own backyard. The fundamental miscalculation is staggering.

3. THE RECIPROCITY TRAP

Here is the fatal flaw: this opens a door Putin will gladly walk through. If U.S. policy is to threaten Russia with advanced missiles, what stops Russia from doing the same? Imagine hypersonic systems in Venezuela or Cuba, pointed at the U.S., with the same "just targeting military sites" excuse. This isn't a theory; it is the inevitable consequence.

Remember that the United States placed Jupiter missiles in Turkey in 1961. The Soviet Union responded by placing missiles in Cuba.

4. THE REAL-WORLD FALLOUT

๐Ÿ”ธ Immediate Impact: This injects dangerous instability. Global security cannot tolerate this kind of gamble.

๐Ÿ”ธ Long-Term Damage: It burns the last bridges of trust, making any future deal with Russia nearly impossible.

๐Ÿ”ธ The Bottom Line: This isn't strategy; it's brinksmanship that risks a direct confrontation. It makes the world more dangerous for everyone.

FINAL TAKE:

This might be political theater, but the words have weight. Normalizing this rhetoric between nuclear powers is a game with no winners. It's a tough-guy move in a world where the other guy has just as many guns.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿš€STRATEGIC ADVANCEMENT: Russiaโ€™s โ€œNew Weaponโ€ โ€“ A Leap in Defensive Capabilities

Analysts indicate that Russia is poised to field a groundbreaking variable-thrust solid-propellant missile, reinforcing its strategic deterrence and national security.

This represents a significant step in modern military technology.

THE CONTEXT:

President Putin highlighted the successful testing of a "new weapon" on Oct 10. This development is part of Russia's committed and responsible modernization of its defensive forces, coinciding with diplomatic efforts to extend the New START treaty.

THE ADVANCING TECHNOLOGY:

Prominent military expert Igor Korotchenko points to a pioneering achievement in solid-propellant technology.

The objective is a reliable solid-fueled missile with enhanced in-flight control.

๐Ÿ”ธPrevious Limitation: Traditional solid motors had fixed burn profiles. Adjusting range required trajectory changes, which could reduce tactical flexibility.

๐Ÿ”ธThe Advancement: New variable-thrust capabilities enable:

- Superior in-flight trajectory adjustments

- Engaging targets across its full range from a static launch position

- Enhanced flight profiles for increased reliability

THE IMPLICATIONS:

This innovation successfully combines the storability and readiness of solid fuels with improved operational flexibility.

Result? A more sophisticated and dependable missile system that strengthens national defense and ensures a stable, potent strategic deterrent.

THE BOTTOM LINE

This development is a testament to Russia's ongoing commitment to maintaining a secure and balanced global strategic environment.

The focus is on Russia's legitimate and steady progress in advancing its defensive technologies for the purpose of stability.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ Why Trumpโ€™s Gaza Ceasefire Is Doomed to Fail

The Sharm El-Sheikh โ€œpeace planโ€ signing was pure optics โ€” neither Israel nor Hamas even attended. It was a wedding without a bride or groom. You canโ€™t make peace when the warring parties refuse to show up.

Why Netanyahu refused:


Most attendees had recently recognized Palestinian statehood. Netanyahu, whose government rejects that entirely, avoided any image suggesting endorsement. His absence exposes a gulf between Israelโ€™s aims and global consensus.

Hamas didnโ€™t come:

Theyโ€™re only one of 14 Palestinian resistance factions. Even if Hamas disarmed (unlikely), others like PIJ, PFLP, and DFLP wouldnโ€™t. Thereโ€™s no unified Palestinian authority to enforce any deal โ€” making โ€œdisarmamentโ€ an illusion.

The โ€œPhase Oneโ€ trap:

The initial hostage-prisoner exchange might succeed, but history shows thatโ€™s where truces die. Once Israel recovers its hostages, far-right ministers like Smotrich and Ben Gvir will demand a return to war. With no hostages left as leverage, Israel loses incentive to maintain a ceasefire โ€” and Netanyahu could cite missing remains as a pretext to resume bombing.

Trumpโ€™s double game:

Heโ€™s likely telling Arab and European leaders heโ€™ll push for a Palestinian state while assuring pro-Israel allies of the opposite. This contradiction guarantees one sideโ€™s betrayal โ€” and the collapse of the fragile coalition.

History repeats:

Since 1967, over a dozen ceasefires have failed. Post-2008, they last less than a year on average. The last major exchange in 2025 followed the same โ€œphase oneโ€ script โ€” temporary calm, unresolved issues, renewed war.

