Hyperliquid positioning tells a clear story:
Traders are net short ~240 BTC. Entry heatmaps show shorts added from higher levels, plus fresh shorts opening around $75k and current prices. Meanwhile, long interest remains notably thin.
πhttp://glassno.de/4avfCWF
Traders are net short ~240 BTC. Entry heatmaps show shorts added from higher levels, plus fresh shorts opening around $75k and current prices. Meanwhile, long interest remains notably thin.
πhttp://glassno.de/4avfCWF
π8
The Week On-Chain 5, 2026
The #BTC bear market rages on as profitability resets, realised losses rise, spot demand stays weak, and leverage unwinds. Options keep pricing elevated downside risk.
Executive Summary
- BTC has confirmed a decisive breakdown, with price slipping below key structural support levels and keeping market participants firmly on the defensive.
- On-chain profitability has sharply deteriorated, with MVRV Z-Score compressing to its lowest level since Oct 2022, signalling a major reset in unrealised gains.
- Realised losses are accelerating, with sustained sell pressure suggesting many holders are being forced to exit at a loss as downside momentum persists.
- Spot volume remains structurally weak, reinforcing a demand vacuum where sell-side flows are not being met with meaningful absorption.
- Futures markets have entered a forced deleveraging phase, with the largest long liquidation spikes of the drawdown amplifying volatility and downside continuation.
- Demand from major allocators has softened materially, as ETF and treasury-linked netflows fade and fail to provide the consistent bid seen during prior expansion phases.
Options markets continue to price elevated downside risk, with volatility staying bid and skew steepening as traders pay up for protection.
- With leverage being flushed but spot demand still absent, the market remains vulnerable, and any relief rallies are likely to be corrective rather than trend-reversing.
Read more in The Week On-Chain
The #BTC bear market rages on as profitability resets, realised losses rise, spot demand stays weak, and leverage unwinds. Options keep pricing elevated downside risk.
Executive Summary
- BTC has confirmed a decisive breakdown, with price slipping below key structural support levels and keeping market participants firmly on the defensive.
- On-chain profitability has sharply deteriorated, with MVRV Z-Score compressing to its lowest level since Oct 2022, signalling a major reset in unrealised gains.
- Realised losses are accelerating, with sustained sell pressure suggesting many holders are being forced to exit at a loss as downside momentum persists.
- Spot volume remains structurally weak, reinforcing a demand vacuum where sell-side flows are not being met with meaningful absorption.
- Futures markets have entered a forced deleveraging phase, with the largest long liquidation spikes of the drawdown amplifying volatility and downside continuation.
- Demand from major allocators has softened materially, as ETF and treasury-linked netflows fade and fail to provide the consistent bid seen during prior expansion phases.
Options markets continue to price elevated downside risk, with volatility staying bid and skew steepening as traders pay up for protection.
- With leverage being flushed but spot demand still absent, the market remains vulnerable, and any relief rallies are likely to be corrective rather than trend-reversing.
Read more in The Week On-Chain
π15β€7β3π₯2
The #BTC capitulation metric has printed its second-largest spike in two years, highlighting a sharp escalation in forced selling.
These stress events typically coincide with accelerated de-risking and elevated volatility as market participants reset positioning.
https://glassno.de/3LSM2kJ
These stress events typically coincide with accelerated de-risking and elevated volatility as market participants reset positioning.
https://glassno.de/3LSM2kJ
π16π€5π€3π€―2β1
On Feb 04, Bitcoinβs Entity-Adjusted Realized Loss (7D-SMA) hit $889M per day, the highest daily loss realization since November 2022.
πhttp://glassno.de/3Mq0ock
πhttp://glassno.de/3Mq0ock
π13β€6π€2β1
#Bitcoin's Yardstick has fallen to its lowest level on record, pushing valuation into an unprecedented zone. Conditions like this have rarely persisted, often marking periods where downside exhaustion meets long-term opportunity.
πhttps://glassno.de/45NLi75
πhttps://glassno.de/45NLi75
π6π2