NATO Country’s Top General Weighs In On Further Aid to Ukraine

Lithuania should not arm Ukraine with heavy weaponry at the expense of its own defense capabilities, according to the Baltic state’s top commander, Lieutenant General Valdemaras Rupsys.

“I need to have tools. We can’t perform the task without the capacities, but these capacities that we have, have now reached a point where we can't off-load anymore,” he told reporters on Wednesday.

Authorities in Vilnius are considering handing over self-propelled howitzers and NASAMS units after receiving a request from Kiev, and although Rupsys acknowledged Lithuania’s “obligations to NATO” he added he’d urge the government to find “other means of support”.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇦💡@Rybar's Analysis: Consequences of Strikes on Ukraine's Energy Infrastructure⚡️

🔎 The Rybar Team continues a systematic analysis of the consequences of fire strikes on Ukraine's energy infrastructure. The extreme (hopefully not the last) strike was carried out by the Russian Armed Forces on Saturday 22 October.

💥 The following facilities were hit by fire that day:

▪️ Target #1 - cutting off the Rivne NPP from the 330kV power grid
➖ Rivne 330 substation, 330/110/35/10 kV
➖ Substation Lutsk-Severnaya, voltage 330/220/110/10/6 kV
➖ Substation Kovel 330, voltage 330/220/110/35 kV
➖ TS Khmelnitskaya 330, voltage 330/110/10 kV
➖ Substation Shepetovka 330, voltage 330/110/35kV - at least 330/110kV autotransformer was affected.

▪️ Target #2 - impact on the Odessa power district and create an electricity deficit in the Odessa area.
➖ Pobuzhskaya 330 substation, 330/110/35/10 kV
➖ Substation Kvartsit 330, voltage 330/150/35 kV
➖ TS Polyana 330, voltage 330/110/10kV - presumably
➖ TS Trikhaty 330, 330/220/150/35/10kV - presumably
➖ PS Ukrainka 330, voltage 330/150/35kV, presumably
➖ Substation Ardjalik 330, voltage 330/110/10kV

🩸 Interim Conclusions:

After the large-scale strikes against Ukrainian power plants on Saturday, electricity supply was restored everywhere by Wednesday, albeit with rather severe restrictions.

▪️ The main strikes took place in the centre and west of the country, where the restrictions on electricity consumption were the greatest.

▪️ In Kharkov, for example, the underground escalators could be put into operation because the deficit caused by the shocks was not so large.

▪️ However, it would be fundamentally wrong to claim that the strikes have passed without a trace and that their consequences have been completely overcome.

It is now clear that the shocks once again targeted autotransformers with 330 kV high voltage. Such shocks do not completely cripple the substations themselves, but they do cause considerable difficulties in supplying power to the areas near the substations.

▪️ The transfer of power to the remaining autotransformers leads to their overload during peak loads and emergencies. This leads to the triggering of automatic emergency power systems and repeated disconnections of consumers.

This may explain the numerous complaints from consumers that rolling blackout plans are not being adhered to and there is no power even though it should be there according to the plan.

▪️ To be fair, the Ukrainian energy sector is doing everything in its power to stabilise the situation, and the rolling blackouts are designed to even out consumption peaks in the morning and evening. But it is already clear that this is clearly not enough.

🚨 We are under no illusion that the Ukrainian people and the Ukrainian authorities will appreciate the humanism of the Russian authorities in choosing targets for the attacks. We are and remain enemies for them.

Therefore, the attacks, if they take place, must be carried out with maximum efficiency, taking out not the power conversion plants but the substations (SCPs).

Only by attacking them can a substation be completely knocked out without destroying the high-voltage equipment.

Otherwise, the effect, as we are doing now, would take too long.

t.me/sitreports / t.me/rybar/40617 /#ENE/
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