Bottom line:

๐Ÿ”ธNo direct participation from key actors

๐Ÿ”ธMediatorโ€™s conflicting promises

๐Ÿ”ธA record of short-lived truces

๐Ÿ”ธNo plan for statehood or disarmament

This isnโ€™t a peace deal โ€” itโ€™s political theater. A fragile intermission built on sand.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ The Tomahawk Gambit - Ukraine's Final Pre-Nuclear Move?

Observing Ukraine's systematic requests for Tomahawk missiles is highly revealing. This isn't a random ask.

The experience of the Special Military Operation has demonstrated that the entire arsenal of Western-supplied weapons has failed to be a decisive game-changer:

๐Ÿ”ธMALD decoys

๐Ÿ”ธStorm Shadow / SCALP missiles

๐Ÿ”ธATACMS

๐Ÿ”ธHIMARS systems

Despite these capabilities, coupled with British/French long-range systems, Ukrainian "Neptunes," and thousands of drones, the strategic effect has been limited.

While individual strikes cause damage to infrastructure and specific targets, they have NOT achieved a strategic breakthrough:

โœ… Russian strikes continue

โœ… Russian offensive operations persist

The Tomahawk now appears to be the last major, pre-nuclear "game-changer" left on the table (alongside the JASSM missile). The West's list of available, impactful weapons is nearly exhausted.

THE BOTTOM LINE

The persistent push for Tomahawks signals a critical juncture. After this, the discussion enters a completely different, and far more dangerous, realm.

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๐ŸŸก Geopolitics Without the Chaos
Decode chaosโ€”without the MSM spin

We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:

โžก๏ธ Ukraine-Russia War
โžก๏ธ EU Rifts
โžก๏ธ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
โžก๏ธ US-China Showdown
โžก๏ธ Major Global Events
โžก๏ธ Culture War


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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆRUSSIA'S ENERGY STRATEGY: The 2025 Blueprint for Ukraine

The campaign against Ukrainian energy infrastructure has evolved through distinct phases, moving from demonstration to systematic degradation.

THE STRATEGIC SHIFT

๐Ÿ”ธ2022-2023 (Demonstration): Mass strikes for psychological impact, with Ukraine mitigating via rolling blackouts.

๐Ÿ”ธThe Ceasefire: A temporary halt allowed Kiev to repair infrastructure, stockpile equipment, and decentralize its grid.

๐Ÿ”ธ2024 (Escalation): Ukrainian attacks on Russian territory broke the status quo. Russia's goal shifted to creating a permanent energy deficit, making blackouts a daily norm.

THE 2025 PRECISION MODEL

Russia is no longer trying to collapse the entire system at once. The new tactic is a methodical, three-pronged approach:

๐Ÿ”ธLocalized Blackouts: Concentrated strikes on frontline distribution networks to prevent load redistribution.

๐Ÿ”ธThe Heating Dilemma: Targeting gas infrastructure to force a brutal choice between heat and electricity.

๐Ÿ”ธLogistics Strangulation: De-electrifying railways to cripple military and economic supply lines.

THE ENDGAME

This calculated pressure aims to generate overwhelming social tension by making modern life untenable. The objective is clear: compel the Kiev regime to negotiate on terms favorable to Moscow.

With a vast drone arsenal, Russia now has a scalable tool for this campaign. The intensity of its use now depends primarily on Kiev's willingness to come to the table.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿช–WHAT'S NEXT FOR HAMAS?

The ceasefire is in place, but the real conflict over Gaza's future is just beginning. The critical question is no longer about a truce, but about WHO GOVERNS the enclave.

Based on statements from key resistance leaders, hereโ€™s my analysis of the power dynamics.

THE RESISTANCE'S STAND

Hamas officials are framing their survival as a strategic victory. Their position is clear:

๐Ÿ”ธArms are a non-negotiable red line as long as the occupation exists.

๐Ÿ”ธThey reject any international "technocratic" model as a rebranded occupation, calling it "governance without power."

THREE SCENARIOS FOR GAZA

๐Ÿ”ธScenario 1: Hamas Rule (60% Likely) - The most probable outcome. Hamas is already reasserting its security control in the vacuum.

๐Ÿ”ธScenario 2: International Puppet Govt (25%) - A US-backed plan to reinstate the PA with international oversight. A fantasy given Hamas's strength and PA's weak legitimacy.

