Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- U.S. Central Command has released an image of a U.S. Navy MH-60R SeaHawk helicopter coming in to land on the USS Delbert D. Black (DDG 119) after patrolling in the Arabian Sea. โžก๏ธ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 109 commercial vessels and disabledโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- U.S. Central Command has released an image of a U.S. Navy MH-60 SeaHawk helicopter lifting off from the flight deck of the USS Tripoli (LHA 7) during a training operation in the Arabian Sea.

โžก๏ธ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 111 commercial vessels and disabled 4 since April 13th.
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- The Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar will travel to Washington D.C. tomorrow to meet with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, where he will convey messages from Iran.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has stated that the "mission in Iran must be completed," adding that he speaks with Donald Trump about the matter almost daily.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- The U.S. Department of State wishes Secretary of State Marco Rubio a happy birthday.
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#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to Axios, US and Iranian negotiators have reached agreement on a 60-day memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire and launch nuclear negotiations, though Donald Trump has yet to give his final approval.

โžก๏ธ Deal terms were largely agreed as of Tuesday, with Iranian officials subsequently indicating they had the necessary approvals and were prepared to sign, though Iran has not confirmed this. Trump was briefed on the final details and asked for a few days to consider it.

โžก๏ธ Iran will commit not to pursue a nuclear weapon; and the first issues to be negotiated during the 60-day window will be the disposal of Iran's highly enriched uranium and the future of Iranian enrichment.

โžก๏ธ The US will also commit to discussing sanctions relief, the release of frozen Iranian funds, and a mechanism to help Iran receive goods and humanitarian aid.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent:
The United States Government will not tolerate any effort to impose a tolling system in the Strait of Hormuz. Oman, in particular, should know that the U.S. Treasury will aggressively target any actors involved - directly or indirectly - in facilitating tolls for the Strait and any willing partners will be penalized. All nations should reject outright any efforts by Iran to disrupt the free flow of commerce. Tehranโ€™s days of terrorizing the region and the world are over.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- CNN citing a senior Trump administration official, says this report is true.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to i24NEWS, Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has not accepted the memorandum of understanding with the US.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to i24NEWS, Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has not accepted the memorandum of understanding with the US.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- i24NEWS also states that while there may be some form of agreement between Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, US envoy Steve Witkoff, Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, Jared Kushner, and others, Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has not agreed to the proposal.
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#NEW
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง - The spokesman of the IDF Effie Defrin has announced that the military had killed "nearly" a third of Hezbollah's forces since the start of the conflict in 2023.

Defrin states that since the
latest war with Iran, 2.5k Hezbollah members have been killed. He also added that the "third" figure is regarding the around 30,000 soldiers Hezbollah has in active service.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Approximately 1 hour ago, the Israeli Air Force targeted the largest dam in Lebanon, the Qaraoun Dam in the southern Beqaa Valley. โžก๏ธ The Qaraoun Dam serves as a vital hub for hydropower generation (190 MW), irrigation, and drinking water. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The IDF claims to have targeted "Hezbollah operatives" attempting to damage the Qaraoun Dam in the Beqaa Valley, despite targeting the dam and the area around it 5 times, killing a Lebanese Army soldier, killing a Lebanese paramedic, and injuring at least 1 civilian.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Dan Caine, has just entered the White House through the West Wing.
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๐Ÿ‘€21๐Ÿคฎ13๐Ÿ’ฉ8๐Ÿค”4โค1๐Ÿ™1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- i24NEWS also states that while there may be some form of agreement between Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, US envoy Steve Witkoff, Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, Jared Kushner, and others, Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has notโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ-According to a diplomatic source cited by Al-Arabiya, the agreement between the US and Iran will be implemented in two phases, with the first phase involving the signing of a memorandum of understanding, witnessed by Pakistan.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ-According to a diplomatic source cited by Al-Arabiya, the agreement between the US and Iran will be implemented in two phases, with the first phase involving the signing of a memorandum of understanding, witnessed by Pakistan.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- U.S. officials have told Al-Jazeera that the United States and Iran have reached a memorandum of understanding on the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear negotiations and are waiting for Trump's approval.
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๐Ÿค”21๐Ÿ’ฉ15๐ŸŒ6๐Ÿคก5โค2๐Ÿคจ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- U.S. officials have told Al-Jazeera that the United States and Iran have reached a memorandum of understanding on the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear negotiations and are waiting for Trump's approval.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- The Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi has stated that Iran will not sign any agreement that does not align with its interests and will respond to any ceasefire violation.
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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” Drone alerts slightly inland from the Lebanese-Israeli border.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Initial assessments within Israel suggest that it is currently unclear whether or not the assassination attempt was actually successful; the attack was reportedly conducted despite U.S. restrictions.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- According to Israeli Channel 12, US officials have instructed Israel to provide advance notice before carrying out targeted assassinations in Lebanon and have indicated they do not approve of building demolitions.

โžก๏ธ Israel reportedly notified Washington ahead of today's attempted assassination on Hezbollah official Ali al-Husseini in Beirut.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- According to Israeli Channel 12, US officials have instructed Israel to provide advance notice before carrying out targeted assassinations in Lebanon and have indicated they do not approve of building demolitions. โžก๏ธ Israel reportedly notifiedโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€” Pro-Netanyahu Hebrew media outlet Channel 14 reports that the assassination attempt against Ali al-Husseini, the commander of Hezbollah's missile unit, has failed.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- U.S. officials have told Al-Jazeera that the United States and Iran have reached a memorandum of understanding on the Strait of Hormuz and nuclear negotiations and are waiting for Trump's approval.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- According to CNN, U.S. sources have cautioned that any progress in the talks could be quickly upended if Donald Trump withholds his approval.

โžก๏ธ Trump has been under pressure from members of his own party and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu not to agree to a deal that would ease pressure on Iran and has been seeking advice to ensure any agreement is sufficiently robust, according to a person familiar with the matter.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- According to CNN, U.S. sources have cautioned that any progress in the talks could be quickly upended if Donald Trump withholds his approval. โžก๏ธ Trump has been under pressure from members of his own party and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahuโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- A senior Arab official directly involved in the peace talks told NBC News that American and Iranian negotiators agreed to the terms of a truce deal three days ago in Doha, but both sides have delayed finalizing and announcing it.

โžก๏ธ "It was already closed in Doha three days ago, now everyone is playing a game of chicken and egg," the official said, describing the delays as "frustrating." The official noted that Iranian negotiators first agreed and returned to their leadership for approval, and now the American side is doing the same, awaiting a final sign-off from Donald Trump.
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- Former Yemeni President Abd Rabbuh Mansour Hadi has died in Riyadh at the age of 80 following a sudden health crisis. Hadi had fled to Saudi Arabia after the Houthis gained power in Yemen back in 2015.
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