Iskander launch from Crimea

Entering Ukrainian airspace via Kherson

Explosion in Kherson City.

Another Iskander launch from Crimea

Smoke is rising over Kherson

No repeated launches took place.

Russian artillery shelling is now targeting Kherson, after the ballistic missile strike. A reconnaissance drone is operating there too.

I've said this about "leaks" supposedly showing Ukrainian casualties, and I'll say it about these ones too:

A sheet of paper claiming to show something, without any form of proof, is not evidence of 282,000 Russian casualties in 2025. This, just like the ones about Ukraine, just seem like part of the information war.

If you believe this "leak", but not leaks about Ukrainian casualties, you are delusional.

Russian forces have captured the village of Fedorivka, southern flank of Siversk, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~410.
Total land area: ~0.94 km².

On this day, 2 years ago, one of the world's most heavily armed guerilla armies, alongside several other militant factions, launched an invasion of Israel from the Gaza Strip. Approximately 6,000 rockets were launched in the first week of the war, completely overwhelming one of the world's strongest air defence networks, while hundreds of hostages were taken back into Gaza. Over 1,000 Israelis were killed, in an effort not only targeting the Israeli military, but also as many civilians as possible.

Two years later, tens of thousands of Palestinian civilians lie dead, in a genocide and ethnic cleansing that is only just beginning to be recognised. Most buildings in the Gaza Strip have either been flattened or are heavily damaged. The health sector continues to operate at a bare minimum due to constant attacks and restraints on aid and fuel.

Hamas and its allied factions are a shadow of their former selves. Incredibly degraded from constant Israeli attacks, most of their original fighters are dead, wounded, or captured, with untrained and young recruits making up the majority of their ranks.

But arguably the most significant events that resulted from this surprise attack was the spillover. Israel has since attacked Lebanon, Syria, Iran, the West Bank, and Qatar, resulting in rising tensions across the region, and the beginning of a systematic (and successful) effort at dismantling Iran's "axis of resistance", which now lies in ruin.

On the other hand, Israel's image on the world stage has changed drastically. 20 new countries have recognised a Palestinian state, while widespread condemnation and global awareness was brought to Israel, and Israel's actions.

Today, peace negotiations are once again underway, despite failures in all the previous ones. Even if Israel secures what they want in Gaza, it will be interesting to see if this will have any effect on the events to follow.

A before and after of Northern Gaza, two years since October 7.

Possible Iskander launch from Crimea

Iskander on Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast

30 seconds

Explosion in Pavlohrad

Correction: The explosion occurred in Vilnyansk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast

The near-exact trajectory of the Iskander-M ballistic missile.

Vilnyansk was targeted by long-range Smerch/Tornado-S MLRS yesterday.

Russian forces have captured the village of Novovasylivske, Hulyaipole direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~73.
Total land area: ~0.33 km².

— 🇮🇱/🇵🇸 NEW: Hebrew media reports a 'security incident' in Gaza, with Israeli casualties evacuated to 'Soroka' and 'Sheba' hospitals. At least two soldiers have been reported as 'seriously injured.'

@Middle_East_Spectator

Those high rise buildings in Pokrovsk are not only still in decent condition and positions can be estabilished there, but they also have very good basements below them where they can hide extremely effectively and accumulate safely.
Civilians still remaining in the city are also a big problem, as there are cases where they help hide Russian soldiers.
So, if they were to gain a stable foothold in Shakhtarsky, it would be very hard to knock them out of there

By the sounds of it, there is a fairly large grey zone in southern Pokrovsk. Most of Lazurnyi District is under Russian control, but Shakhtarskyi and Sonyachnyy Districts are mixed.

The current Russian foothold is not critical for the Ukrainians, but rather the infiltration of units further north towards the highway is. If those groups can be eliminated in the coming days, then the situation will greatly improve for Ukraine. Otherwise, the Russians will be able to made much more progress through the high-rise blocks and begin clearing the low-rise residential areas towards the city centre.