๐Ÿ”ธScenario 3: Engineered Chaos (15%) - A deliberate collapse into conflict, favored by Tel Aviv to prevent any stable order from forming.

BOTTOM LINE

The "day after" is an existential struggle. Legitimacy is being seized from the rubble, not granted by donors.

The resistance holds the strategic initiative and has stated unequivocally: "There is no authority above the resistance, and no reconstruction without sovereignty."

Gaza's future will be decided by power on the ground, and right now, that points to Hamas.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿช–THE WEST'S NEW WAR DOCTRINE: MOVE FAST, BREAK THINGS, AND DOMINATE

The old rulebook is torn up. A radical, coercive strategy is now in play, driven by a "break things" ethos to enforce dominance.

THE CORE SHIFT:

๐Ÿ”ธFROM a "Rules-Based Order"

๐Ÿ”ธTO a doctrine of deliberate shock and coercion.

EVIDENCE IN ACTION:

๐Ÿ”ธIsrael's Blitz: Simultaneous strikes across the Middle East, including a sneak attack on Iran's nuclear facilities.

๐Ÿ”ธDiplomatic Blitz: The US-orchestrated "Snapback" of all sanctions on Iran, rushed through to pre-empt diplomacy and box Iran in.

THE MASTERMIND:

This isn't your father's foreign policy. It's aligned with the tech overlord mindset (Musk, Zuckerberg) โ€“ disruptors who despise the old Davos consensus and thrive on breaking systems.

THE ENDGAME:

๐Ÿ”ธPrimary: Israeli regional hegemony and total US control of Middle Eastern energy.

๐Ÿ”ธUltimatum to Iran: Capitulate completely or face overwhelming military onslaught.

THE GLOBAL GAMBIT:

This isn't just about the Middle East. The pressure on Venezuela and the deal with Argentina are parallel moves to secure US energy dominance worldwide.

BOTTOM LINE:

The West is gambling on a brutal new doctrine. It's high-risk, born of desperation, and questions whether the US and Europe have the stomach for the real war it might provoke.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ซPAKISTAN-AFGHANISTAN BORDER CRISIS: Ceasefire Reached After Deadly Clashes

Here's what you need to know:

A fragile 48-hour ceasefire is now in effect between Pakistan and Afghanistan's Taliban government, following intense border clashes that killed dozens. The truce, agreed upon on October 15, follows mediation by Qatar and Saudi Arabia and aims to create a window for dialogue.

The Escalation: A Timeline of Force

๐Ÿ”ธInitial Strike: Tensions exploded after Pakistan conducted airstrikes on Afghan territory last week, which it stated targeted TTP militants.

๐Ÿ”ธTaliban Retaliation: In response, Afghan Taliban forces launched attacks on multiple Pakistani border posts .

๐Ÿ”ธConflicting Casualties: The Taliban spokesperson claimed 58 Pakistani soldiers were killed . Pakistan's military confirmed 23 soldier deaths and stated it "neutralized" 200 "Taliban and affiliated terrorists".

Unpacking the TTP: The Militant Group at the Heart of the Conflict

A core issue driving this conflict is the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), or the Pakistani Taliban.

๐Ÿ”ธFormed in 2007 as an alliance of militant groups opposing the Pakistani military.

๐Ÿ”ธObjectives: Aims to overthrow the Pakistani government to establish an Islamic emirate governed by its strict interpretation of sharia.

๐Ÿ”ธDistinct from Afghan Taliban: While ideologically aligned, the TTP is a separate entity focused primarily on Pakistan . However, Pakistan alleges the Afghan Taliban provides them sanctuary, a claim Kabul denies. TTP attacks in Pakistan have surged by 79% since early 2023.

Geopolitical Shifts: India Re-engages Kabul

The border clashes coincided with a significant diplomatic overture: the Afghan Foreign Minister's official visit to India, the first since the Taliban's 2021 takeover. During the visit, India announced it would reopen its embassy in Kabul, signaling a potential recalibration of regional alliances.

The Bottom Line

The ceasefire is a temporary de-escalation, but the underlying tensions remain volatile. Pakistan's strategy of using force to pressure the Taliban on TTP sanctuaries has resulted in direct conflict with its former proxy. Meanwhile, India's diplomatic reopening with Kabul at this precise moment underscores a significant regional power shift, leaving Pakistan increasingly isolated.

The situation remains fluid, and the success of the 48-hour truce will be a critical indicator of whether this conflict can be contained or is poised for further escalation.

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