Europe Elects Official
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The official Telegram account for Europe Elects: providing polling aggregation and analysis from all over Europe.

https://europeelects.eu
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#Spain (European Parliament election): according to the 8 PM CEST SigmaDos poll, the centre-left PSOE (S&D) is set to score 30.2%.

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#Ireland, European Parliament Election:

Irish public broadcaster RTÉ is reporting that Luke Ming Flanagan MEP (*-LEFT), Maria Walsh MEP (FG-EPP) and Barry Cowen (FF-RE) are set to receive seats with the last two seats in the Midlands-Northwest European constituency in contention with the remaining candidates.

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#France, Harris x Toluna exit poll:

European Parliament election

RN-ID: 31.5%
Bd'E-RE: 16.0%
Rl'E-S&D: 14.3%
LFI-LEFT: 8.8%
LR-EPP: 6.9%
LÉ-G/EFA: 5.0%
REC-ECR: 5.0%


Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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Europe Elects Official
#France, Harris x Toluna exit poll: European Parliament election RN-ID: 31.5% Bd'E-RE: 16.0% Rl'E-S&D: 14.3% LFI-LEFT: 8.8% LR-EPP: 6.9% LÉ-G/EFA: 5.0% REC-ECR: 5.0% … Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
#France, Harris x Toluna exit poll:

European Parliament election: seat distribution

RN-ID: 30 (+7)
Bd'E-RE: 15 (-8)
Rl’E-S&D: 14 (+8)
LFI-LEFT: 8 (+2)
LR-EPP: 6 (-2)
REC-ECR: 4 (+4)
LÉ-G/EFA: 4 (-9)

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#Greece, European Parliament election - Singular Logic official estimate (updated):

ND-EPP: 29%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 15%
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 13%
EL-ECR: 10%
KKE-NI: 9%
Niki→NI: 4%
PE-*: 3%
FL-*: 3%
MeRA25~LEFT: 2%
NA-LEFT: 2%
P PE-*: 1%
D→RE: 1%
K-*: 1%

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#EU27 (European Parliament election), European Parliament result projection at 8:30 PM CEST:

Seats

Centre-right EPP: 181 (+3)
Centre-left S&D: 135 (-5)
Liberal RE: 82 (-20)
National-conservative ECR: 71 (+3)
Right-wing ID: 62 (+3)
Greens/EFA: 53 (-19)
Left: 34 (-3)
Non-Inscrits: 51 (?)
"New category": 51 (?)

Note: not a group, EU Parliament has no sufficient information on their affiliation.

+/- vs. current composition

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#EU27: the latest Europe Elects seat projection shows that the national-conservative ECR bloc of Giorgia Meloni and the right-wing ID bloc of Marine Le Pen are only gaining marginally compared to their current strength.

The real growth of the radical right happens within the Non-Inscrits, a grouping of non-grouped parties in Parliament. ECR and ID will have to compete for their support. Note that not all Non-Inscrits parties are radical right parties.

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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Europe Elects Official
#EU27 (European Parliament election), European Parliament result projection at 8:30 PM CEST: Seats Centre-right EPP: 181 (+3) Centre-left S&D: 135 (-5) Liberal RE: 82 (-20) National-conservative ECR: 71 (+3) Right-wing ID: 62 (+3) Greens/EFA: 53 (-19) Left:…
Europe Elects vs. European Parliament projections at 8.40 PM CEST

Centre-right EPP: 184 vs. 181
Centre-left S&D: 138 vs. 135
Liberal RE: 91 vs. 82
National-conservative ECR: 71 vs. 71
Right-wing ID: 64 vs. 62
Greens/EFA: 55 vs. 53
Left: 37 vs. 34
Non-Inscrits: 80 vs. 51

Not included in any bloc: – vs. 51

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#Bulgaria, National Parliament election today:
7 PM CEST Trend exit poll

