#Slovakia (Presidential run-off election), NMS poll:
Pellegrini (Hlas-S&D): 51.5%
Korčok (*): 48.5%
Fieldwork: 10-14 January 2024
Sample size: 1,030
➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia
Pellegrini (Hlas-S&D): 51.5%
Korčok (*): 48.5%
Fieldwork: 10-14 January 2024
Sample size: 1,030
➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia
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#France: The government coalition Ensemble (RE) fell to 17% in the latest Ifop European Parliament election poll. This is the lowest poll result recorded for the coalition since December 2018.
➤ http://europeelects.eu/france
➤ http://europeelects.eu/france
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#Hungary, IDEA poll:
Scenario: opposition parties run separately
Fidesz/KDNP-NI|EPP: 43%
DK-S&D: 20%
MH~NI: 9%
Momentum-RE: 7%
...
+/- vs. 30 November - 13 December 2023
Fieldwork: 27 December 2023 - 8 January 2024
Sample size: 1,500
➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary
Scenario: opposition parties run separately
Fidesz/KDNP-NI|EPP: 43%
DK-S&D: 20%
MH~NI: 9%
Momentum-RE: 7%
...
+/- vs. 30 November - 13 December 2023
Fieldwork: 27 December 2023 - 8 January 2024
Sample size: 1,500
➤ https://europeelects.eu/hungary
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#EU27, Europe Elects European Parliament popular vote projection:
Largest group in member states:
EPP: 10 countries
S&D: 6 countries
RE: 3 countries
ID: 3 countries
LEFT: 2 countries
NI: 2 countries
ECR: 1 country
More details at: https://europeelects.eu/2023/12/30/december-2023/
Largest group in member states:
EPP: 10 countries
S&D: 6 countries
RE: 3 countries
ID: 3 countries
LEFT: 2 countries
NI: 2 countries
ECR: 1 country
More details at: https://europeelects.eu/2023/12/30/december-2023/
Europe Elects
EU Parliamentary Projection: Le Pen’s Right-Wing ID Rises to Third Place - Europe Elects
Europe Elects’ European Parliament projection offers an indication of how voters in the European Union would vote should there be an EU Parliament election today and how this…
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#Czechia, Median poll:
ANO-RE: 35%
ODS-ECR: 13% (-3)
Piráti-G/EFA: 11%
SPD-ID: 9%)
STAN-EPP: 7% (+1)
TOP09-EPP: 6%
SOCDEM-S&D: 4%
KSČM-LEFT: 4% (+1)
KDU ČSL-EPP: 3% (-1)
Přísaha→EPP: 3%
PRO-*: 3% (+1)
Zelení-G/EFA: 2%
+/- vs. 11-30 November 2023
Fieldwork: 29 November - 30 December 2023
Sample size: 988
➤ https://europeelects.eu/czechia/
ANO-RE: 35%
ODS-ECR: 13% (-3)
Piráti-G/EFA: 11%
SPD-ID: 9%)
STAN-EPP: 7% (+1)
TOP09-EPP: 6%
SOCDEM-S&D: 4%
KSČM-LEFT: 4% (+1)
KDU ČSL-EPP: 3% (-1)
Přísaha→EPP: 3%
PRO-*: 3% (+1)
Zelení-G/EFA: 2%
+/- vs. 11-30 November 2023
Fieldwork: 29 November - 30 December 2023
Sample size: 988
➤ https://europeelects.eu/czechia/
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#Spain (Galician regional election), Target Point poll:
PP-EPP: 47% (-1)
BNG-G/EFA: 25% (+1)
PSdeG-PSOE-S&D: 17% (-2)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 4% (n.a.)
VOX-ECR: 2%
DO-*: 1% (n.a.)
Podemos-AV-LEFT|G/EFA: 1% (-3)
+/- vs. election 2020
Fieldwork: 11-16 January 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain
#Galicia
PP-EPP: 47% (-1)
BNG-G/EFA: 25% (+1)
PSdeG-PSOE-S&D: 17% (-2)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 4% (n.a.)
VOX-ECR: 2%
DO-*: 1% (n.a.)
Podemos-AV-LEFT|G/EFA: 1% (-3)
+/- vs. election 2020
Fieldwork: 11-16 January 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain
#Galicia
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#Finland (presidential election), Tietoykkönen poll:
Haavisto (*-G/EFA): 27% (+1)
Stubb (Kok.-EPP): 26% (-1)
Halla-aho (PS-ECR): 14% (+1)
Rehn (*-RE): 14% (+3)
Andersson (Vas.-LEFT): 9%
Urpilainen (SDP-S&D): 5% (-2)
Aaltola (*): 2% (-3)
Essayah (KD-EPP): 2% (+1)
Harkimo (Liik.~NI): 1%
+/- vs. early December 2023
Fieldwork: 9-17 January 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/finland
Haavisto (*-G/EFA): 27% (+1)
Stubb (Kok.-EPP): 26% (-1)
Halla-aho (PS-ECR): 14% (+1)
Rehn (*-RE): 14% (+3)
Andersson (Vas.-LEFT): 9%
Urpilainen (SDP-S&D): 5% (-2)
Aaltola (*): 2% (-3)
Essayah (KD-EPP): 2% (+1)
Harkimo (Liik.~NI): 1%
+/- vs. early December 2023
Fieldwork: 9-17 January 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/finland
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#Germany, Verian poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 31%
AfD-ID: 22% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 16% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 14% (-1)
FDP-RE: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 4%
FW-RE: 3% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 7-13 December 2023
Fieldwork: 9-11 January 2024
Sample size: 1,359
➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany
CDU/CSU-EPP: 31%
AfD-ID: 22% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 16% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 14% (-1)
FDP-RE: 4%
LINKE-LEFT: 4%
FW-RE: 3% (n.a.)
