CPI DATA ANALYSIS
Release date tomorrow 11/9/2024 @ 12:30 GMT

Markets await the CPI report, the first hard data on inflation before the Fed's decision. Fed Chair Powell focuses on the labor market, but low inflation gives the Fed flexibility.

CORE CPI Data Impact on Interest Rates

Scenario 1: 0.3% CORE CPI increase
- DXY (US Dollar Index) likely to rise
- Low probability of a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate cut
- 25 bps interest rate cut likely in September
- Low probability of an interest rate cut in November

Scenario 2: 0.2% CORE CPI increase
- DXY likely to remain neutral
- Equal probability of 25 bps and 50 bps interest rate cuts in September FOMC meeting

Scenario 3: 0.1% CORE CPI increase
- DXY likely to fall
- High probability of a 50 bps interest rate cut in September FOMC meeting

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INDICATOR BASED BUY XAUUSD SIGNAL PERFORMANCE

2501 - 2529 = 28 POINTS GAIN.

Excellent profit & TP @ 2520 achieved.

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» Level 1 = 2525 - ##
» SL = ##
» TP = ##
» Level 2 = ##

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Market Update: EUR ECB Interest Rate Decision and US Jobless data.

Today at 12:15 GMT, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its interest rate decision. Shortly after, at 12:30 GMT, the US will release its Initial Jobless Claims and (PPI) data.

Impact on Gold Prices:

Scenario 1: Bullish for Gold

- Initial Jobless Claims: Above 240K
- PPI: Below 0.2%

A higher jobless claims number and lower PPI reading will likely boost gold prices and weaken the US Dollar Index (DXY).

Scenario 2: Bearish for Gold

- Initial Jobless Claims: Below 227K
- PPI: Above 0.2%

Conversely, a lower jobless claims number and higher PPI reading will likely pressure gold prices and strengthen the DXY.

Important Note:

The market impact from these data releases is expected to be short-lived. Approach trading with caution and consider taking calculated risks to maximize potential gains.

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XAUUSD HIGH TRADED 2589!

This week marks a crucial moment in the financial markets with the upcoming US Interest Rate Decision and the FOMC meeting. These events will likely bring significant volatility, creating opportunities and risks for Forex traders.

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XAUUSD 17 POINTS PROFIT DONE

Precisely From 2587 Given Level
2570 Traded, Currently trading @ 2580

WHAT NEXT?
HOW DOES USA RETAIL SALES DATA AFFECT GOLD PRICE??

35 minutes Left for the Data
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» Level 1 = 2577 - ##
» SL = ##
» TP = ##
» Level 2 = ##

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BUY XAUUSD

Level -1 nearly performed
2578 - 2589 = 11 POINTS GAIN.

Excellent profit & TP @ 2590 near achieve.

FOLLOW NEXT TP @ 2600

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XAUUSD MARKET UPDATE AHEAD OF CB CONSUMER CONFIDENCE

» US Consumer Confidence: Positive data has strengthened the USD, with USDX gaining 0.09%-0.14% daily since Friday.

» Gold Outlook: Despite a recent bearish movement, gold remains a safe-haven asset. Prices hit a new high above $2,630 on Monday, driven by Fed rate cut expectations and Middle East tensions.

What Next??
Check our Latest Blog » BUY OR SELL?

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US GDP Data will be released soon and High Volatility is expected from this Event - the 2680 Mark has already crossed

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