As the sun rises this morning, @NOAA's #GOESEast 🛰️ is monitoring Tropical Storm #Franklin as it makes landfall. This GeoColor imagery also shows frequent lightning within the storm.

Latest: hurricanes.gov
Tropical Storm #Franklin Advisory 11A: Franklin Making Landfall Along the Southern Coast of the Dominican Republic Near Barahona. Very Heavy Rains Occurring Over Hispaniola. hurricanes.gov - National Hurricane Center

NOAA Satellites

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#Franklin has made landfall in Hispaniola, threatening heavy rainfall and potential flooding in Dominican Republic and Haiti. #EarlyWarningsForAll
As the sun rises this morning, @NOAA's #GOESEast 🛰️ is monitoring Tropical Storm #Franklin as it makes landfall. This GeoColor imagery also shows frequent lightning within the storm.

Latest: hurricanes.gov - NOAA Satellites

World Meteorological Organization

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Ocean deoxygenation is a growing concern as the availability of oxygen in the #ocean has declined by an average of 2% over the past 50 years 🌊 ⚠️

Discover the impact of ocean deoxygenation ⬇️ buff.ly/3YUdSz7
Via @IUCN #SaveOurOceans

Red List of Ecosystems

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RT @UNEP: When properly managed, wastewater can turn into clean water, energy, and resources, providing benefits #ForNature & people.

UNEP’s new report with @GRIDArendal explores the potential of wastewater as a circular economy opportunity.

Discover more:

UN Biodiversity

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RT @CopernicusEMS: 📢We have released a 🆕 #EFAS v5.0 hydrological reanalysis dataset❗️

It enables the analysis of past #floods, low-flow events, and the identification of hydrological trends🌊

It includes:
➡️30 years of data
➡️River discharge maps (6-hour interval, ~1.4 km resolution)

ECMWF

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RT @UNDP: #GlobalGoals for a fair, just and equitable world for everyone, everywhere.

Learn more about the 17 #SDGs: go.undp.org/SDGs #HashtagDay

UN Biodiversity

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Despite their climate pledges, the G20 is still subsidising oil and gas with over a TRILLION dollars of public funds.

They are paying fossil criminals to continue extracting obscene profits and destroying our planet, using taxpayer money.

Disgraceful. theguardian.com/environment/…

Greenpeace International

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Oceans are home to most of life on 🌍.

The coral triangle, for example, is 1 of the most biodiverse regions on 🌏 containing:

🪸 76% of all species of corals

🐠37% of all species of coral reef fish

🐢86% of all species of turtles ehs.unu.edu/news/news/six-fa…

Via @UNUEHS

UN Biodiversity

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Each and every one of us needs to #ActNow to ensure sustainable consumption & production to help achieve the #GlobalGoals and protect our planet and our future. un.org/actnow

UN Biodiversity

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RT @SenBillNelson: Congratulations @isro on your successful  Chandrayaan-3 lunar South Pole landing! And congratulations to #India on being the 4th country to successfully soft-land a spacecraft on the Moon. We’re glad to be your partner on this mission!
Chandrayaan-3 Mission:
'India🇮🇳,
I reached my destination
and you too!'
: Chandrayaan-3

Chandrayaan-3 has successfully
soft-landed on the moon 🌖!.

Congratulations, India🇮🇳!

#Chandrayaan_3
#Ch3 - ISRO

NASA Technology

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Environmental scientists have carried out the first standardised global review of the potential risks and benefits to people and nature from planned road and rail projects 🚉🛣️🌱

Watch the 📹 highlighting insights from the report ⤵️

Report link➡️ eu1.hubs.ly/H04Ykgt0 🐸🍄

UNEP-WCMC

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🐘The plight of Asian elephants in Southeast Asia & China is reaching a critical point. Many of the issues facing this majestic animal are due to human actions. It’s time to make a difference for them! 🙌🐘

RT to help spread the message & show your support ❤️

WWF

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With support from EU & @theGEF, @FAO has set up solar-powered water systems to irrigate community vegetable gardens & provide livestock watering points, boosting food security & livelihoods for rural communities in the Gambia 🇬🇲. fao.org/fao-stories/article/… #GEFAssembly2023

FAO Climate Change & Biodiversity

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How do @NASAInterns help advance Earth science discoveries? Our new feature offers a snapshot of the summer interns working at five NASA DAACs to create new datasets, develop tools and resources, and advance machine learning.

