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Geopolitics Watch

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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

⁉️- Iranian forces in the Persian Gulf unveiled the new "Arash the Archer" air defense system, successfully using it to shoot down a hostile drone over the Strait of Hormuz.

🇮🇷❌⁉️- The "Arash the Archer" (Arash-e Kamangir) air defense system is reportedly equipped with "hidden capabilities," with authorities stating that "this is our sign so that no stealth drone can ever penetrate the skies of the Persian Gulf again."

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Geopolitics Watch

🇷🇺❌🇺🇦- Russia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs has issued an emergency statement urging foreign nationals to leave Kiev, announcing the start of a new and extensive round of strikes on the Ukrainian capital.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

#BREAKING ⚡️

🇮🇱 - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of numerous IDF assets within an armored gathering using "Ababil" FPV drones in southern Lebanon's 'Rchaf' across days. On the 8th of May, a "Merkava IV" tank upper-front plate was struck.…

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⚡️🇱🇧🇱🇧❌🇮🇱 - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF "HEMTT" Fuel Tank using an "Ababil" FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Bint Jbeil' on the 14th of May.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇱 - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF "HEMTT" Fuel Tank using an "Ababil" FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Bint Jbeil' on the 14th of May. @GeoPWatch

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🇮🇱 - Hezbollah published footage of the renewed targeting and utter dismantling of an IDF Logistics, Command and Artillery site in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada', following the first targeting on the 22nd of April.

On the 12th of May, Hezbollah struck the area with a rocket artillery barrage, and a "Merkava IV" using an FPV drone. On the 13th, a "HMMWV" was struck with an FPV drone, and another rocket barrage alongside a swarm of 2 Kamikaze drones were launched. On the 15th, the majority of IDF assets in the site were withdrawn. A camouflaged "Merkava IV" under nettings was struck, alongside an excavator. On the 16th, a "HMMWV" was struck. On the 17th, the final remaining barracks was struck.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇵🇰- Donald Trump posted on Truth Social: Negotiations with the Islamic Republic of Iran are proceeding nicely! It will only be a Great Deal for all or, no Deal at all — Back to the Battlefront and shooting, but bigger and stronger than ever before —…

🇸🇦🇵🇸❌🇮🇱🇺🇸- According to CNN, Saudi Arabia has reaffirmed that it will only normalize relations with Israel if there is an irreversible pathway to a Palestinian state, with a source stating the kingdom maintains "the same position as always."

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Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇱❌🇱🇧- According to the Lebanese Ministry of Health, the total death toll in Lebanon due to IDF attacks since March 2nd has risen to at least 3,185, with at least 9,633 people injured.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- Donald Trump via Truth Social.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇱 - Hezbollah published footage of the renewed targeting and utter dismantling of an IDF Logistics, Command and Artillery site in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada', following the first targeting on the 22nd of April. On the 12th of May, Hezbollah struck…

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🇮🇱 - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF Infantry soldier using an FPV drone equipped with thermal imagery in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada' on the 23rd of May.

Do note that the IDF only ever moves at night-time, as movement is doctrinally ceased in daylight due to the FPV drone threat. Thus, the threat of thermal imagery FPV drones are significant, to say the least.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇮🇱- The Secretary of the Iranian Supreme National Security Council, Mohammad Baqer Zolqadr, has released a statement:

There will be no retreat.

This was demonstrated by the military field, the diplomatic field, and the envoys present on the streets with their fierce resistance and pinned the enemy to the ground.

Now more than ever, the country needs unity and cohesion so that the Americans and Zionists will also be disappointed in this regard.

The field of unity and cohesion is another field in the struggle.

A common effort to prevent any speech or action that disrupts unity will lead dear Iran to final victory.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇱❌🇱🇧🇱🇧- According to two Israeli sources cited by the Jerusalem Post, Israeli officials are discussing potential changes to Israel's operational policy in Lebanon following a series of drone attacks targeting IDF soldiers. The current policy has been constrained by the ceasefire agreement, though no decision has yet been reached.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇷🇨🇳🇺🇸🇵🇰🇶🇦- According to sources cited by Al-Arabiya, Iran is seeking guarantees from China before proceeding with a deal to end the war with the U.S. and is demanding that some of its highly enriched uranium be transferred to China rather than the United States.

