In 2004 Russia-backed Viktor Yanukovich won the presidential election in Ukraine. Vladimir Putin congratulated him on the victory which was later overturned by the “Orange Revolution”.

Putin got personally offended and held this grudge against Ukraine for six years.

Two officials in American agencies told us that various Russian agencies tried to convince Putin to choose someone other than Yanukovich in 2010.

But Putin was offended like a child and wanted to show the whole world that the guy he once congratulated will still be the President of Ukraine.

Yanukovich got elected. Four years later he ran away.

If Putin was a president, not a mentally unstable and sensitive “gopnik”, today’s tragedy could be avoided in 2010.

It is clear now that Putin’s initial plan in Ukraine totally failed.

The timing was awful, he overestimated his army, underestimated Ukranians and now has two choices: to kill tens of thousands in ground attacks or bomb the hell out of Ukraine.

We know and see what was our rational goal in this war. America is capitalizing on Putin’s mistake.

What was the initial goal of Russia? What is the plan now when Kremlin is trapped in Ukraine, and the fall of Kyiv won't change anything?

We would be thankful for you insights if it's safe for you Неудаща Новая Искренность Ебулдинский спец Новый Век Русский ноу нейм

Here we go again. Putin wants Yanukovich back again. Future guerilla war is underway.

Sometimes silence is the most meaningful answer. Thanks a lot for a feedback, stay safe, guys!

https://xn--r1a.website/olen_nn/4273

Putin (who is a full-scale dictator after February, 24) has one huge advantage in his game against the West: he can afford not to care about the well-being of Russians. Even if they starve to death.

Western leaders have to do it, even if they do not care, too. Europeans won't tolerate poverty for some mystical or geopolitical reasons like Russians do for almost 1000 years.

Kadyrov truly is a great SMM manager and one of the few effective public speakers in Russia, but his Instagram Warriors Squad in Ukraine is hilarious.

These guys are dysfunctional, they cannot fight effectively which rises a bunch of questions about the future of Chechen regime if something goes wrong with Putin.

We are just trying to be rational, my friend. There is no need to say that the shift has started.

What is the "Truth" of Russia? What is its culture and vision? No sarcasm whatsoever, could you explain it at least to yourself?

https://xn--r1a.website/llh_778/6527

Telegram has also become a dangerous place after Russia banned all independent media and public speech. If you need to speak your mind anonymously, feel free to contact us. The e-mail is pinned.

It’s clear that Putin’s war in Ukraine will last for some time, so will the sanctions.

We find some of these sanctions ridiculous and indiscriminate. They are often imposed only on the people, not Putin or his cronies.

They will make anti-Western sentiment stronger even among Russians who absolutely oppose the war.

We guess it is just an emotional moment. There is no need to totally alienate Russia and Russians, thus proving Kremlin’s propaganda right.

Apple doesn’t want Russians to see its presentation... We guess this has already made Putin change his mind.

“Russian President Vladimir Putin has not demonstrated any willingness to de-escalate with Ukraine or the international community, nor has he provided reasonable demands that would lay the groundwork for de-escalation or negotiations”.

Institute for the Study of War still publicly refers to Putin as a rational actor, although they know he is mentally unstable for some time.

Kremlin’s conditions to stop its offensive against Ukraine have been a mess from the very start.

Denazification, demilitarization, then something about nuclear weapons in Ukraine (US would’ve bombed the hell out of Ukraine before Russians if it was the case), then neutral status (NATO wasn’t going to accept Ukraine anyway, it doesn’t even accept Kosovo) etc.

What did Putin think, what does he want now, what will he want tomorrow? We assume he doesn’t know. Terms are changing every day.

A sheer weakness which is smelled by everyone.

Poklonskaya speaks out against madness. An extremism under Russian law.

Bloomberg: China is considering buying or increasing stakes in Russian energy and commodities companies, such as gas giant Gazprom PJSC and aluminum producer Rusal International PJSC, according to people familiar with the matter.

China is trying to use its leverage over Russia right away.

The dependance of Europe on Russian gas. No need to overestimate it, we think. This war could be the real start of an energy transition.

Case of Poklonskaya (I)

In the middle of January, 2022 Natalia Poklonskaya, international symbol of Russia’s Crimean takeover and an anime icon, suddenly canceled her plans for taking the office of Russia’s ambassador to Cape Verde.

A month later Vladimir Putin started a full-scale offensive against Ukraine. Now he is going to proceed with catastrophic decisions and try to put Viktor Yanukovich back in position.

According to our sources, part of Russian elites is getting increasingly frustrated with Putin’s decisions.

There is an understanding among top-siloviks that Yanukovich along with Putin's Ukranian narrative are a lost cause.

Case of Poklonskaya (II)

Poklonskaya suddenly went public today with peaceful message without nazis and hate speech contrary to official Russian propaganda.

We are seeing a public opposition to Putin’s narrative on Ukraine, or at least an alternative.

The same people that took Poklonskaya back from Cape Verde in January are supporting her effort today.

We’ll see how it all works out among Kremlin towers, whose disagreement is already public. Poklonskaya and her narrative make sense, totally.

CIA Director William Burns: Putin’s assumptions on Ukraine turned out to be profoundly flawed. He is not in position to sustain a stable puppet regime in Kyiv.

According to CIA, Putin "has no sustainable political end game” in Ukraine.

Russian state propaganda is confused about Natalia Poklonskaya. That's exactly what we were talking about. Let's see what happens next.

According to CIA Director William Burns who spoke yesterday in front of House Select Intelligence Committee, Putin premised his war on four false assumptions:

• he thought Ukraine was weak;
• he believed Europe was distracted and wouldn't mount a strong response;
• he thought Russia's economy was prepared to withstand sanctions;
• he believed Russia's military had been modernized and would fight effectively.

Everything turned out to be wrong. What’s more disturbing, Burns said that now Putin will double down on Ukraine because this case is a matter of “personal conviction” for him.

Burns knows Putin personally.