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RT @erwingoor: We closed day 2 at the EU booth on #GEOWeek2023 with the European community and friends. Thanks for contributing to the #EuroGEO collaborative spirit.

Day two at the #GEOWeek2023, with a rich programme at our EU Booth in the exhibition. See you there! - Erwin Goor

EU green research

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RT @WBHoekstra: Very good to meet with President @WilliamsRuto again, now to conclude my visit to Kenya.

The partnership and friendship between 🇰🇪 & 🇪🇺 stretches to many areas, including climate. A true leader, the president is lifting his country and the wider region to high climate ambition.

EU Climate Action

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RT @ScottDuncanWX: Earth just recorded its hottest October on record.

2023 is well on track to be the hottest year globally on record.

Greta Thunberg

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Before & After #EO version

This is what the Upsala Glacier looked like on:

⬅️ 27 January 1985
➡️ 26 February 2021

Can you believe the glacier retreated about 9 km between these two images?

Many glaciers in the Patagonian Ice Field, including Upsala, have been retreating over the last 50 years owing to rising temperatures.

Satellite data can help monitor changes in glacier mass and, subsequently, their contribution to rising sea levels.

🎞️ esa.int/ESA_Multimedia/Image…

ESA Earth Observation

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RT @CECweb: 🔥 Imagine a summer without #fireflies

🌎 Like many other beloved #pollinators, fireflies are in trouble, threatened by habitat destruction, light pollution and pesticide use.

💚 Let’s look after our fireflies.

🔗Join the #PeopleForPollinators movement: cec.org/people-for-pollinato…

ipbes

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How can we enable and mobilize the private sector for sustainable development?

On Nov 13, learn how #PPPs can bring greater efficiency, sustainability, and innovative ideas from the private sector to development projects.

Register now: wrld.bg/7CqQ50Q5k8K

World Bank Climate

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Shocking news: In 20 years, global plastic waste doubled 😧

And who is the most affected? Those who contributed the least.

Governments, champion a robust #GlobalPlasticsTreaty for people and the planet.

Help us make it happen: BanIt.org #INC3

WWF

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In forested #wetlands, up to 95% of #carbon is stored in deep soils & #deforestation can release large amounts of #CO2.

Preserving this habitat is key to mitigating the effects of #climatechange. bit.ly/dMInfoposterMangroves

Via @dataMares

UN Biodiversity

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Improve your ability to initiate and analyse opportunities for #NatureBasedSolutions
Course Format: Self-paced e-learning + 6 live sessions online (with NbS experts)
Duration: 6 weeks
🖥️ Registration: OPEN
📆 Start date: 23rd January 2024
ENROL NOW👉 bit.ly/3FF9v1L

IUCN

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The first international summit dedicated to glaciers and poles - #OnePlanetPolarSummit - is this week, 8-10 Nov, in Paris, France.

Programme and live stream via the link. oneplanetsummit2023.site.cal…

World Meteorological Organization

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RT @GreenpeaceCzech: BREAKING: We renamed @MZeCr to "Ministry of Logging in Old Forests". We compiled clear evidence that old-growth forests in 🇨🇿 lack proper protection and the wood from them is being sold as firewood or processed to create paper. That is unacceptable! @EU_Commission

Greenpeace International

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Climate Change Science on Telegram by GRT: World Meteorological Organization / NASA / IPCC / ONU / OOH / UN United Nations etc.
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El Niño expected to last at least until April 2024
Geneva, 8 November (WMO) - The ongoing El Niño event is expected to last at least until April 2024, influencing weather patterns and contributing to a further spike in temperatures both on land and in the ocean, according to a new Update from the World Meteorological Organization.

As of mid-October 2023, sea surface temperatures and other atmospheric and oceanic indicators in the central-eastern tropical Pacific are consistent with El Niño, the warm phase of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The El Niño developed rapidly during July-August, and reached moderate strength by September, 2023 and is likely to peak as a strong event in November - January 2024. There is a 90% likelihood it will persist throughout the upcoming northern hemisphere winter/southern hemisphere summer.

https://ane4bf-datap1.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/wmocms/s3fs-public/ckeditor/files/Factsheet-ENSO-Update-October-2023-en.jpg?9I7OaQE6YxQrwKggxLrXxQ_5Reb6ajFW Based on historical patterns and current long-range predictions, it is anticipated it will gradually diminish during the forthcoming boreal spring, says the WMO El Niño/La Niña Update, which combines forecasts and expert guidance from around the world.

El Niño occurs on average every two to seven years, and typically last nine to 12 months. It is a naturally occurring climate pattern associated with warming of the ocean surface in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. But it takes place in the context of a climate being changed by human activities.