➡️ Also, a source stated that Pakistani Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir is expected to travel to Doha, Qatar, in the coming days.

Iran's Tasnim News Agency describes this report as false. [They have not denied the piece about Asim Munir's visit to Qatar.]

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Geopolitics Watch

Last night and this morning, another large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack was carried out on Ukraine. Missiles launched: ~20 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched from 4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers at their launch lines over western Kostroma Oblast.…

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— During the large-scale missile attack by Russia against Ukraine, one Oreshnik IRBM launch went wrong, and the MIRVs were seen impacting somewhere within Russian-occupied Donetsk Oblast, in territories Russia annexed in September 2022.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸 — President Trump has reposted an AI-generated image of him and UFC head Dana White with a boxing ring at the White House, promoting the upcoming UFC Freedom Fights 250 fight set to take place at the White House South Lawn on June 14. A Stake gambling…

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🇺🇸- The White House is currently preparing for the UFC fight scheduled to be held on the South Lawn on June 14th, alongside ongoing construction of Donald Trump's new ballroom.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇶🇦- According to sources cited by Al-Arabiya, Iran is seeking guarantees from China before proceeding with a deal to end the war with the U.S. and is demanding that some of its highly enriched uranium be transferred to China rather than the United…

🇮🇷🇨🇳🇺🇸🇵🇰🇶🇦- Tasnim News Agency's investigations describe this report as false and part of American psychological operations.

➡️ According to Tasnim, the current memorandum of understanding contains no reference to the removal of nuclear materials, and Iran has made no commitments on nuclear action in the memorandum.

➡️ Tasnim also dismissed Al Arabiya's claim of citing "Iranian sources," describing it as a fabrication.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇱🇧- According to two Israeli sources cited by the Jerusalem Post, Israeli officials are discussing potential changes to Israel's operational policy in Lebanon following a series of drone attacks targeting IDF soldiers. The current policy has been constrained…

🇮🇱❌🇱🇧🇱🇧- The IDF's Northern Command Commander Major General Rafi Milo stated during a Golan Brigade rally in Katzrin that "in the Lebanese sector, the Northern Command is at war."

➡️ He accused Hezbollah of deliberately escalating the situation and crossing "a serious and unacceptable red line" in Metula, Shomra, and along the border, claiming that the IDF will continue to act "resolutely in the face of any threat."

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇱🇧- According to two Israeli sources cited by the Jerusalem Post, Israeli officials are discussing potential changes to Israel's operational policy in Lebanon following a series of drone attacks targeting IDF soldiers. The current policy has been constrained…

🇮🇱❌🇱🇧🇱🇧- According to Israeli Channel 14, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defence Minister Katz are leaning toward approving a significant expansion of IDF operations in Lebanon.

➡️ The IDF has formulated a broad attack plan targeting "Hezbollah infrastructure and buildings," which it is recommending for immediate implementation pending political approval.

➡️ The expected decision would also mark a change in fire policy, allowing for more extensive strikes on "Hezbollah-linked" structures.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇱🇧- According to Israeli Channel 14, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defence Minister Katz are leaning toward approving a significant expansion of IDF operations in Lebanon. ➡️ The IDF has formulated a broad attack plan targeting "Hezbollah infrastructure…

🇮🇱🇺🇸❌🇱🇧🇱🇧- A senior US official hinted to Axios that the Trump administration will support an escalation of Israeli actions against Lebanon, stating, "Israel will never be required to passively absorb attacks on its forces and citizens."

➡️ "This is not the Biden administration," they said. The official noted that since April 17, Hezbollah has launched more than 1,000 drones and over 700 rockets, describing the situation as "not sustainable" and placing full responsibility on Hezbollah for the current escalation.

➡️ The official added that Hezbollah violated the ceasefire on March 2nd and is now actively attempting to "sabotage" ongoing Lebanon-Israel negotiations supported by the US out of fear that a successful ceasefire led by the Lebanese government would undermine Hezbollah's power and narrative. "This constitutes an existential threat to Hezbollah," the official said.

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