Spain, Target Point poll:

PP-EPP: 30% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 26% (-2)
VOX-PfE: 19%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8% (+2)
Podemos-LEFT: 3% (-1)
SALF-ECR|NI: 2%

+/- vs. 17-19 November 2025

Fieldwork: 13-15 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

France, Preliminary final election result:

Rist (RE-RE) and Rabault (RN/UDR-PfE) advance to the second round.

Loiret's 1st constituency 1st round by- election

Rist (RE-RE): 33.9% (+2.3)
Rabault (RN/UDR-PfE): 27.2% (-0.8)
Kounowski (PS-S&D): 27.1% (-4.4)
Belgherbi (LFI-LEFT): 7.1% (+7.1)
Maurice (REC-ESN): 4.8% (+3.5)

+/- vs. Last election result

➤ europeelects.eu/france

Norway, Respons Analyse poll:

FrP~ECR: 28%
Ap-S&D: 25% (+2)
H-EPP: 17% (-1)
R~LEFT: 6% (-1)
SV~LEFT: 6%
Sp~RE: 5% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 4%
KrF-EPP: 4% (+1)
V-RE: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 03-08 December 2025

Fieldwork: 07-09 January 2026
Sample size: 1,001

➤ europeelects.eu/norway

Portugal, 99.4% of polling stations counted:

Presidential election, first round today

Seguro (PS-S&D): 31.1% (+0.4)
Ventura (CH-PfE): 23.4% (-0.6)
Cotrim (IL-RE): 16.0% (+0.3)
Gouveia e Melo (*): 12.3%
M. Mendes (*-EPP): 11.4% (-0.4)
Martins (BE-LEFT): 2.1% (+0.1)
Filipe (PCP-LEFT): 1.6% (+0.1)
M.J. Vieira (*): 1.1% (+0.1)
Pinto (L-Greens/EFA): 0.7%
Pestana (*): 0.2%
Correia (*): 0.1%

+/- vs. 97.0% of polling stations counted

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

Austria, INSA poll:

FPÖ-PfE: 37%
ÖVP-EPP: 20% (+1)
SPÖ-S&D: 20%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 9%
NEOS-RE: 8% (-1)
KPÖ-LEFT: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 15-27 August 2025

Fieldwork: 12-14 January 2026
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/austria

UK (Scotland), Survation poll:

Independence referendum

Yes: 50% (+1)
No: 50% (-1)

+/- vs. 2-5 May 2025

Fieldwork: 08-12 January 2026
Sample size: 1,003

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 21% (+1)
F-G/EFA: 14% (-1)
V-RE: 11%
I-EPP: 11%
Æ-ECR: 10%
C-EPP: 7%
O-PfE: 7%
Ø-LEFT: 6% (-2)
M-RE: 5% (+2)
B-RE: 4% (-1)
Å→G/EFA: 2%
H-*: 2%

+/- vs. 05-11 January 2026

Fieldwork: 12-18 January 2025
Sample size: 1,007

➤ europeelects.eu/denmark

Spain, GESOP poll:

PP-EPP: 30% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 27% (-1)
VOX-PfE: 18%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
SALF-ECR|NI: 2%
Junts-NI: 1%

+/- vs. 03-09 October 2025

Fieldwork: 12-15 January 2026
Sample size: 1,002

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

Germany, Verian poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 26% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 25%
SPD-S&D: 15% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 10% (-1)
FDP-RE: 3%
BSW-NI: 3% (-1)

+/- vs. 03-09 December 2025

Fieldwork: 07-13 January 2026
Sample size: 1455

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Germany, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 26%
AfD-ESN: 25%
SPD-S&D: 15% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12%
LINKE-LEFT: 10% (-1)

+/- vs. 09-11 December 2025

Fieldwork: 13-15 January 2026
Sample size: 1245

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Germany, INSA poll:

AfD-ESN: 26%
CDU/CSU-EPP: 25%
SPD-S&D: 14%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12%
LINKE-LEFT: 11% (+1)
FDP-RE: 4%
BSW-NI: 4%

+/- vs. 09-12 January 2026

Fieldwork: 12-16 January 2026
Sample size: 1202

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Portugal, Intercampus poll:

AD-EPP: 26%
CH-PfE: 25% (+1)
PS-S&D: 23% (-2)
IL-RE: 9%
L-G/EFA: 8% (+1)
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 2% (-1)
BE-LEFT: 2% (-1)
PAN-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 12-16 December 2025

Fieldwork: 06-13 January 2026
Sample size: 806

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

Belgium: the Dutch-speaking liberal party Open VLD (RE), that contests in elections in Flanders and Brussels only, has changed its name to "Anders", or "Differently" in English.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/belgium

UK (Scotland), Norstat poll:

Independence referendum

Yes: 51% (-2)
No: 49% (+2)

+/- vs. 22-25 September 2025

Fieldwork: 13-16 January 2026
Sample size: 1,016

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Bulgaria: President Rumen Radev (*-S&D) has submitted his resignation to the Constitutional Court. If accepted, the remainder of his term will be carried out by Vice President Iliyana Yotova (*-S&D).

➤ https://europeelects.eu/bulgaria

Spain, Sigma Dos poll:

Aragón regional parliament election

PP (EPP): 38% (+1)
PSOE (S&D): 26%
VOX (PfE): 16% (+3)
CHA (Greens/EFA): 8% (+2)
IU-Sumar (LEFT): 5% (+1)
Existe (*): 3%
Podemos-AV (LEFT): 2% (-1)
PAR (*): 2%

+/- vs. 14-25 April 2025

Fieldwork: 08-15 January 2026
Sample size: 1,716

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

UK (GB), YouGov poll:

REFORM~NI: 24%
LAB-S&D: 19%
CON~ECR: 18% (-2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 17% (+3)
LDEM-RE: 14% (-2)
SNP-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 11-12 January 2026

Fieldwork: 18-19 January 2026
Sample size: 2,335

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Switzerland: on 8 March 2026, voters will cast their votes in six ballots on cash & various taxes.

The LeeWas poll shows a dynamic for all but one ballot.

Fieldwork: 14-15 January 2026
Sample size: 16,198

➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland

UK (GB), More in Common poll:

REFORM~NI: 31%
CON~ECR: 21%
LAB-S&D: 20% (+1)
LDEM-RE: 13% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 11% (-1)
SNP-G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 10-13 January 2026

Fieldwork: 16-19 January 2026
Sample size: 2,007

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

Sweden, Novus poll:

S-S&D: 34%
SD-ECR: 23% (-1)
M-EPP: 18%
V-LEFT: 7% (+1)
MP-G/EFA: 6% (+1)
C-RE: 5%
KD-EPP: 4%
L-RE: 2%

+/- vs. 01-14 December 2025

Fieldwork: 07-18 January 2026
Sample size: 2,599

➤ europeelects.eu/sweden

Romania, INSCOP poll:

AUR-ECR: 41% (+3)
PSD-S&D: 18% (-2)
PNL-EPP: 14% (-1)
USR-RE: 12%
UDMR-EPP: 5%
SENS→G/EFA: 3%
S.O.S.RO-NI: 3% (+1)
POT-*: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 25 October 2025 - 02 November 2025

Fieldwork: 12-15 January 2026
Sample size: 1,100

➤ europeelects.eu/romania