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Today at 3:00 PM ET the Fed will announce its rate decision. AA 0.25% cut is expected most likely β futures put the probability at 90%. This would be the first rate cut since December 2024.
The market has already βpriced inβ this move: the S&P 500 is up 6% in recent weeks, and 10-year Treasury yields have dropped almost 40 bps.
Thatβs why a simple cut is unlikely to spark another rally β all eyes will be on Powellβs comments.
Powellβs press conference will decide the marketβs reaction:
+ Postive: If he hints at a series of cuts this year, markets could hold near or break new highs.
- Negative: If he stresses caution and the need to watch other economic data, profit-taking and a pullback after the βexpectations rallyβ are likely.
@just
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How do you expect the crypto market to react to the rate decision?
Anonymous Poll
59%
Keep rallying
41%
Go into a correction
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The initiative currently represents 38 member companies holding 69% of all corporate Bitcoin holdings, and will continue providing networking, educational resources, and support for companies integrating Bitcoin into their treasuries.
@just
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The βBitcoin mining industry is going to be dead in two yearsβ he tells, explaining the economics of profit and loss will no longer stack up from a business perspective. Even Michael Saylor reportedly agrees that Bitcoin mining is a βterribleβ business.
@just
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