Read about their work: go.nasa.gov/3skYijE

NASAEarthdata

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Greater Horn of Africa is forecast to get above-average rainfall
The Greater Horn of Africa is finally emerging from three years of devastating drought, with above average rainfall predicted for the forthcoming season. Whilst this is a welcome prospect, it is accompanied by the risk that flooding will impact local communities and livelihoods.

A new seasonal outlook for the October to December rainy season shows high chances of wetter-than-usual conditions across most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa. Notably, there is an exceptionally high probability (more than 80%) of experiencing wetter-than-usual rainfall in southern Ethiopia, eastern Kenya, and southern Somalia. On the other hand, drier-than-usual conditions are likely for isolated areas of south-western Uganda and south-western South Sudan.

The outlook was issued by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Application Centre (ICPAC), a WMO Regional Climate Centre, at a one-day forum bringing together climate scientists, researchers, governmental and non-governmental organizations, development partners and civil society.

For more than two decades, WMO has supported regional climate outlook forums, which provide actionable climate forecasts and information to help save lives and livelihoods and therefore contribute to the Early Warnings for All initiative.

https://ane4bf-datap1.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/wmocms/s3fs-public/ckeditor/files/Screenshot_2023-08-23_at_16.24.19.png?MIg9F4oHm.k8.SK093cfHMBg_NQtPEoH “The devastating drought associated with the three-year-long La Niña event may be replaced by a deluge because of the new El Niño event which typically means wetter than usual conditions in East Africa,” says Dr Wilfran Moufouma Okia, head of regional climate prediction services at WMO. “Another climate phenomenon known as the Indian Ocean Dipole is developing over the Indian Ocean and may strengthen the El Niño impacts,” he said.

Much of the region saw heavy rainfall from March to May 2023. The above-average  precipitation from October to December may therefore contribute to flooding.

Dr Guleid Artan, ICPAC Director, added a cautionary note.

“Desert locusts are already proliferating to alarming levels in parts of the region. The risk of deadly incidents also increases significantly. We all remember the last El Niño in 2015/16 when downpours of torrential rains caused landslides, flash floods, and buildings to collapse. Governments and disaster management agencies are advised to take all necessary measures to save lives and livelihoods,” he said.

October to December constitutes a vital rainfall season, particularly in the equatorial parts of the Greater Horn of Africa, contributing 20 to 70% of the annual total rainfall.

The start of the season will likely occur early in parts of the region where elevated rainfall is anticipated (eastern Kenya, southern Somalia, and eastern Tanzania). In contrast, probabilities favour an average or delayed onset over parts of northern Somalia, western Kenya, Uganda, southern South Sudan, Rwanda, Burundi, and north-western Tanzania.

ICPAC’s seasonal forecast is based on rigorous analysis of historical data, prevailing climate signals, and advanced modelling techniques.

For October-November-December 2023, the consolidated objective temperature forecast from nine Global Producing Centres indicates an increased likelihood of warmer-than-usual surface temperatures for almost all parts of the Greater Horn of Africa, particularly over Djibouti, Eritrea, northern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and parts of coastal Tanzania.

The drought, which began with the poor performance of the October-December 202 rainfall, led to a humanitarian disaster. It affected millions of people, especially in Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia, killed millions of livestock and destroyed crops.

ICPAC Greater[...]

Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Technical Summary is here
Language
English

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Type of news

News

Publish Date

Wednesday, August 23, 2023 - 16:15

Tags

Africa

Climate

Agriculture and food security

Climate services

El Niño / La Niña

Editorial Section

CPA

Contact

Member

Ethiopia

Eritrea

Djibouti

South Sudan

Sudan

United Republic of Tanzania

Kenya

Somalia

Uganda

CNullis

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