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Key Forex News and Events for January 10, 2025

US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Report

Time: 13:30 GMT

Impact: High

Details: The US labor market data for December is expected to show a decline in job additions to 160K, down from 227K in November. Wage growth is forecasted to remain flat. A stronger-than-expected report could strengthen the US dollar (USD) as it may delay potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, while weaker data could weaken the USD
News Update
33 min
USD Unemployment Rate (Dec) Jan 10, 14:30
USD Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Dec)
News Update
5 min
Trading Signal for EUR/USD (2025-01-10)
Current Market Context

EUR/USD Price: Trading around 1.03280, maintaining a bearish bias due to strong US economic data and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance 23.

Key Drivers:

US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP): Expected to decline from 227K to 164K. A stronger-than-expected figure could further strengthen the USD, pushing EUR/USD lower 14.

US Unemployment Rate: Forecasted to remain at 4.2%. Any deviation could increase volatility 1.

ECB Rate Cuts: The European Central Bank is expected to continue cutting rates, widening the interest rate differential with the US, which adds downward pressure on the Euro 98.

Technical Analysis

Bearish Momentum: The 20 EMA on the daily chart is acting as resistance, and the price remains within a descending channel. Key support levels are at 1.03150, 1.02835, and 1.02565 23.

Oversold Conditions: The RSI is near 30, indicating potential for a short-term rebound, but bearish sentiment remains dominant 10.

Critical Levels:

Resistance: 1.03555, 1.03800, 1.04180 (bullish breakout above these levels could signal a reversal) 23.

Support: 1.03150, 1.02835, 1.02565 (break below these levels could extend the downtrend) 23.

Trading Strategy

Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation

Entry: Sell below 1.03150 (after confirmation of a breakdown).

Target: 1.02565 (next key support level).

Stop Loss: 1.03555 (above immediate resistance).

Risk/Reward: 1:2.

Scenario 2: Bullish Rebound

Entry: Buy above 1.03555 (after a daily close above this level).

Target: 1.04180 (next resistance level).

Stop Loss: 1.03150 (below key support).

Risk/Reward: 1:1.5.

Risk Management

Volatility Warning: The release of US NFP data today could cause significant price swings. Monitor the market closely and adjust positions accordingly 14.

Position Sizing: Limit risk to 1-2% of your trading capital per trade.

Use Stop Losses: Always set stop-loss orders to protect against unexpected market moves.
Bearish Trade:

Entry: Sell below 1.03150.

Target: 1.02565.

Stop Loss: 1.03555.
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