GERB/SDS-EPP: 25.9%
PP/DB-RE|EPP|G/EFA: 15.7%
DPS-RE: 14.7%
V~NI: 14.2%
BSP-S&D: 8.9%
ITN→ECR: 6.5%
VE-*: 3.3%
M-*: 1.9%
SB-EPP: 1.4%
SBG-LEFT: 1.3%
VMRO-ECR: 0.9%


http://europeelects.eu/bulgaria
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#Germany (European Parliament election), Infratest dimap 8:37 PM projection:

CDU-EPP: 23.7%
AfD-NI: 16%
SPD-S&D: 13.9%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11.9%
CSU-EPP: 6.6%
BSW→NI: 6%
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 2.7%
FW-RE: 2.7%
Volt-G/EFA: 2.5%
...

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#Spain (European Parliament election), 8 PM CEST 40dB poll:

Seat projection

PP-EPP: 22
PSOE-S&D: 20
VOX-ECR: 7
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 4
AR-G/EFA: 2
Podemos-LEFT: 2
Junts-NI: 2
SALF-*: 2


Fieldwork: N/A
Sample size: N/A

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#Germany (European Parliament election), Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 8:30 PM projection:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30.1% (+0.1)
AfD-NI: 16.2% (-0.2)
SPD-S&D: 14.0% (+0.1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11.9% (-0.3)
BSW→NI: 5.9% (-0.2)
FDP-RE: 4.9% (+0.1)
LINKE-LEFT: 2.8% (-0.1)
Volt-G/EFA: 2.6% (-0.4)

+/- vs. 7:00 PM projection

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#Belgium (Walloon Parliament), regional parliament election today:

43.7% of the vote counted

MR-RE: 31.0% (+9.6)
LE-EPP: 22.9% (+11.9)
PS-S&D: 21.1% (-5.1)
PTB-LEFT: 10.5% (-3.2)
ECOLO-G/EFA: 7.5% (-7.0)
DéFI-*: 2.6% (-1.5)

+/- vs. 2019 election

https://europeelects.eu/belgium
#Wallonia
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#Finland, European Parliament election:

91.9% of votes counted:

Kok.-EPP: 24.5%
Vas.-LEFT: 17.4%
SDP-S&D: 15.0%
Kesk.-RE: 12.1%
Vihr.-G/EFA: 11.0%
PS-ECR: 7.6%
SFP-RE: 6.2%
KD-EPP: 4.2%
Liik.~NI: 0.5%

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#Greece: according to Singular Logic's official estimate, far-right Niki (→NI) is set 4.4% of the vote and is set to enter the European Parliament for the first time, winning one seat.

This would be the party's best result since being founded in 2019.

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#Belgium (#Wallonia), National Parliament election today:

38.7% of the vote counted

MR-RE: 29.4% (+8.9)
LE-EPP: 22.7% (+12.0)
PS-S&D: 19.1% (-7.0)
PTB-LEFT: 9.4% (-4.4)
ECOLO-G/EFA: 8.1% (-6.8)
DéFI-*: 2.2% (-1.9)

+/- vs. 2019 election

https://europeelects.eu/belgium
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#EU27, European Parliament election today: total reported turnout so far across the EU is 40.5%.

Even though several countries still have set to report their final turnout for 2024, this is now almost as high as the final turnout in 2014 (42.5%).

Details: http://europeelects.eu/ep2024/
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#France, Elabe exit poll:

European Parliament election

RN-ID: 32.0%
Bd'E-RE: 15.4%
Rl'E-S&D: 13.9%
LFI-LEFT: 9.3%
LR-EPP: 6.8%
REC-ECR: 5.2%
LÉ-G/EFA: 5.0%


Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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#Greece: according to Singular Logic's official estimate, national-conservative EL (ECR) is set to receive 9.6% of the vote and is set to enter the European Parliament for the first time, winning two seats.

This is the party's best result since being founded in 2016.

Special election page: https://europeelects.eu/ep2024
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