Kadyrov truly is a great SMM manager and one of the few effective public speakers in Russia, but his Instagram Warriors Squad in Ukraine is hilarious.

These guys are dysfunctional, they cannot fight effectively which rises a bunch of questions about the future of Chechen regime if something goes wrong with Putin.

We are just trying to be rational, my friend. There is no need to say that the shift has started.

What is the "Truth" of Russia? What is its culture and vision? No sarcasm whatsoever, could you explain it at least to yourself?

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Telegram has also become a dangerous place after Russia banned all independent media and public speech. If you need to speak your mind anonymously, feel free to contact us. The e-mail is pinned.

It’s clear that Putin’s war in Ukraine will last for some time, so will the sanctions.

We find some of these sanctions ridiculous and indiscriminate. They are often imposed only on the people, not Putin or his cronies.

They will make anti-Western sentiment stronger even among Russians who absolutely oppose the war.

We guess it is just an emotional moment. There is no need to totally alienate Russia and Russians, thus proving Kremlin’s propaganda right.

Apple doesn’t want Russians to see its presentation... We guess this has already made Putin change his mind.

“Russian President Vladimir Putin has not demonstrated any willingness to de-escalate with Ukraine or the international community, nor has he provided reasonable demands that would lay the groundwork for de-escalation or negotiations”.

Institute for the Study of War still publicly refers to Putin as a rational actor, although they know he is mentally unstable for some time.

Kremlin’s conditions to stop its offensive against Ukraine have been a mess from the very start.

Denazification, demilitarization, then something about nuclear weapons in Ukraine (US would’ve bombed the hell out of Ukraine before Russians if it was the case), then neutral status (NATO wasn’t going to accept Ukraine anyway, it doesn’t even accept Kosovo) etc.

What did Putin think, what does he want now, what will he want tomorrow? We assume he doesn’t know. Terms are changing every day.

A sheer weakness which is smelled by everyone.

Poklonskaya speaks out against madness. An extremism under Russian law.

Bloomberg: China is considering buying or increasing stakes in Russian energy and commodities companies, such as gas giant Gazprom PJSC and aluminum producer Rusal International PJSC, according to people familiar with the matter.

China is trying to use its leverage over Russia right away.

The dependance of Europe on Russian gas. No need to overestimate it, we think. This war could be the real start of an energy transition.

Case of Poklonskaya (I)

In the middle of January, 2022 Natalia Poklonskaya, international symbol of Russia’s Crimean takeover and an anime icon, suddenly canceled her plans for taking the office of Russia’s ambassador to Cape Verde.

A month later Vladimir Putin started a full-scale offensive against Ukraine. Now he is going to proceed with catastrophic decisions and try to put Viktor Yanukovich back in position.

According to our sources, part of Russian elites is getting increasingly frustrated with Putin’s decisions.

There is an understanding among top-siloviks that Yanukovich along with Putin's Ukranian narrative are a lost cause.

Case of Poklonskaya (II)

Poklonskaya suddenly went public today with peaceful message without nazis and hate speech contrary to official Russian propaganda.

We are seeing a public opposition to Putin’s narrative on Ukraine, or at least an alternative.

The same people that took Poklonskaya back from Cape Verde in January are supporting her effort today.

We’ll see how it all works out among Kremlin towers, whose disagreement is already public. Poklonskaya and her narrative make sense, totally.

CIA Director William Burns: Putin’s assumptions on Ukraine turned out to be profoundly flawed. He is not in position to sustain a stable puppet regime in Kyiv.

According to CIA, Putin "has no sustainable political end game” in Ukraine.

Russian state propaganda is confused about Natalia Poklonskaya. That's exactly what we were talking about. Let's see what happens next.

According to CIA Director William Burns who spoke yesterday in front of House Select Intelligence Committee, Putin premised his war on four false assumptions:

• he thought Ukraine was weak;
• he believed Europe was distracted and wouldn't mount a strong response;
• he thought Russia's economy was prepared to withstand sanctions;
• he believed Russia's military had been modernized and would fight effectively.

Everything turned out to be wrong. What’s more disturbing, Burns said that now Putin will double down on Ukraine because this case is a matter of “personal conviction” for him.

Burns knows Putin personally.

Bank of Russia’s Head Elvira Nabiullina wants out and rightfully so.

Contrary to Russian folk conspiracy, Nabiullina is a great professional. Her actions in 2014 after Crimea were questionable, but other than that she has been very good.

Everything she and many others in Russian public administration and business were working on for decades has been destroyed in one day – for nothing.

Putin is impossible to work with since that bunker stuff started.

For those who think that the current crisis will reshape Russia for better - guys, come on. The disaster is only getting started.

The fact that gasoline is getting more expensive in the US and Europe will bring you joy for a couple of days. Then what?

So, Kyiv government is not a band of junkies and neo-Nazis anymore? Or Moscow's morale is getting so low that it is ready to communicate with drug-addicts?

We're reminding you, that a week ago Putin addressed Ukrainian Army and asked its officers to take out Zelensky and hold direct talks with Kremlin. Now it's not the option, ok.

Looks like Russia has to stop the war immediately, every other day will make the future terms worse for the country and its people.

Russia has banned foreign currency sales for six months. No more cash in dollars and euros available for Russians, cannot buy it.

Internal sanctions are usually more sever than external, this is the case. Nabiullina is assessing the situation as a disaster.

This is either a panic move or desperation. It didn’t take long. Now there is a black market of dollars and euros in Russia which will be controlled by siloviks.

Meanwhile there are reports about Russian elites taking foreign currency out of the country through airport green zones.

Billionaire Alisher Usmanov's successful negotiations with the U.S. Treasury could possibly open the way for other Putin's oligarchs to come to terms with the U.S. government as well.

Usmanov was excluded from the sanctions list by a special license.

According to Bellingcat's Christo Groziev, several Russian bilionaires are already playing for the other team.