Rob Lee (Twitter)
If Ukraine only had MANPADS, Russian aviation would be operating more effectively. Russian aircraft have changed their TTPs, putting them at greater risk to MANPADS, because they assess the threat from S-300 and Buk-M1 is greater and because of issues with targeting systems. 25/
If Ukraine only had MANPADS, Russian aviation would be operating more effectively. Russian aircraft have changed their TTPs, putting them at greater risk to MANPADS, because they assess the threat from S-300 and Buk-M1 is greater and because of issues with targeting systems. 25/
Rob Lee (Twitter)
This part isn't true. Russia is having success conducting air strikes in the Donbas because Ukraine can't afford to push valuable S-300 and Buk-M1 systems into the Donbas salient where they could be targeted by Russian artillery. MANPADS are not sufficient here. 26/
This part isn't true. Russia is having success conducting air strikes in the Donbas because Ukraine can't afford to push valuable S-300 and Buk-M1 systems into the Donbas salient where they could be targeted by Russian artillery. MANPADS are not sufficient here. 26/
Rob Lee (Twitter)
The US Air Force could conduct an effective SEAD/DEAD campaign against Ukraine's air defenses because it is better trained, has better aircraft (including reconnaissance aircraft), and has better PGMs than the Russian Air Force. Those capabilities are expensive. 27/
The US Air Force could conduct an effective SEAD/DEAD campaign against Ukraine's air defenses because it is better trained, has better aircraft (including reconnaissance aircraft), and has better PGMs than the Russian Air Force. Those capabilities are expensive. 27/
Rob Lee (Twitter)
I fundamentally disagree that any technology we've seen in Ukraine proves the balance of modern warfare has changed "very much against the attacker." There is plenty of modern equipment and different TTPs that can be used by the attacker to give them the advantage. 28/
I fundamentally disagree that any technology we've seen in Ukraine proves the balance of modern warfare has changed "very much against the attacker." There is plenty of modern equipment and different TTPs that can be used by the attacker to give them the advantage. 28/
Rob Lee (Twitter)
The increasing capability of UAVs helps both the defender and attacker. Advances in air defenses can be offset by longer-range munitions and UAVs launching those munitions. Assuming this development will only aid the defender is questionable. 29/
The increasing capability of UAVs helps both the defender and attacker. Advances in air defenses can be offset by longer-range munitions and UAVs launching those munitions. Assuming this development will only aid the defender is questionable. 29/
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Much has been made of Russian tank losses to ATGMs (even though artillery has destroyed more of them), but plenty of Russian tank losses were not K-Kills. Whereas, there aren't many cases where Russian BMPs, BTRs, or MT-LBs withstood a direct ATGM hit that wasn't catastrophic.30/
Much has been made of Russian tank losses to ATGMs (even though artillery has destroyed more of them), but plenty of Russian tank losses were not K-Kills. Whereas, there aren't many cases where Russian BMPs, BTRs, or MT-LBs withstood a direct ATGM hit that wasn't catastrophic.30/
Rob Lee (Twitter)
The lesson from this war isn't that NATO militaries should do away with armor, it is that they need to employ them correctly through combined arms. We should be wary of anyone saying there have been revolutionary changes that should drastically change the structure of militaries.
The lesson from this war isn't that NATO militaries should do away with armor, it is that they need to employ them correctly through combined arms. We should be wary of anyone saying there have been revolutionary changes that should drastically change the structure of militaries.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Before anyone says this, I think the US Marine Corps was right to divest from tanks, but the US Army and most other NATO armies should not. The USMC has a specific and unique challenge and it needed to find savings for new investments that could only come from vertical cuts.
Before anyone says this, I think the US Marine Corps was right to divest from tanks, but the US Army and most other NATO armies should not. The USMC has a specific and unique challenge and it needed to find savings for new investments that could only come from vertical cuts.
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Danvan (Twitter)
RT @1xxxxx_go: Я коли питаю свого друга з під Ізюму https://twitter.com/1xxxxx_go/status/1531372768088006659/video/1
RT @1xxxxx_go: Я коли питаю свого друга з під Ізюму https://twitter.com/1xxxxx_go/status/1531372768088006659/video/1
Rob Lee (Twitter)
2841/
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@Nrg8000:
Putin's War -- The May 31st map briefing.
- Russian forces have advanced forward troops significantly into the city of Sievierodonetsk.
- Satellite evidence of a significant Ukrainian force crossing the Inhulets river in Kherson (see next post). https://t.co/LobKuXgSCZ
2841/
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@Nrg8000:
Putin's War -- The May 31st map briefing.
- Russian forces have advanced forward troops significantly into the city of Sievierodonetsk.
- Satellite evidence of a significant Ukrainian force crossing the Inhulets river in Kherson (see next post). https://t.co/LobKuXgSCZ
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
85/
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@RALee85:
Video of a Ukrainian Stugna-P ATGM strike on a Russian armored vehicle.
https://t.co/Vpo5FXtIoY https://t.co/Y5Zy4t6BD1
85/
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@RALee85:
Video of a Ukrainian Stugna-P ATGM strike on a Russian armored vehicle.
https://t.co/Vpo5FXtIoY https://t.co/Y5Zy4t6BD1
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
Russian TOS-1A thermobaric MLRS fire in Kherson Oblast.
https://xn--r1a.website/faceofwar/19968
Russian TOS-1A thermobaric MLRS fire in Kherson Oblast.
https://xn--r1a.website/faceofwar/19968
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
2842/
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@RALee85:
Russian TOS-1A thermobaric MLRS fire in Kherson Oblast.
https://t.co/J5RXajGwdV https://t.co/yGGd5TSM8E
2842/
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@RALee85:
Russian TOS-1A thermobaric MLRS fire in Kherson Oblast.
https://t.co/J5RXajGwdV https://t.co/yGGd5TSM8E
Rob Lee (Twitter)
33/
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@NeilPHauer:
@RALee85 I also don't know where the idea that Russian airpower in Donbas has been 'neutered' comes from - dozens of soldiers from numerous fronts there have described to me daily strikes by both jets and helicopters on their positions
33/
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@NeilPHauer:
@RALee85 I also don't know where the idea that Russian airpower in Donbas has been 'neutered' comes from - dozens of soldiers from numerous fronts there have described to me daily strikes by both jets and helicopters on their positions
Twitter
Neil Hauer
@RALee85 I also don't know where the idea that Russian airpower in Donbas has been 'neutered' comes from - dozens of soldiers from numerous fronts there have described to me daily strikes by both jets and helicopters on their positions
Dan (Twitter)
RT @RALee85: Thread: I completely disagree with this article's conclusions, and I think it stems from a misinterpretation of the data. Tanks, fighters, and ships are not "being pushed into obsolescence" and we are mostly seeing incremental changes in warfare.
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/05/ukraine-russia-putin-war/638423/ https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1531733871850553344/photo/1
RT @RALee85: Thread: I completely disagree with this article's conclusions, and I think it stems from a misinterpretation of the data. Tanks, fighters, and ships are not "being pushed into obsolescence" and we are mostly seeing incremental changes in warfare.
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/05/ukraine-russia-putin-war/638423/ https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1531733871850553344/photo/1