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The Case Against the Pound
Today (Friday, October 14th) has been full of historic and turbulent decisions within the United Kingdom. Chief among them include the official end of the Bank of England’s (BoE) emergency bond-buying intervention scheme, as well as Prime Minister (PM) Liz Truss’ decision to fire Kwasi Kwarteng from his role as Chancellor of the Exchequer. He had only served in the position less than six weeks; his time in office is the second shortest ever for a Chancellor. With the UK’s economy now taken off of monetary policy life support, and a former foreign minister named Jeremy Hunt now appointed the new Chancellor, both the BoE and the PM are hoping for a fresh start. However, GBP bearishness only looks ever more compelling; let’s explore five crucial points of consideration as we evaluate the case against the Pound.

https://a1trading.com/the-case-against-the-pound/

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Euro pairs are looking stronger this week possibly due to the fact that the US stock market is taking advantage of the late October rally. EUR/CAD is going harshly against seasonality which was expected to show a decline in the euro from July through October. This pair is becoming more volatile especially as CAD's inflation numbers are expected to come out Wednesday to be higher than last month's CPI. Retail is about even so there is no clear direction in sentiment other than COT which is taking more money out of the Canadian than in EUR. With risk-on sentiment increasing for now, we might be able to expect a neutral-to-higher ranking on the Edgefinder. Price could trend up to 1.36900s before hitting major resistance on the 1D timeframe.

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🤩 The win streak continues! Floating +98 Pips on USDCHF

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1️⃣Pullback on USD, overall uptrend
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3️⃣ Hitting support on the 4H & daily

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AUDJPY Analysis
AUD is up again today after an as expected unemployment change. AJ looks like the most reactive pair to this news as price swings higher above support on the 200 DMA and is working on breaking the 50. This level also served as a top before so the pair may struggle to go higher for the time being. Price could range between these two moving averages for a while on the 1D timeframe.

CADCHF Analysis
CADCHF is another pair that looks like it will have some decent upside to it. CPI numbers came in higher than expected which led to a jump in price. Today's gains took the pair above a key resistance level that had served as a top for over a month. The pair is now testing the 50 DMA and headed up towards a falling trend line resistance. If we see a close above the 50, we could likely see a test on the trend line

SPX500 Analysis
Price action went as expected and formed a lower high on the 1D timeframe. We could be about to see some potential ranging as price bounces from trend line to support. It doesn't look like there will be a significant rally to the upside yet, and even though analysts are calling for a bottom in the $3400s, it might even go lower to the $3200-3300s where there is more support.

The Edgefinder’s smartmoney tracker is helping us see the biggest positions on all currencies in forex. Right now, the USD is 78% while JPY is 78% short on the institutional side. That means that USDJPY is one of the biggest bullish pairs right now as the yen is the most shorted currency and the dollar is the most longed. This indicator is mainly why I'm keeping my UJ long going because it seems like the pair will keep trending upward until we see otherwise.

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