« El Niño impacts on global temperature typically play out in the year after its development, in this case in 2024. But as a result of record high land and sea-surface  temperatures since June, the year 2023 is now on track to be the warmest year on record. Next year may be even warmer. This is clearly and unequivocally due to the contribution of the increasing concentrations of heat-trapping greenhouse gases from human activities,” said WMO Secretary-General Prof. Petteri Taalas.

“Extreme events such as heatwaves, drought, wildfires, heavy rain and floods will be enhanced in some regions, with major impacts. That is why WMO is committed to the Early Warnings For All initiative to save lives and minimize economic losses,” said Prof. Taalas.

The previous warmest year on record was 2016 due to a “double whammy” of an exceptionally strong El Niño and climate change.

Since May 2023, monthly average sea surface temperature anomalies in the central-eastern equatorial Pacific have warmed significantly, rising from about 0.5 °C above average in May, 2023) to around 1.5 °C above average in September, 2023. These estimates are relative to the 1991-2020 baseline period, using the latest version of the Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature (OISST) dataset.

The most recent forecasts and expert assessment suggest a high likelihood of continued warming in the central-eastern equatorial Pacific for at least the next four overlapping 3-month seasons: November-January, December-February, January-March, and February-April 2024.

A strong El Niño does not necessarily mean strong El Niño impacts locally. It is important to note that El Niño is not the only factor that drives global and regional climate patterns, and that the magnitudes of El Niño indicators do not directly correspond to the magnitudes of their effects. No two El Niño events are alike.

Global Seasonal Climate Update

Given that ENSO is not the only driver of the Earth’s climate system, WMO also issues regular Global Seasonal Climate Updates (GSCU), which incorporate influences of the other major climate variability modes such as the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Arctic Oscillation and the Indian Ocean Dipole.

https://ane4bf-datap1[...]
Climate Change Science on Telegram by GRT: World Meteorological Organization / NASA / IPCC / ONU / OOH / UN United Nations etc.
El Niño expected to last at least until April 2024 Geneva, 8 November (WMO) - The ongoing El Niño event is expected to last at least until April 2024, influencing weather patterns and contributing to a further spike in temperatures both on land and in the…
.s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/wmocms/s3fs-public/ckeditor/files/Picture1_50.png?TpT6qNCDNzeC0ms.aPRsB9F67KcLtQGX

Probabilistic forecasts of surface air temperature and precipitation for the season November-January 2023-24. The baseline period is 1993–2009

“Consistent with the development of an El Niño in the equatorial central and eastern Pacific, together with the prediction of above-normal sea-surface temperatures over much of the global oceans, there is widespread prediction of above-normal temperatures over almost all land areas. The largest increase in probabilities for above-normal temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere is predicted generally south of about 40°N and in the regions north of 65°N. There are also enhanced probabilities for above-normal temperatures over most of the Southern Hemisphere.” says the GSCU for November-December-January.

Predictions for rainfall in the forthcoming three months are similar to many of the typical impacts of El Niño, including above-normal rainfall in the Greater Horn of Africa (for the remainder of the rainfall season), in Parana/La Plata basin in South America, in Southeast North America, in parts of central and eastern Asia and in a narrow band along and just north of the equator in the Pacific. Below-normal rainfall is predicted in most of northern South America, over much of Australia, in the Maritime continent (most of Indonesia, Borneo, Papua New Guinea and the Philippine Islands) and in the Pacific Ocean islands south of about 30°N, and immediately to the north of the wet band.

The WMO Updates are based on WMO Global Producing Centres of Long-Range Forecasts and are available to support governments, the United Nations, decision-makers and stakeholders in climate-sensitive sectors to mobilize preparations and protect lives and livelihoods.

More detailed interpretations of the implications of El Niño (and other factors) impacts on temperature and precipitation will be made available through the WMO Regional Climate Centres at regional level, and by National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) at national and local level.
The World Meteorological Organization is the United Nations System’s authoritative voice on Weather, Climate and Water

www.wmo.int
For further information contact:

Clare Nullis, WMO media officer, cnullis@wmo.int or media@wmo.int , Tel +41-79-7091397
Language
English

Featured Media

Sunset

Type of news

Press Release

Publish Date

Wednesday, November 8, 2023 - 08:45

Tags

El Niño / La Niña

Press Release Number

08112023

Headline
El Niño is expected to fuel further temperature increases

Impacts will continue into 2024

It will exacerbate extreme weather and climate-events, like heatwaves, floods and droughts

Early Warnings for All save lives
Editorial Section

CPA

Contact

MDebray

Climate Change Science on Telegram by @ClimateChangeScience
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