Def Mon (Twitter)
RU 8th CAA, which includes 1st Army Corps are doing most of the fighting around Avdiivka.
RU 8th CAA, which includes 1st Army Corps are doing most of the fighting around Avdiivka.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
Marinka
RuAF made some minor progress in the town, RuAF claimed to have "almost" captured it last fall but has not managed to this day.
RU Units fighting around Marinka are among others 150th motor rifle division (8CAA) and 127th motor rifle division (5CAA) and 5th bde 1AC.
Marinka
RuAF made some minor progress in the town, RuAF claimed to have "almost" captured it last fall but has not managed to this day.
RU Units fighting around Marinka are among others 150th motor rifle division (8CAA) and 127th motor rifle division (5CAA) and 5th bde 1AC.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
Vuhledar
After some epic failures by RuAF in the Vuhledar direction this winter, the frontline has remained fairly static for the last couple of months.
Vuhledar
After some epic failures by RuAF in the Vuhledar direction this winter, the frontline has remained fairly static for the last couple of months.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
Units fighting in this direction are among others 155th, 40th Naval infantry brigade, 95, 113th rgt 1AC. 71, 78th rgt 58th CAA. 36th, 37th, 60th bde from Eastern MD. 14th Special Purpose Brigade which was rewarded by Shoigu yesterday in Mariupol.
Units fighting in this direction are among others 155th, 40th Naval infantry brigade, 95, 113th rgt 1AC. 71, 78th rgt 58th CAA. 36th, 37th, 60th bde from Eastern MD. 14th Special Purpose Brigade which was rewarded by Shoigu yesterday in Mariupol.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
Zaporizhzhia
This part of the frontline have remained fairly static since last year. Some back and forth have been noted but no major changes. We have RU Southern MDs 58th CAA in charge here with some elements of Eastern MD.
Zaporizhzhia
This part of the frontline have remained fairly static since last year. Some back and forth have been noted but no major changes. We have RU Southern MDs 58th CAA in charge here with some elements of Eastern MD.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
Kherson
As you can guess, not a lot happened here. There has been some fighting in the delta and AFU have presence on some of the islands in the delta. It seems RuAF have focused on keeping out of AFU artillery range.
Kherson
As you can guess, not a lot happened here. There has been some fighting in the delta and AFU have presence on some of the islands in the delta. It seems RuAF have focused on keeping out of AFU artillery range.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
Bakhmut
It's taken RuAF about 2 month to capture the last 60% or so of Bakhmut. Back in Jan/Feb RuAF managed to form an envelopment around Bakhmut which made it hard for AFU to use counter battery and Air defense in Bakhmut.
Bakhmut
It's taken RuAF about 2 month to capture the last 60% or so of Bakhmut. Back in Jan/Feb RuAF managed to form an envelopment around Bakhmut which made it hard for AFU to use counter battery and Air defense in Bakhmut.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
The result of the envelopment was also RuAF gaining fire control over AFU ground lines of communications. These are some of the reasons I did not think it was a good idea to stay in Bakhmut.
The result of the envelopment was also RuAF gaining fire control over AFU ground lines of communications. These are some of the reasons I did not think it was a good idea to stay in Bakhmut.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
Ukraine's attrition rate dropped significantly at this point, possibly as low as 1:2 - 1:1 in Ukraine's favor at some point during February-March. I do suspect these numbers apply for the fighting in the city, and not surrounding areas.
Ukraine's attrition rate dropped significantly at this point, possibly as low as 1:2 - 1:1 in Ukraine's favor at some point during February-March. I do suspect these numbers apply for the fighting in the city, and not surrounding areas.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
The envelopment of Bakhmut was preformed by Wagner and RU VDV units which are considered "storm" units which RuAF use for attacks. These units are better trained than the regular mechanized infantry.
The envelopment of Bakhmut was preformed by Wagner and RU VDV units which are considered "storm" units which RuAF use for attacks. These units are better trained than the regular mechanized infantry.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
Ukraine attempted some what could be summarized as unsuccessful counter attacks against the VDV units on the Bakhmut flanks in March and did not managed to reverse the RU progress.
Ukraine attempted some what could be summarized as unsuccessful counter attacks against the VDV units on the Bakhmut flanks in March and did not managed to reverse the RU progress.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
At some point during this point, most likely after RuAF attacks stagnated on the flanks, RuAF moved Wagner from the flanks in to the city and replaced the VDV on the flanks with poorly trained units from the 3rd Army Corps, 200th MRB and 4th MRB.
At some point during this point, most likely after RuAF attacks stagnated on the flanks, RuAF moved Wagner from the flanks in to the city and replaced the VDV on the flanks with poorly trained units from the 3rd Army Corps, 200th MRB and 4th MRB.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
This was noticed by the AFU who a few weeks saw their chance to do a local counter attack using 3rd Assault Brigade. AFU has managed to push RuAF behind down from the T0504 road and to the east of the water canal and are closing in on Klishchiivka.
This was noticed by the AFU who a few weeks saw their chance to do a local counter attack using 3rd Assault Brigade. AFU has managed to push RuAF behind down from the T0504 road and to the east of the water canal and are closing in on Klishchiivka.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
While Bakhmut city is certainly lost (more or less), I think AFU could be in a good position if they regained some more ground in the north and a little bit of ground in the south.
While Bakhmut city is certainly lost (more or less), I think AFU could be in a good position if they regained some more ground in the north and a little bit of ground in the south.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
With a straightened frontline like this, they could utilize counter battery and start shooting fish in the Bakhmut barrel. Something like this is what I thought they should do back in February.
With a straightened frontline like this, they could utilize counter battery and start shooting fish in the Bakhmut barrel. Something like this is what I thought they should do back in February.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
RuAF keep committing units to Bakhmut and it's possible we will see them withdraw Wagner units and send in regular infantry, BARS etc. in Bakhmut. This is also why continued attacks on the flanks are needed from the AFU to force RuAF to commit troop.
RuAF keep committing units to Bakhmut and it's possible we will see them withdraw Wagner units and send in regular infantry, BARS etc. in Bakhmut. This is also why continued attacks on the flanks are needed from the AFU to force RuAF to commit troop.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
This will enable the AFU to set up for an offensive in other directions with the units dedicated for the purposes. Ukraine should at this point have somewhere between 20-25 mech/infantry/assault Brigades dedicated for this.
This will enable the AFU to set up for an offensive in other directions with the units dedicated for the purposes. Ukraine should at this point have somewhere between 20-25 mech/infantry/assault Brigades dedicated for this.
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Def Mon (Twitter)
They should have 9 bde equipped with western equipment, 3 equipped by them self. There is another 9 brigades in offensive guard. Ukraine have additionally 8 or so units forming. Plus there are a bunch of TD brigade and regular brigades which could support the offensive.
They should have 9 bde equipped with western equipment, 3 equipped by them self. There is another 9 brigades in offensive guard. Ukraine have additionally 8 or so units forming. Plus there are a bunch of TD brigade and regular brigades which could support the offensive.
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The Lookout (Twitter)
RT @DefMon3: Ukraine update🧵 May 20th
It's been a while since I made an update, but I think it's time to have a look at what has happened the last 2 months.
It would be helpful if you like and retweet this tweet. https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1659954245238681601/photo/1
RT @DefMon3: Ukraine update🧵 May 20th
It's been a while since I made an update, but I think it's time to have a look at what has happened the last 2 months.
It would be helpful if you like and retweet this tweet. https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1659954245238681601/photo/1