+/- vs. 7-13 December 2023
Fieldwork: 9-11 January 2024
Sample size: 1,359
➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany
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#Slovakia, AKO poll:
Smer-NI: 22% (-2)
PS-RE: 20% (-1)
Hlas-S&D: 14% (-1)
KDH-EPP: 9% (+2)
S/KÚ/ZĽ-EPP|ECR: 7%
SaS-ECR: 6%
SNS→ECR: 5%
Republika-NI: 5%
MA-EPP: 4% (+1)
D-EPP: 3% (+1)
SR-ID: 2%
+/- vs. 11-13 December 2023
Fieldwork: 11-16 January 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ http://europeelects.eu/slovakia
Smer-NI: 22% (-2)
PS-RE: 20% (-1)
Hlas-S&D: 14% (-1)
KDH-EPP: 9% (+2)
S/KÚ/ZĽ-EPP|ECR: 7%
SaS-ECR: 6%
SNS→ECR: 5%
Republika-NI: 5%
MA-EPP: 4% (+1)
D-EPP: 3% (+1)
SR-ID: 2%
+/- vs. 11-13 December 2023
Fieldwork: 11-16 January 2024
Sample size: 1,000
➤ http://europeelects.eu/slovakia
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#Romania, The Center for International Research and Analyses poll:
European Parliament election
PSD-S&D: 30% (+7)
PNL-EPP: 20% (-7)
AUR→ECR: 18% (new)
USR-RE: 14% (-8)
S.O.S. RO→ID: 6% (new)
UDMR-EPP: 5%
PMP-EPP: 2% (-4)
REPER-RE: 2% (new)
FD→EPP: 2% (new)
+/- vs. 2019 election
Fieldwork: December 2023
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania/
European Parliament election
PSD-S&D: 30% (+7)
PNL-EPP: 20% (-7)
AUR→ECR: 18% (new)
USR-RE: 14% (-8)
S.O.S. RO→ID: 6% (new)
UDMR-EPP: 5%
PMP-EPP: 2% (-4)
REPER-RE: 2% (new)
FD→EPP: 2% (new)
+/- vs. 2019 election
Fieldwork: December 2023
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/romania/
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#Germany, INSA poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% (-1)
AfD-ID: 22% (-1)
SPD-S&D: 13% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
BSW~LEFT: 7% (n.a.)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-1)
FW-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 12-15 January 2024
Fieldwork: 15-19 January 2024
Sample size: 1,203
➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany
CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% (-1)
AfD-ID: 22% (-1)
SPD-S&D: 13% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
BSW~LEFT: 7% (n.a.)
FDP-RE: 5%
LINKE-LEFT: 3% (-1)
FW-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 12-15 January 2024
Fieldwork: 15-19 January 2024
Sample size: 1,203
➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany
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#Norway, Norstat poll:
H-EPP: 27% (+1)
Ap-S&D: 19% (+1)
FrP~ECR: 12% (-2)
SV~LEFT: 11%
V-RE: 6% (+2)
Sp~RE: 6%
R~LEFT: 5%
KrF-EPP: 4% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
+/- vs. 27 November - 2 December 2023
Fieldwork: 10-13 January 2024
Sample size: 989
➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway
#Norway
H-EPP: 27% (+1)
Ap-S&D: 19% (+1)
FrP~ECR: 12% (-2)
SV~LEFT: 11%
V-RE: 6% (+2)
Sp~RE: 6%
R~LEFT: 5%
KrF-EPP: 4% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
+/- vs. 27 November - 2 December 2023
Fieldwork: 10-13 January 2024
Sample size: 989
➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway
#Norway
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#Norway, Norstat poll:
H-EPP: 27% (+1)
Ap-S&D: 19% (+1)
FrP~ECR: 12% (-2)
SV~LEFT: 11%
V-RE: 6% (+2)
Sp~RE: 6%
R~LEFT: 5%
KrF-EPP: 4% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
+/- vs. 27 November - 2 December 2023
Fieldwork: 10-13 January 2024
Sample size: 989
➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway
H-EPP: 27% (+1)
Ap-S&D: 19% (+1)
FrP~ECR: 12% (-2)
SV~LEFT: 11%
V-RE: 6% (+2)
Sp~RE: 6%
R~LEFT: 5%
KrF-EPP: 4% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 3% (-1)
+/- vs. 27 November - 2 December 2023
Fieldwork: 10-13 January 2024
Sample size: 989
➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway
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#Netherlands, Peil poll:
Seat projection
PVV-ID: 49 (+1)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 23 (+1)
NSC→EPP: 17 (-1)
VVD-RE: 12 (-1)
D66-RE: 10 (-1)
BBB→EPP: 9
CDA-EPP: 6
SP~LEFT: 6 (+1)
...
+/- vs. 22 December 2023
Fieldwork: 19-20 January 2024
Sample size: N/A
➤ http://europeelects.eu/netherlands
Seat projection
PVV-ID: 49 (+1)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 23 (+1)
NSC→EPP: 17 (-1)
VVD-RE: 12 (-1)
D66-RE: 10 (-1)
BBB→EPP: 9
CDA-EPP: 6
SP~LEFT: 6 (+1)
...
+/- vs. 22 December 2023
Fieldwork: 19-20 January 2024
Sample size: N/A
➤ http://europeelects.eu/netherlands
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#Netherlands: Geert Wilders' right-wing PVV (ID) rises to 49 seats, roughly ~31% of the vote, in the latest Peil poll.
This is the PVV's best polling result ever and the highest any party has polled since 2006.
PVV emerged as largest party for the first time in the 22 November 2023 national parliament election.
➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands
This is the PVV's best polling result ever and the highest any party has polled since 2006.
PVV emerged as largest party for the first time in the 22 November 2023 national parliament election.
➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands
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#Netherlands: liberal VVD (RE) of incumbent caretaker Prime Minister Mark Rutte falls to 12 seats, roughly ~8% of the vote, in the latest Peil poll.
This is the party's lowest polling result since May 1972 and it would be its worst election result since 1948.
VVD was the Netherlands' largest party for four national parliament elections in a row: 2010, 2012, 2017 and 2021.
➤ http://europeelects.eu/netherlands
This is the party's lowest polling result since May 1972 and it would be its worst election result since 1948.
VVD was the Netherlands' largest party for four national parliament elections in a row: 2010, 2012, 2017 and 2021.
➤ http://europeelects.eu/netherlands
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Europe Elects is looking for new volunteers!
Please refer to the graphic for more information.
If you're interested in helping us, please fill out the form linked below!
Women, gender non-conforming people, and other groups typically under-represented in politics, data, and the media are encouraged to apply.
https://forms.gle/3BENapcWxM17qnBs6
Please refer to the graphic for more information.
If you're interested in helping us, please fill out the form linked below!
Women, gender non-conforming people, and other groups typically under-represented in politics, data, and the media are encouraged to apply.
https://forms.gle/3BENapcWxM17qnBs6
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#Italy, Eumetra poll:
FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 19%
M5S-NI: 17% (+1)
LEGA-ID: 9% (-1)
FI-EPP: 7%
A-RE: 4%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 3%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 2% (-1)
Italexit-*: 2%
UP-LEFT: 1% (n.a.)
NM-EPP: 1%
+/- vs. 9-10 January 2024
Fieldwork: 16-17 January 2024
Sample size: 800
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
FdI-ECR: 29%
PD-S&D: 19%
M5S-NI: 17% (+1)
LEGA-ID: 9% (-1)
FI-EPP: 7%
A-RE: 4%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 3%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 2% (-1)
Italexit-*: 2%
UP-LEFT: 1% (n.a.)
NM-EPP: 1%
+/- vs. 9-10 January 2024
Fieldwork: 16-17 January 2024
Sample size: 800
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
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#Italy, Termometro Politico poll:
FdI-ECR: 29% (-1)
PD-S&D: 19%
M5S-NI: 16%
LEGA-ID: 10%
FI-EPP: 7% (+1)
A-RE: 4%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 3%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 3%
DSP-NI: 2%
UP-LEFT: 1% (-1)
Italexit-*: 1% (-1)
+/- vs. 10-11 January 2024
Fieldwork: 17-18 January 2024
Sample size: 4,200
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
FdI-ECR: 29% (-1)
PD-S&D: 19%
M5S-NI: 16%
LEGA-ID: 10%
FI-EPP: 7% (+1)
A-RE: 4%
AVS-LEFT|G/EFA: 3%
IV-RE: 3%
+E-RE: 3%
DSP-NI: 2%
UP-LEFT: 1% (-1)
Italexit-*: 1% (-1)
+/- vs. 10-11 January 2024
Fieldwork: 17-18 January 2024
Sample size: 4,200
➤ https://europeelects.eu/italy
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#Liechtenstein, final results:
Photovoltaic requirement referendum
Support: 33.4%
Oppose: 66.6%
Turnout: 67.9%
➤ europeelects.eu/liechtenstein
Photovoltaic requirement referendum
Support: 33.4%
Oppose: 66.6%
Turnout: 67.9%
➤ europeelects.eu/liechtenstein
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#Liechtenstein, final results:
Building regulations referendum
Support: 34.8%
Oppose: 65.2%
Turnout: 67.8%
➤ europeelects.eu/liechtenstein
Building regulations referendum
Support: 34.8%
Oppose: 65.2%
Turnout: 67.8%
➤ europeelects.eu/liechtenstein
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